{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-J66NJ3ZHH7",
  "slug": "kxvoteblanche-27",
  "question": "Will Todd Blanche receive votes from specific Senators?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "us-senate",
    "confirmation-vote",
    "todd-blanche",
    "2027",
    "judicial-nomination"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track individual Senate confirmation votes for Todd Blanche as a judicial or executive nominee. Each Kalshi contract isolates a single senator, letting traders express differentiated views across the 11-member cohort. The set spans reliable Republican votes, potential crossover names, and swing-vote Republicans. Kalshi staff determination resolves each contract using the official U.S. Senate roll call record.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-YFBCQPK564",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.52,
    "implied_probability": 0.52
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-63S98517Z3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-J66NJ3ZHH7",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXVOTEBLANCHE-27-TTIL",
      "question": "Will Thom Tillis vote for Todd Blanche?",
      "description": "Thom Tillis",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Thom Tillis: The named Senator's recorded vote on the listed nominee, as documented in the official U.S. Senate roll call vote record by January 1, 2027, resolves this market.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Thom Tillis votes Yea for Todd Blanche for Attorney General before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nShould such a vote result in the rejection of the Nominee via a procedure that does not result in the recording of a tally of votes, or should a withdrawal of the nominee's nomination be formally communicated to the United States Senate, this market shall resolve to No. Should a vote result in the confirmation of the Nominee via a procedure that does not result in the recording of a tally of votes, this market shall resolve to Yes. Should more than one Senate confirmation vote on the confirmation of the Nominee to the Office be held, the outcome of the first such vote will be used to resolve this market. If the nominee is withdrawn (or intent to nominate a nominee is withdrawn by the President or President-elect), then the market will resolve to No. \n\nThe outcomes of committee votes, hearings, or reports, cloture votes and other procedural votes will have no impact on the resolution of this market. Once the vote has been closed and the correct result of the vote has been announced, a request by Thom Tillis to add, remove, or alter a vote shall not be considered for purposes of resolving this market, regardless of any change to the official vote tally reported by the website senate.gov or any other official source.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "U.S. Senate",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.rules.senate.gov/rules-of-the-senate",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "U.S. Senate",
            "url": "https://www.rules.senate.gov/rules-of-the-senate",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "senate.gov",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "U.S. Senate",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 100,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.53,
      "implied_probability": 0.53,
      "volume_24h_usd": 650.416,
      "volume_total_usd": 8800.6129,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "blanche confirmation",
        "north carolina",
        "senator",
        "thom tillis"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-ZL7N39DJD7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-J66NJ3ZHH7",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXVOTEBLANCHE-27-RPAU",
      "question": "Will Rand Paul vote for Todd Blanche?",
      "description": "Rand Paul",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Rand Paul: The named Senator's recorded vote on the listed nominee, as documented in the official U.S. Senate roll call vote record by January 1, 2027, resolves this market.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Rand Paul votes Yea for Todd Blanche for Attorney General before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nShould such a vote result in the rejection of the Nominee via a procedure that does not result in the recording of a tally of votes, or should a withdrawal of the nominee's nomination be formally communicated to the United States Senate, this market shall resolve to No. Should a vote result in the confirmation of the Nominee via a procedure that does not result in the recording of a tally of votes, this market shall resolve to Yes. Should more than one Senate confirmation vote on the confirmation of the Nominee to the Office be held, the outcome of the first such vote will be used to resolve this market. If the nominee is withdrawn (or intent to nominate a nominee is withdrawn by the President or President-elect), then the market will resolve to No. \n\nThe outcomes of committee votes, hearings, or reports, cloture votes and other procedural votes will have no impact on the resolution of this market. Once the vote has been closed and the correct result of the vote has been announced, a request by Rand Paul to add, remove, or alter a vote shall not be considered for purposes of resolving this market, regardless of any change to the official vote tally reported by the website senate.gov or any other official source.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "U.S. Senate",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.rules.senate.gov/rules-of-the-senate",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "U.S. Senate",
            "url": "https://www.rules.senate.gov/rules-of-the-senate",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "senate.gov",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "U.S. Senate",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 100,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.49,
      "implied_probability": 0.49,
      "volume_24h_usd": 465.10310000000004,
