{
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    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
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  "event_id": "CM-EVT-CSYS5KPXK6",
  "slug": "kxvoteclarity-26may16",
  "question": "Senate votes on crypto market structure bill, May 16, 2026",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "LADDER",
  "ladder_distribution": {
    "direction": "above",
    "implied_band": [
      55,
      50
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    "strikes": [
      {
        "threshold": 50,
        "prob": 49
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      {
        "threshold": 55,
        "prob": 50
      },
      {
        "threshold": 58,
        "prob": 44
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      {
        "threshold": 60,
        "prob": 26
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      {
        "threshold": 62,
        "prob": 18
      },
      {
        "threshold": 64,
        "prob": 11
      },
      {
        "threshold": 66,
        "prob": 11
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      {
        "threshold": 68,
        "prob": 8
      }
    ]
  },
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "us-senate",
    "legislation",
    "vote-count",
    "clarity-act",
    "2027"
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  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track Senate Yea votes on a cryptocurrency market structure bill, resolving by January 2027. Kalshi structures the event as a series of discrete strike thresholds, from above 50 to above 68 votes, each pricing the probability that final vote count clears that level. The spread between adjacent strikes implies a market-derived distribution of likely vote totals. Resolution relies on Kalshi staff determination using the Library of Congress vote record as the authoritative source.",
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  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-1790RJ1XV1",
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  "created_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-1790RJ1XV1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-CSYS5KPXK6",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXVOTECLARITY-26MAY16-T50",
      "question": "How many Senate members will vote Yea on a crypto market structure bill (as defined in KXCRYPTOSTRUCTURE)?",
      "description": "Above 50",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 50: The Library of Congress vote record for the referenced cryptocurrency market structure bill will determine the count of Senate Yea votes by January 1, 2027, resolved by Kalshi staff determination.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the number of Senate voting Yea on a crypto market structure bill (as defined in KXCRYPTOSTRUCTURE) before Jan 1, 2027 is above 50, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nKXCRYPTOSTRUCTURE: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxcryptostructure/crypto-market-structure/kxcryptostructure-26jan\n\nThe vote must occur in the relevant full chamber (that is, not a Committee vote, though not every member of the chamber needs to have participated in the vote). If no vote has occurred before the specified date, then any market not including \"zero\" within its count (e.g. \"Between 50 and 64\") resolves to No, and any market including \"zero\" (e.g. \"Below 50\") resolves to Yes. If the vote count is not specified but the bill is passed, any market including \"100\" for the Senate and \"435\" for the House of Representatives (e.g. \"Between 65 and 100\" or \"Between 300 and 435\") will resolve to Yes, and any market not including \"100\" or \"435\", respectively, (e.g. \"Below 65\") resolves to No.\n\nOnce the market has expired, a request by any Member of Congress to add, remove, or alter a vote shall not be considered for purposes of resolving this market, regardless of any change to the official vote tally reported by the website Congress.gov or any other official source.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Library of Congress",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.congress.gov/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Library of Congress",
            "url": "https://www.congress.gov/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Congress.gov",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_of_record": "Library of Congress",
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        "source_commitment": "named",
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        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 75,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.49,
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      "volume_24h_usd": 50.22,
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      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
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      "question_id": null,
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      "tags": [
        "clarity-act",
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        "legislation",
        "senate votes for",
        "us-senate"
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-D5K8XQG6H7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-CSYS5KPXK6",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXVOTECLARITY-26MAY16-T55",
      "question": "How many Senate members will vote Yea on a crypto market structure bill (as defined in KXCRYPTOSTRUCTURE)?",
      "description": "Above 55",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 55: The Library of Congress vote record for the referenced cryptocurrency market structure bill will determine the count of Senate Yea votes by January 1, 2027, resolved by Kalshi staff determination.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
