{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-JG680DWQB5",
  "slug": "kxvaprimary-05d26",
  "question": "Will a Democrat be nominated for Virginia's 5th congressional district by the 2026 election?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "us-elections-2026",
    "virginia-politics",
    "democratic-primary",
    "house-races",
    "nominee-selection"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track which candidate wins the Democratic nomination for Virginia's 5th Congressional District. Each contract is binary, pricing a single named candidate's probability of securing the nomination. All four resolve via Kalshi staff determination against the same primary outcome. There is no cross-platform structural contrast here; all markets are Kalshi binary contracts on discrete candidate outcomes.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-RN3M9VH3Y7",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.99,
    "implied_probability": 0.99
  },
  "created_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-CWNVX23F33",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-JG680DWQB5",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXVAPRIMARY-05D26-SBHA",
      "question": "Will Salaam Bhatti be the Democratic nominee for VA-05?",
      "description": "Salaam Bhatti",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Salaam Bhatti: Kalshi staff determination of whether the named candidate becomes the Democratic nominee for the referenced office, resolved by November 3, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Salaam Bhatti wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 VA-05 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Republican Party",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gop.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Republican Party",
            "url": "https://gop.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Democratic Party",
            "url": "https://democrats.org/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Democratic Party",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.01,
      "implied_probability": 0.01,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 10.02,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "democratic",
        "nominee",
        "salaam bhatti",
        "va-05"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-M283NJ3S27",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-JG680DWQB5",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXVAPRIMARY-05D26-SKRZ",
      "question": "Will Suzanne Krzyzanowski be the Democratic nominee for VA-05?",
      "description": "Suzanne Krzyzanowski",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Suzanne Krzyzanowski: Kalshi staff determination of whether the named candidate becomes the Democratic nominee for the referenced office, resolved by November 3, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Suzanne Krzyzanowski wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 VA-05 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Republican Party",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gop.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Republican Party",
            "url": "https://gop.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Democratic Party",
            "url": "https://democrats.org/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Democratic Party",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.01,
      "implied_probability": 0.01,
      "volume_24h_usd": 6.24,
      "volume_total_usd": 10.02,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "democratic",
        "nominee",
        "suzanne krzyzanowski",
        "va-05"
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      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-RN3M9VH3Y7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-JG680DWQB5",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXVAPRIMARY-05D26-TPER",
      "question": "Will Tom Perriello be the Democratic nominee for VA-05?",
      "description": "Tom Perriello",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Tom Perriello: Kalshi staff determination of whether the named candidate becomes the Democratic nominee for the referenced office, resolved by November 3, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Tom Perriello wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 VA-05 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Republican Party",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gop.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Republican Party",
            "url": "https://gop.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "Democratic Party",
            "url": "https://democrats.org/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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        "source_of_record": "Democratic Party",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
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        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
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        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.99,
      "implied_probability": 0.99,
      "volume_24h_usd": 5963.76,
      "volume_total_usd": 6699.85,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "democratic",
        "nominee",
        "tom perriello",
        "va-05"
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      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-TLDXZRFGZ3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-JG680DWQB5",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXVAPRIMARY-05D26-RTRA",
      "question": "Will Robert Tracinski be the Democratic nominee for VA-05?",
      "description": "Robert Tracinski",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Robert Tracinski: Kalshi staff determination of whether the named candidate becomes the Democratic nominee for the referenced office, resolved by November 3, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Robert Tracinski wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 VA-05 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Republican Party",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gop.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Republican Party",
            "url": "https://gop.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "Democratic Party",
            "url": "https://democrats.org/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Democratic Party",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.01,
      "implied_probability": 0.01,
      "volume_24h_usd": 10.02,
      "volume_total_usd": 10.23,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "democratic",
        "nominee",
        "robert tracinski",
        "va-05"
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      "eligibility_screens": null
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  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-JG680DWQB5",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
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}