      "volume_total_usd": 6602.4854,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "blanche confirmation",
        "kentucky",
        "rand paul",
        "senator"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-ZV7C10XTZ8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-J66NJ3ZHH7",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXVOTEBLANCHE-27-LMUR",
      "question": "Will Lisa Murkowski vote for Todd Blanche?",
      "description": "Lisa Murkowski",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Lisa Murkowski: The named Senator's recorded vote on the listed nominee, as documented in the official U.S. Senate roll call vote record by January 1, 2027, resolves this market.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Lisa Murkowski votes Yea for Todd Blanche for Attorney General before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nShould such a vote result in the rejection of the Nominee via a procedure that does not result in the recording of a tally of votes, or should a withdrawal of the nominee's nomination be formally communicated to the United States Senate, this market shall resolve to No. Should a vote result in the confirmation of the Nominee via a procedure that does not result in the recording of a tally of votes, this market shall resolve to Yes. Should more than one Senate confirmation vote on the confirmation of the Nominee to the Office be held, the outcome of the first such vote will be used to resolve this market. If the nominee is withdrawn (or intent to nominate a nominee is withdrawn by the President or President-elect), then the market will resolve to No. \n\nThe outcomes of committee votes, hearings, or reports, cloture votes and other procedural votes will have no impact on the resolution of this market. Once the vote has been closed and the correct result of the vote has been announced, a request by Lisa Murkowski to add, remove, or alter a vote shall not be considered for purposes of resolving this market, regardless of any change to the official vote tally reported by the website senate.gov or any other official source.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "U.S. Senate",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.rules.senate.gov/rules-of-the-senate",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "U.S. Senate",
            "url": "https://www.rules.senate.gov/rules-of-the-senate",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "senate.gov",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "U.S. Senate",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 100,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.33,
      "implied_probability": 0.33,
      "volume_24h_usd": 2.31,
      "volume_total_usd": 2718.9294000000004,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "alaska",
        "blanche confirmation",
        "lisa murkowski",
        "senator"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-BKQ59XKNN8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-J66NJ3ZHH7",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXVOTEBLANCHE-27-SCOL",
      "question": "Will Susan Collins vote for Todd Blanche?",
      "description": "Susan Collins",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Susan Collins: The named Senator's recorded vote on the listed nominee, as documented in the official U.S. Senate roll call vote record by January 1, 2027, resolves this market.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Susan Collins votes Yea for Todd Blanche for Attorney General before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nShould such a vote result in the rejection of the Nominee via a procedure that does not result in the recording of a tally of votes, or should a withdrawal of the nominee's nomination be formally communicated to the United States Senate, this market shall resolve to No. Should a vote result in the confirmation of the Nominee via a procedure that does not result in the recording of a tally of votes, this market shall resolve to Yes. Should more than one Senate confirmation vote on the confirmation of the Nominee to the Office be held, the outcome of the first such vote will be used to resolve this market. If the nominee is withdrawn (or intent to nominate a nominee is withdrawn by the President or President-elect), then the market will resolve to No. \n\nThe outcomes of committee votes, hearings, or reports, cloture votes and other procedural votes will have no impact on the resolution of this market. Once the vote has been closed and the correct result of the vote has been announced, a request by Susan Collins to add, remove, or alter a vote shall not be considered for purposes of resolving this market, regardless of any change to the official vote tally reported by the website senate.gov or any other official source.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "U.S. Senate",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.rules.senate.gov/rules-of-the-senate",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "U.S. Senate",
            "url": "https://www.rules.senate.gov/rules-of-the-senate",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "senate.gov",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "U.S. Senate",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 100,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.15,
      "implied_probability": 0.15,
      "volume_24h_usd": 43.1055,
      "volume_total_usd": 2064.7349999999997,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "blanche confirmation",
        "maine",
        "senator",
        "susan collins"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-N097DRL885",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-J66NJ3ZHH7",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXVOTEBLANCHE-27-MMCC",
      "question": "Will Mitch McConnell vote for Todd Blanche?",
