{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-41N2708XK7",
  "slug": "kxvaprimary-03d26",
  "question": "Will Bobby Scott be the Democratic nominee for VA-03?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "2027-election",
    "virginia-politics",
    "democratic-primary",
    "us-house",
    "congressional-nominee"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the 2026 Democratic nomination contest for Virginia's 3rd congressional district. Both contracts are binary outcome markets on separate candidates: Bobby Scott and Justin Maffett. The cross-platform insight here is structural: both markets live on Kalshi, pricing individual candidate outcomes rather than a single multi-way race contract. Resolution follows Kalshi staff determination of the Democratic Party's 2026 nomination result, with settlement expected by November 3, 2026.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
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  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-Q11P0XSH80",
  "current_primary_mark": {
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    "implied_probability": 1
  },
  "created_at": "2026-06-03T14:52:43.794845+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-06-03T14:52:43.794845+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-Q11P0XSH80",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-41N2708XK7",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXVAPRIMARY-03D26-BSCO",
      "question": "Will Bobby Scott be the Democratic nominee for VA-03?",
      "description": "Bobby Scott",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Kalshi staff determination of whether Bobby Scott wins the Democratic Party's 2026 nomination for Virginia's 3rd congressional district.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-04T22:12:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-04T22:12:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Bobby Scott wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 VA-03 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Republican Party",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gop.com/",
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
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        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
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      "rcg": {
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        "score": 27,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 1,
      "implied_probability": 1,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 19581.68,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "bobby scott",
        "congressional",
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        "virginia"
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          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
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          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
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    {
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-41N2708XK7",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXVAPRIMARY-03D26-JMAF",
      "question": "Will Justin Maffett be the Democratic nominee for VA-03?",
      "description": "Justin Maffett",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Kalshi staff determination of whether Bobby Scott wins the Democratic Party's 2026 nomination for Virginia's 3rd congressional district.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-04T22:12:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-04T22:12:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Justin Maffett wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 VA-03 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Republican Party",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gop.com/",
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
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        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 27,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
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      "settlement_style": "touch",
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      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
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      "tags": [
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          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
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  "resolution_log": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-Q11P0XSH80",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "outcome": "YES",
      "resolved_at": "2026-06-04T22:12:00Z",
      "final_price": 1,
      "recorded_at": "2026-06-12",
      "source": "platform_api",
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    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-HQYS3RFLZ7",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "outcome": "NO",
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      "final_price": 0,
      "recorded_at": "2026-06-12",
      "source": "platform_api",
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  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-41N2708XK7",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}