{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
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  "event_id": "CM-EVT-2NGGNHYM92",
  "slug": "kxvaprimary-09d26",
  "question": "Will the Democratic nominee for Virginia's 9th congressional district be determined by the 2026 election?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
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  "tags": [
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    "virginia-09",
    "democratic-primary",
    "2027-election",
    "us-house",
    "nominee-selection"
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  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the Democratic primary outcome for Virginia's 9th Congressional District. Four binary contracts cover separate candidates: Douglas Crockett, Adam Murphy, Joy Powers, and Brandi Hall. All four resolve via Kalshi staff determination against the same underlying event, making them mutually exclusive in aggregate. Resolution is set for November 3, 2026.",
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  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-Z7CTCMR051",
  "current_primary_mark": {
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    "implied_probability": 0.8
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  "created_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-2NGGNHYM92",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXVAPRIMARY-09D26-DCRO",
      "question": "Will Douglas Crockett be the Democratic nominee for VA-09?",
      "description": "Douglas Crockett",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Douglas Crockett: The named candidate's designation as the Democratic nominee for the referenced office resolves by Kalshi staff determination using official party nomination records by November 3, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Douglas Crockett wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 VA-09 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Republican Party",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gop.com/",
        "sources": [
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            "name": "Republican Party",
            "url": "https://gop.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
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        "grade": "A",
        "score": 86,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "implied_probability": 0.01,
      "volume_24h_usd": 1.87,
      "volume_total_usd": 13.34,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
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      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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    {
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-2NGGNHYM92",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXVAPRIMARY-09D26-AMUR",
      "question": "Will Adam Murphy be the Democratic nominee for VA-09?",
      "description": "Adam Murphy",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Adam Murphy: The named candidate's designation as the Democratic nominee for the referenced office resolves by Kalshi staff determination using official party nomination records by November 3, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Adam Murphy wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 VA-09 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Republican Party",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gop.com/",
        "sources": [
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            "name": "Republican Party",
            "url": "https://gop.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "Democratic Party",
            "url": "https://democrats.org/",
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      "volume_24h_usd": 128.3,
      "volume_total_usd": 409.75,
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      "tags": [
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-Z7CTCMR051",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-2NGGNHYM92",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXVAPRIMARY-09D26-JPOW",
      "question": "Will Joy Powers be the Democratic nominee for VA-09?",
      "description": "Joy Powers",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Joy Powers: The named candidate's designation as the Democratic nominee for the referenced office resolves by Kalshi staff determination using official party nomination records by November 3, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Joy Powers wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 VA-09 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Republican Party",
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      "tags": [
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-5NHZX3RTT4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-2NGGNHYM92",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXVAPRIMARY-09D26-BHAL",
      "question": "Will Brandi Hall be the Democratic nominee for VA-09?",
      "description": "Brandi Hall",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Brandi Hall: The named candidate's designation as the Democratic nominee for the referenced office resolves by Kalshi staff determination using official party nomination records by November 3, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Brandi Hall wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 VA-09 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Republican Party",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
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      "tags": [
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    "ref": "CM-EVT-2NGGNHYM92",
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