      "description": "Mitch McConnell",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Mitch McConnell: The named Senator's recorded vote on the listed nominee, as documented in the official U.S. Senate roll call vote record by January 1, 2027, resolves this market.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Mitch McConnell votes Yea for Todd Blanche for Attorney General before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nShould such a vote result in the rejection of the Nominee via a procedure that does not result in the recording of a tally of votes, or should a withdrawal of the nominee's nomination be formally communicated to the United States Senate, this market shall resolve to No. Should a vote result in the confirmation of the Nominee via a procedure that does not result in the recording of a tally of votes, this market shall resolve to Yes. Should more than one Senate confirmation vote on the confirmation of the Nominee to the Office be held, the outcome of the first such vote will be used to resolve this market. If the nominee is withdrawn (or intent to nominate a nominee is withdrawn by the President or President-elect), then the market will resolve to No. \n\nThe outcomes of committee votes, hearings, or reports, cloture votes and other procedural votes will have no impact on the resolution of this market. Once the vote has been closed and the correct result of the vote has been announced, a request by Mitch McConnell to add, remove, or alter a vote shall not be considered for purposes of resolving this market, regardless of any change to the official vote tally reported by the website senate.gov or any other official source.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "U.S. Senate",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.rules.senate.gov/rules-of-the-senate",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "U.S. Senate",
            "url": "https://www.rules.senate.gov/rules-of-the-senate",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "senate.gov",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "U.S. Senate",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 100,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.18,
      "implied_probability": 0.18,
      "volume_24h_usd": 5.7456000000000005,
      "volume_total_usd": 3013.1298,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "blanche confirmation",
        "kentucky",
        "mitch mcconnell",
        "senator"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-28Q3MXSWB3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-J66NJ3ZHH7",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXVOTEBLANCHE-27-BCAS",
      "question": "Will Bill Cassidy vote for Todd Blanche?",
      "description": "Bill Cassidy",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Bill Cassidy: The named Senator's recorded vote on the listed nominee, as documented in the official U.S. Senate roll call vote record by January 1, 2027, resolves this market.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Bill Cassidy votes Yea for Todd Blanche for Attorney General before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nShould such a vote result in the rejection of the Nominee via a procedure that does not result in the recording of a tally of votes, or should a withdrawal of the nominee's nomination be formally communicated to the United States Senate, this market shall resolve to No. Should a vote result in the confirmation of the Nominee via a procedure that does not result in the recording of a tally of votes, this market shall resolve to Yes. Should more than one Senate confirmation vote on the confirmation of the Nominee to the Office be held, the outcome of the first such vote will be used to resolve this market. If the nominee is withdrawn (or intent to nominate a nominee is withdrawn by the President or President-elect), then the market will resolve to No. \n\nThe outcomes of committee votes, hearings, or reports, cloture votes and other procedural votes will have no impact on the resolution of this market. Once the vote has been closed and the correct result of the vote has been announced, a request by Bill Cassidy to add, remove, or alter a vote shall not be considered for purposes of resolving this market, regardless of any change to the official vote tally reported by the website senate.gov or any other official source.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "U.S. Senate",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.rules.senate.gov/rules-of-the-senate",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "U.S. Senate",
            "url": "https://www.rules.senate.gov/rules-of-the-senate",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "senate.gov",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "U.S. Senate",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 100,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.32,
      "implied_probability": 0.32,
      "volume_24h_usd": 6.454400000000001,
      "volume_total_usd": 3542.0384000000004,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "bill cassidy",
        "blanche confirmation",
        "louisiana",
        "senator"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-5GBWJ1Z6W6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-J66NJ3ZHH7",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXVOTEBLANCHE-27-JCOR",
      "question": "Will John Cornyn vote for Todd Blanche?",
      "description": "John Cornyn",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "John Cornyn: The named Senator's recorded vote on the listed nominee, as documented in the official U.S. Senate roll call vote record by January 1, 2027, resolves this market.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If John Cornyn votes Yea for Todd Blanche for Attorney General before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nShould such a vote result in the rejection of the Nominee via a procedure that does not result in the recording of a tally of votes, or should a withdrawal of the nominee's nomination be formally communicated to the United States Senate, this market shall resolve to No. Should a vote result in the confirmation of the Nominee via a procedure that does not result in the recording of a tally of votes, this market shall resolve to Yes. Should more than one Senate confirmation vote on the confirmation of the Nominee to the Office be held, the outcome of the first such vote will be used to resolve this market. If the nominee is withdrawn (or intent to nominate a nominee is withdrawn by the President or President-elect), then the market will resolve to No. \n\nThe outcomes of committee votes, hearings, or reports, cloture votes and other procedural votes will have no impact on the resolution of this market. Once the vote has been closed and the correct result of the vote has been announced, a request by John Cornyn to add, remove, or alter a vote shall not be considered for purposes of resolving this market, regardless of any change to the official vote tally reported by the website senate.gov or any other official source.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "U.S. Senate",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.rules.senate.gov/rules-of-the-senate",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "U.S. Senate",
