{
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    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-T9HTBR56H3",
  "slug": "kxust5-26jun30",
  "question": "Will the 5-year US Treasury Yield reach a specific level by month-end?",
  "category": "economics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "economics",
    "us-treasury-yields",
    "fixed-income-markets",
    "economic-indicators",
    "interest-rates",
    "2026"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the 5-year US Treasury yield against discrete strike thresholds at month-end June 2026. The four Kalshi contracts form a strike ladder at 4.25%, 4.30%, 4.35%, and 4.40%, pricing the probability of breaching each successive level. The implied spread between adjacent strikes reveals the market's probability mass around each threshold. Resolution uses Kalshi staff determination referencing the US Department of the Treasury's reported yield on the last business day of the reference month.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
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  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-W3HMZ7K480",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 1,
    "implied_probability": 1
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-W3HMZ7K480",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-T9HTBR56H3",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXUST5-26JUN30-T4.25",
      "question": "Will 5Y US Treasury Yield before month-end be above 4.25%?",
      "description": "Above 4.25%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 4.25%: The US Department of the Treasury's reported 5-year Treasury yield as of the last business day of the reference month determines the outcome, with Kalshi staff verifying the published rate by July 7, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-06T18:55:17Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-06T18:55:17Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the 5Y US Treasury Yield before month-end is above 4.25%, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "US Department of the Treasury",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://kalshi.com/",
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            "name": "US Department of the Treasury",
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            "provenance": "platform_api"
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        "source_of_record": "US Department of the Treasury",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
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        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
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        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 86,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 1,
      "implied_probability": 1,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 7005.61,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 4.25,
      "question_id": "CMX-4E8B93F89C",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "5y us treasury",
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          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
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    },
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      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXUST5-26JUN30-T4.30",
      "question": "Will 5Y US Treasury Yield before month-end be above 4.30%?",
      "description": "Above 4.30%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 4.30%: The US Department of the Treasury's reported 5-year Treasury yield as of the last business day of the reference month determines the outcome, with Kalshi staff verifying the published rate by July 7, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-30T19:29:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-30T19:29:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
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        "rules_raw": "If the 5Y US Treasury Yield before month-end is above 4.30%, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
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        "source": "US Department of the Treasury",
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      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 2930.56,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 4.3,
      "question_id": "CMX-B8C2B4D9F5",
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      "question": "Will 5Y US Treasury Yield before month-end be above 4.35%?",
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      "close_at": "2026-06-30T19:29:00Z",
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      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
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      "question_id": "CMX-63BB6A7C88",
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      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXUST5-26JUN30-T4.40",
      "question": "Will 5Y US Treasury Yield before month-end be above 4.40%?",
      "description": "Above 4.40%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 4.40%: The US Department of the Treasury's reported 5-year Treasury yield as of the last business day of the reference month determines the outcome, with Kalshi staff verifying the published rate by July 7, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-30T19:29:00Z",
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      "volume_24h_usd": 16.91,
      "volume_total_usd": 153.57,
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      "threshold": 4.4,
      "question_id": "CMX-4DC909C192",
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      "event_type": "resolved",
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      "market_id": "CM-MKT-W3HMZ7K480",
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      "event_type": "resolved",
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      "occurred_basis": "venue_settlement",
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      "recorded_at": "2026-07-23",
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    "ref": "CM-EVT-T9HTBR56H3",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
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}