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        "rules_raw": "If the number of Senate voting Yea on a crypto market structure bill (as defined in KXCRYPTOSTRUCTURE) before Jan 1, 2027 is above 55, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nKXCRYPTOSTRUCTURE: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxcryptostructure/crypto-market-structure/kxcryptostructure-26jan\n\nThe vote must occur in the relevant full chamber (that is, not a Committee vote, though not every member of the chamber needs to have participated in the vote). If no vote has occurred before the specified date, then any market not including \"zero\" within its count (e.g. \"Between 50 and 64\") resolves to No, and any market including \"zero\" (e.g. \"Below 50\") resolves to Yes. If the vote count is not specified but the bill is passed, any market including \"100\" for the Senate and \"435\" for the House of Representatives (e.g. \"Between 65 and 100\" or \"Between 300 and 435\") will resolve to Yes, and any market not including \"100\" or \"435\", respectively, (e.g. \"Below 65\") resolves to No.\n\nOnce the market has expired, a request by any Member of Congress to add, remove, or alter a vote shall not be considered for purposes of resolving this market, regardless of any change to the official vote tally reported by the website Congress.gov or any other official source.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
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        "source": "Library of Congress",
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        "source_citation": "https://www.congress.gov/",
        "sources": [
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            "name": "Library of Congress",
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          {
            "name": "Congress.gov",
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            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "grade": "B",
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      "settlement_style": "touch",
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-YQ1CBPY1K1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-CSYS5KPXK6",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXVOTECLARITY-26MAY16-T58",
      "question": "How many Senate members will vote Yea on a crypto market structure bill (as defined in KXCRYPTOSTRUCTURE)?",
      "description": "Above 58",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 58: The Library of Congress vote record for the referenced cryptocurrency market structure bill will determine the count of Senate Yea votes by January 1, 2027, resolved by Kalshi staff determination.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the number of Senate voting Yea on a crypto market structure bill (as defined in KXCRYPTOSTRUCTURE) before Jan 1, 2027 is above 58, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nKXCRYPTOSTRUCTURE: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxcryptostructure/crypto-market-structure/kxcryptostructure-26jan\n\nThe vote must occur in the relevant full chamber (that is, not a Committee vote, though not every member of the chamber needs to have participated in the vote). If no vote has occurred before the specified date, then any market not including \"zero\" within its count (e.g. \"Between 50 and 64\") resolves to No, and any market including \"zero\" (e.g. \"Below 50\") resolves to Yes. If the vote count is not specified but the bill is passed, any market including \"100\" for the Senate and \"435\" for the House of Representatives (e.g. \"Between 65 and 100\" or \"Between 300 and 435\") will resolve to Yes, and any market not including \"100\" or \"435\", respectively, (e.g. \"Below 65\") resolves to No.\n\nOnce the market has expired, a request by any Member of Congress to add, remove, or alter a vote shall not be considered for purposes of resolving this market, regardless of any change to the official vote tally reported by the website Congress.gov or any other official source.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Library of Congress",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.congress.gov/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Library of Congress",
            "url": "https://www.congress.gov/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "Congress.gov",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 75,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.44,
      "implied_probability": 0.44,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 472.74,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 58,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "clarity-act",
        "crypto",
        "legislation",
        "senate votes for",
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      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-YTTSDGXXZ5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-CSYS5KPXK6",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXVOTECLARITY-26MAY16-T60",
      "question": "How many Senate members will vote Yea on a crypto market structure bill (as defined in KXCRYPTOSTRUCTURE)?",
      "description": "Above 60",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 60: The Library of Congress vote record for the referenced cryptocurrency market structure bill will determine the count of Senate Yea votes by January 1, 2027, resolved by Kalshi staff determination.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the number of Senate voting Yea on a crypto market structure bill (as defined in KXCRYPTOSTRUCTURE) before Jan 1, 2027 is above 60, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nKXCRYPTOSTRUCTURE: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxcryptostructure/crypto-market-structure/kxcryptostructure-26jan\n\nThe vote must occur in the relevant full chamber (that is, not a Committee vote, though not every member of the chamber needs to have participated in the vote). If no vote has occurred before the specified date, then any market not including \"zero\" within its count (e.g. \"Between 50 and 64\") resolves to No, and any market including \"zero\" (e.g. \"Below 50\") resolves to Yes. If the vote count is not specified but the bill is passed, any market including \"100\" for the Senate and \"435\" for the House of Representatives (e.g. \"Between 65 and 100\" or \"Between 300 and 435\") will resolve to Yes, and any market not including \"100\" or \"435\", respectively, (e.g. \"Below 65\") resolves to No.\n\nOnce the market has expired, a request by any Member of Congress to add, remove, or alter a vote shall not be considered for purposes of resolving this market, regardless of any change to the official vote tally reported by the website Congress.gov or any other official source.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Library of Congress",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.congress.gov/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Library of Congress",