            "url": "https://www.rules.senate.gov/rules-of-the-senate",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "senate.gov",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "U.S. Senate",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 100,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.5,
      "implied_probability": 0.5,
      "volume_24h_usd": 471.685,
      "volume_total_usd": 8975.67,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "blanche confirmation",
        "john cornyn",
        "senator",
        "texas"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-3SMMSJVJM6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-J66NJ3ZHH7",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXVOTEBLANCHE-27-JFET",
      "question": "Will John Fetterman vote for Todd Blanche?",
      "description": "John Fetterman",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "John Fetterman: The named Senator's recorded vote on the listed nominee, as documented in the official U.S. Senate roll call vote record by January 1, 2027, resolves this market.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If John Fetterman votes Yea for Todd Blanche for Attorney General before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nShould such a vote result in the rejection of the Nominee via a procedure that does not result in the recording of a tally of votes, or should a withdrawal of the nominee's nomination be formally communicated to the United States Senate, this market shall resolve to No. Should a vote result in the confirmation of the Nominee via a procedure that does not result in the recording of a tally of votes, this market shall resolve to Yes. Should more than one Senate confirmation vote on the confirmation of the Nominee to the Office be held, the outcome of the first such vote will be used to resolve this market. If the nominee is withdrawn (or intent to nominate a nominee is withdrawn by the President or President-elect), then the market will resolve to No. \n\nThe outcomes of committee votes, hearings, or reports, cloture votes and other procedural votes will have no impact on the resolution of this market. Once the vote has been closed and the correct result of the vote has been announced, a request by John Fetterman to add, remove, or alter a vote shall not be considered for purposes of resolving this market, regardless of any change to the official vote tally reported by the website senate.gov or any other official source.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "U.S. Senate",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.rules.senate.gov/rules-of-the-senate",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "U.S. Senate",
            "url": "https://www.rules.senate.gov/rules-of-the-senate",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "senate.gov",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "U.S. Senate",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 100,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.07,
      "implied_probability": 0.07,
      "volume_24h_usd": 81.9427,
      "volume_total_usd": 853.5555,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "blanche confirmation",
        "john fetterman",
        "pennsylvania",
        "senator"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-YFBCQPK564",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-J66NJ3ZHH7",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXVOTEBLANCHE-27-TTUB",
      "question": "Will Tommy Tuberville vote for Todd Blanche?",
      "description": "Tommy Tuberville",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Tommy Tuberville: The named Senator's recorded vote on the listed nominee, as documented in the official U.S. Senate roll call vote record by January 1, 2027, resolves this market.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Tommy Tuberville votes Yea for Todd Blanche for Attorney General before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nShould such a vote result in the rejection of the Nominee via a procedure that does not result in the recording of a tally of votes, or should a withdrawal of the nominee's nomination be formally communicated to the United States Senate, this market shall resolve to No. Should a vote result in the confirmation of the Nominee via a procedure that does not result in the recording of a tally of votes, this market shall resolve to Yes. Should more than one Senate confirmation vote on the confirmation of the Nominee to the Office be held, the outcome of the first such vote will be used to resolve this market. If the nominee is withdrawn (or intent to nominate a nominee is withdrawn by the President or President-elect), then the market will resolve to No. \n\nThe outcomes of committee votes, hearings, or reports, cloture votes and other procedural votes will have no impact on the resolution of this market. Once the vote has been closed and the correct result of the vote has been announced, a request by Tommy Tuberville to add, remove, or alter a vote shall not be considered for purposes of resolving this market, regardless of any change to the official vote tally reported by the website senate.gov or any other official source.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "U.S. Senate",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.rules.senate.gov/rules-of-the-senate",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "U.S. Senate",