            "url": "https://www.congress.gov/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "Congress.gov",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_hedge_text": null
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        "grade": "B",
        "score": 75,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.26,
      "implied_probability": 0.26,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 1106.2,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 60,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "clarity-act",
        "crypto",
        "legislation",
        "senate votes for",
        "us-senate"
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      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-JC3RHCS4C8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-CSYS5KPXK6",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXVOTECLARITY-26MAY16-T62",
      "question": "How many Senate members will vote Yea on a crypto market structure bill (as defined in KXCRYPTOSTRUCTURE)?",
      "description": "Above 62",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 62: The Library of Congress vote record for the referenced cryptocurrency market structure bill will determine the count of Senate Yea votes by January 1, 2027, resolved by Kalshi staff determination.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the number of Senate voting Yea on a crypto market structure bill (as defined in KXCRYPTOSTRUCTURE) before Jan 1, 2027 is above 62, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nKXCRYPTOSTRUCTURE: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxcryptostructure/crypto-market-structure/kxcryptostructure-26jan\n\nThe vote must occur in the relevant full chamber (that is, not a Committee vote, though not every member of the chamber needs to have participated in the vote). If no vote has occurred before the specified date, then any market not including \"zero\" within its count (e.g. \"Between 50 and 64\") resolves to No, and any market including \"zero\" (e.g. \"Below 50\") resolves to Yes. If the vote count is not specified but the bill is passed, any market including \"100\" for the Senate and \"435\" for the House of Representatives (e.g. \"Between 65 and 100\" or \"Between 300 and 435\") will resolve to Yes, and any market not including \"100\" or \"435\", respectively, (e.g. \"Below 65\") resolves to No.\n\nOnce the market has expired, a request by any Member of Congress to add, remove, or alter a vote shall not be considered for purposes of resolving this market, regardless of any change to the official vote tally reported by the website Congress.gov or any other official source.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Library of Congress",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.congress.gov/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Library of Congress",
            "url": "https://www.congress.gov/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "Congress.gov",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 369.67,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
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      "question_id": null,
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      "tags": [
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        "legislation",
        "senate votes for",
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      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-G0FRKGTSW7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-CSYS5KPXK6",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXVOTECLARITY-26MAY16-T64",
      "question": "How many Senate members will vote Yea on a crypto market structure bill (as defined in KXCRYPTOSTRUCTURE)?",
      "description": "Above 64",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 64: The Library of Congress vote record for the referenced cryptocurrency market structure bill will determine the count of Senate Yea votes by January 1, 2027, resolved by Kalshi staff determination.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the number of Senate voting Yea on a crypto market structure bill (as defined in KXCRYPTOSTRUCTURE) before Jan 1, 2027 is above 64, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nKXCRYPTOSTRUCTURE: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxcryptostructure/crypto-market-structure/kxcryptostructure-26jan\n\nThe vote must occur in the relevant full chamber (that is, not a Committee vote, though not every member of the chamber needs to have participated in the vote). If no vote has occurred before the specified date, then any market not including \"zero\" within its count (e.g. \"Between 50 and 64\") resolves to No, and any market including \"zero\" (e.g. \"Below 50\") resolves to Yes. If the vote count is not specified but the bill is passed, any market including \"100\" for the Senate and \"435\" for the House of Representatives (e.g. \"Between 65 and 100\" or \"Between 300 and 435\") will resolve to Yes, and any market not including \"100\" or \"435\", respectively, (e.g. \"Below 65\") resolves to No.\n\nOnce the market has expired, a request by any Member of Congress to add, remove, or alter a vote shall not be considered for purposes of resolving this market, regardless of any change to the official vote tally reported by the website Congress.gov or any other official source.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Library of Congress",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.congress.gov/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Library of Congress",
            "url": "https://www.congress.gov/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "Congress.gov",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_of_record": "Library of Congress",
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      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
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      "question_id": null,
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      "tags": [
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        "senate votes for",
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      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-DZBPFHDD50",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-CSYS5KPXK6",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXVOTECLARITY-26MAY16-T66",
      "question": "How many Senate members will vote Yea on a crypto market structure bill (as defined in KXCRYPTOSTRUCTURE)?",
      "description": "Above 66",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 66: The Library of Congress vote record for the referenced cryptocurrency market structure bill will determine the count of Senate Yea votes by January 1, 2027, resolved by Kalshi staff determination.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the number of Senate voting Yea on a crypto market structure bill (as defined in KXCRYPTOSTRUCTURE) before Jan 1, 2027 is above 66, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nKXCRYPTOSTRUCTURE: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxcryptostructure/crypto-market-structure/kxcryptostructure-26jan\n\nThe vote must occur in the relevant full chamber (that is, not a Committee vote, though not every member of the chamber needs to have participated in the vote). If no vote has occurred before the specified date, then any market not including \"zero\" within its count (e.g. \"Between 50 and 64\") resolves to No, and any market including \"zero\" (e.g. \"Below 50\") resolves to Yes. If the vote count is not specified but the bill is passed, any market including \"100\" for the Senate and \"435\" for the House of Representatives (e.g. \"Between 65 and 100\" or \"Between 300 and 435\") will resolve to Yes, and any market not including \"100\" or \"435\", respectively, (e.g. \"Below 65\") resolves to No.\n\nOnce the market has expired, a request by any Member of Congress to add, remove, or alter a vote shall not be considered for purposes of resolving this market, regardless of any change to the official vote tally reported by the website Congress.gov or any other official source.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Library of Congress",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.congress.gov/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Library of Congress",
            "url": "https://www.congress.gov/",
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          {
            "name": "Congress.gov",
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            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
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        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 75,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.11,
      "implied_probability": 0.11,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 53.04,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 66,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "clarity-act",
        "crypto",
        "legislation",
        "senate votes for",
        "us-senate"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-HQ83YQPDJ8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-CSYS5KPXK6",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXVOTECLARITY-26MAY16-T68",
      "question": "How many Senate members will vote Yea on a crypto market structure bill (as defined in KXCRYPTOSTRUCTURE)?",
      "description": "Above 68",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 68: The Library of Congress vote record for the referenced cryptocurrency market structure bill will determine the count of Senate Yea votes by January 1, 2027, resolved by Kalshi staff determination.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the number of Senate voting Yea on a crypto market structure bill (as defined in KXCRYPTOSTRUCTURE) before Jan 1, 2027 is above 68, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nKXCRYPTOSTRUCTURE: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxcryptostructure/crypto-market-structure/kxcryptostructure-26jan\n\nThe vote must occur in the relevant full chamber (that is, not a Committee vote, though not every member of the chamber needs to have participated in the vote). If no vote has occurred before the specified date, then any market not including \"zero\" within its count (e.g. \"Between 50 and 64\") resolves to No, and any market including \"zero\" (e.g. \"Below 50\") resolves to Yes. If the vote count is not specified but the bill is passed, any market including \"100\" for the Senate and \"435\" for the House of Representatives (e.g. \"Between 65 and 100\" or \"Between 300 and 435\") will resolve to Yes, and any market not including \"100\" or \"435\", respectively, (e.g. \"Below 65\") resolves to No.\n\nOnce the market has expired, a request by any Member of Congress to add, remove, or alter a vote shall not be considered for purposes of resolving this market, regardless of any change to the official vote tally reported by the website Congress.gov or any other official source.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Library of Congress",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.congress.gov/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Library of Congress",
            "url": "https://www.congress.gov/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Congress.gov",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Library of Congress",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 75,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.08,
      "implied_probability": 0.08,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 27.38,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 68,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "clarity-act",
        "crypto",
        "legislation",
        "senate votes for",
        "us-senate"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-CSYS5KPXK6",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}