            "url": "https://www.rules.senate.gov/rules-of-the-senate",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "senate.gov",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "U.S. Senate",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 100,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.52,
      "implied_probability": 0.52,
      "volume_24h_usd": 724.7812,
      "volume_total_usd": 12079.5532,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "alabama",
        "blanche confirmation",
        "senator",
        "tommy tuberville"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-2D16RJZ5P6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-J66NJ3ZHH7",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXVOTEBLANCHE-27-JTHU",
      "question": "Will John Thune vote for Todd Blanche?",
      "description": "John Thune",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "John Thune: The named Senator's recorded vote on the listed nominee, as documented in the official U.S. Senate roll call vote record by January 1, 2027, resolves this market.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If John Thune votes Yea for Todd Blanche for Attorney General before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nShould such a vote result in the rejection of the Nominee via a procedure that does not result in the recording of a tally of votes, or should a withdrawal of the nominee's nomination be formally communicated to the United States Senate, this market shall resolve to No. Should a vote result in the confirmation of the Nominee via a procedure that does not result in the recording of a tally of votes, this market shall resolve to Yes. Should more than one Senate confirmation vote on the confirmation of the Nominee to the Office be held, the outcome of the first such vote will be used to resolve this market. If the nominee is withdrawn (or intent to nominate a nominee is withdrawn by the President or President-elect), then the market will resolve to No. \n\nThe outcomes of committee votes, hearings, or reports, cloture votes and other procedural votes will have no impact on the resolution of this market. Once the vote has been closed and the correct result of the vote has been announced, a request by John Thune to add, remove, or alter a vote shall not be considered for purposes of resolving this market, regardless of any change to the official vote tally reported by the website senate.gov or any other official source.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "U.S. Senate",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.rules.senate.gov/rules-of-the-senate",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "U.S. Senate",
            "url": "https://www.rules.senate.gov/rules-of-the-senate",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "senate.gov",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "U.S. Senate",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 100,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.51,
      "implied_probability": 0.51,
      "volume_24h_usd": 846.5235,
      "volume_total_usd": 5125.897800000001,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "blanche confirmation",
        "john thune",
        "senator",
        "south dakota"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-HW2CN5HYG8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-J66NJ3ZHH7",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXVOTEBLANCHE-27-JHUS",
      "question": "Will Jon Husted vote for Todd Blanche?",
      "description": "Jon Husted",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Jon Husted: The named Senator's recorded vote on the listed nominee, as documented in the official U.S. Senate roll call vote record by January 1, 2027, resolves this market.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Jon Husted votes Yea for Todd Blanche for Attorney General before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nShould such a vote result in the rejection of the Nominee via a procedure that does not result in the recording of a tally of votes, or should a withdrawal of the nominee's nomination be formally communicated to the United States Senate, this market shall resolve to No. Should a vote result in the confirmation of the Nominee via a procedure that does not result in the recording of a tally of votes, this market shall resolve to Yes. Should more than one Senate confirmation vote on the confirmation of the Nominee to the Office be held, the outcome of the first such vote will be used to resolve this market. If the nominee is withdrawn (or intent to nominate a nominee is withdrawn by the President or President-elect), then the market will resolve to No. \n\nThe outcomes of committee votes, hearings, or reports, cloture votes and other procedural votes will have no impact on the resolution of this market. Once the vote has been closed and the correct result of the vote has been announced, a request by Jon Husted to add, remove, or alter a vote shall not be considered for purposes of resolving this market, regardless of any change to the official vote tally reported by the website senate.gov or any other official source.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "U.S. Senate",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.rules.senate.gov/rules-of-the-senate",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "U.S. Senate",
            "url": "https://www.rules.senate.gov/rules-of-the-senate",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "senate.gov",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "U.S. Senate",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 100,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.54,
      "implied_probability": 0.54,
      "volume_24h_usd": 103.7934,
      "volume_total_usd": 1287.5976,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "blanche confirmation",
        "jon husted",
        "ohio",
        "senator"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-J66NJ3ZHH7",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}