{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-ZXC0NSR2P9",
  "slug": "kxvotepercentbinface-clactonbyelection26sep01cbin",
  "question": "Will Count Binface receive at least X percent of the vote in the Clacton by-election?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "uk-politics",
    "clacton-by-election",
    "count-binface",
    "electoral-performance",
    "2027"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track Count Binface's vote share in the 2026 Clacton by-election. Kalshi structures the event as eight discrete strike thresholds, from 5% to 40% in five-point increments. Each tier resolves via Kalshi staff determination using official results from the UK electoral authority. The implied vote share distribution is read from the spread between consecutive strikes.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-KYNKMNXZY9",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.88,
    "implied_probability": 0.88
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-KYNKMNXZY9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-ZXC0NSR2P9",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXVOTEPERCENTBINFACE-CLACTONBYELECTION26SEP01CBIN-52",
      "question": "Will Count Binface Party receive at least 5% of the popular vote in the 2026 Clacton by-election?",
      "description": "At least 5%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "At least 5%: Official results from the named geography's government website, published by the relevant electoral authority, determine if the referenced party receives at least 5% of the popular vote, by September 1, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-09-01T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-09-01T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Count Binface Party in the 2026 Clacton by-election is 5% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places. Resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If multiple rounds of voting occur (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not specified. If the election is cancelled, postponed beyond the market expiration, or no certified results are available by expiration, the market resolves to No. If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "official government website of <geography>",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://www.usa.gov/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "official government website of <geography>",
            "url": "https://www.usa.gov/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
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      },
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        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.88,
      "implied_probability": 0.88,
      "volume_24h_usd": 138.16,
      "volume_total_usd": 11177.7424,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": 5,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "by-election",
        "clacton",
        "count binface",
        "count binface party",
        "uk politics"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-LPS91JBPD2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-ZXC0NSR2P9",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXVOTEPERCENTBINFACE-CLACTONBYELECTION26SEP01CBIN-55",
      "question": "Will Count Binface Party receive at least 10% of the popular vote in the 2026 Clacton by-election?",
      "description": "At least 10%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "At least 10%: Official results from the named geography's government website, published by the relevant electoral authority, determine if the referenced party receives at least 5% of the popular vote, by September 1, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-09-01T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-09-01T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Count Binface Party in the 2026 Clacton by-election is 10% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places. Resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If multiple rounds of voting occur (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not specified. If the election is cancelled, postponed beyond the market expiration, or no certified results are available by expiration, the market resolves to No. If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
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        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://www.usa.gov/",
        "sources": [
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            "name": "official government website of <geography>",
            "url": "https://www.usa.gov/",
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          }
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        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
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        "score": 80,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.72,
      "implied_probability": 0.72,
      "volume_24h_usd": 104.39999999999999,
      "volume_total_usd": 8809.6896,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": 10,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "by-election",
        "clacton",
        "count binface",
        "count binface party",
        "uk politics"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-F0ZQ0RKC62",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-ZXC0NSR2P9",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXVOTEPERCENTBINFACE-CLACTONBYELECTION26SEP01CBIN-57",
      "question": "Will Count Binface Party receive at least 15% of the popular vote in the 2026 Clacton by-election?",
      "description": "At least 15%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "At least 15%: Official results from the named geography's government website, published by the relevant electoral authority, determine if the referenced party receives at least 5% of the popular vote, by September 1, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-09-01T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-09-01T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Count Binface Party in the 2026 Clacton by-election is 15% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places. Resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If multiple rounds of voting occur (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not specified. If the election is cancelled, postponed beyond the market expiration, or no certified results are available by expiration, the market resolves to No. If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "official government website of <geography>",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://www.usa.gov/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "official government website of <geography>",
            "url": "https://www.usa.gov/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
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        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 80,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.67,
      "implied_probability": 0.67,
      "volume_24h_usd": 75.9713,
      "volume_total_usd": 3028.7015,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": 15,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "by-election",
        "clacton",
        "count binface",
        "count binface party",
        "uk politics"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-BZZ6QZL208",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-ZXC0NSR2P9",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXVOTEPERCENTBINFACE-CLACTONBYELECTION26SEP01CBIN-60",
      "question": "Will Count Binface Party receive at least 20% of the popular vote in the 2026 Clacton by-election?",
      "description": "At least 20%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "At least 20%: Official results from the named geography's government website, published by the relevant electoral authority, determine if the referenced party receives at least 5% of the popular vote, by September 1, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-09-01T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-09-01T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Count Binface Party in the 2026 Clacton by-election is 20% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places. Resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If multiple rounds of voting occur (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not specified. If the election is cancelled, postponed beyond the market expiration, or no certified results are available by expiration, the market resolves to No. If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "official government website of <geography>",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://www.usa.gov/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "official government website of <geography>",
            "url": "https://www.usa.gov/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 80,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.47,
      "implied_probability": 0.47,
      "volume_24h_usd": 79.50519999999999,
      "volume_total_usd": 6922.9496,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": 20,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "by-election",
        "clacton",
        "count binface",
        "count binface party",
        "uk politics"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-7KFZNZ15F6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-ZXC0NSR2P9",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXVOTEPERCENTBINFACE-CLACTONBYELECTION26SEP01CBIN-62",
      "question": "Will Count Binface Party receive at least 25% of the popular vote in the 2026 Clacton by-election?",
      "description": "At least 25%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "At least 25%: Official results from the named geography's government website, published by the relevant electoral authority, determine if the referenced party receives at least 5% of the popular vote, by September 1, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-09-01T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-09-01T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Count Binface Party in the 2026 Clacton by-election is 25% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places. Resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If multiple rounds of voting occur (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not specified. If the election is cancelled, postponed beyond the market expiration, or no certified results are available by expiration, the market resolves to No. If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "official government website of <geography>",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://www.usa.gov/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "official government website of <geography>",
            "url": "https://www.usa.gov/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
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        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 80,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.31,
      "implied_probability": 0.31,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 2566.3970000000004,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": 25,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "by-election",
        "clacton",
        "count binface",
        "count binface party",
        "uk politics"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-J32235CVL6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-ZXC0NSR2P9",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXVOTEPERCENTBINFACE-CLACTONBYELECTION26SEP01CBIN-65",
      "question": "Will Count Binface Party receive at least 30% of the popular vote in the 2026 Clacton by-election?",
      "description": "At least 30%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "At least 30%: Official results from the named geography's government website, published by the relevant electoral authority, determine if the referenced party receives at least 5% of the popular vote, by September 1, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-09-01T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-09-01T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Count Binface Party in the 2026 Clacton by-election is 30% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places. Resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If multiple rounds of voting occur (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not specified. If the election is cancelled, postponed beyond the market expiration, or no certified results are available by expiration, the market resolves to No. If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "official government website of <geography>",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://www.usa.gov/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "official government website of <geography>",
            "url": "https://www.usa.gov/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 80,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.21,
      "implied_probability": 0.21,
      "volume_24h_usd": 52.7499,
      "volume_total_usd": 4316.776800000001,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": 30,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "by-election",
        "clacton",
        "count binface",
        "count binface party",
        "uk politics"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-JPQP8YQBK6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-ZXC0NSR2P9",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXVOTEPERCENTBINFACE-CLACTONBYELECTION26SEP01CBIN-67",
      "question": "Will Count Binface Party receive at least 35% of the popular vote in the 2026 Clacton by-election?",
      "description": "At least 35%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "At least 35%: Official results from the named geography's government website, published by the relevant electoral authority, determine if the referenced party receives at least 5% of the popular vote, by September 1, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-09-01T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-09-01T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Count Binface Party in the 2026 Clacton by-election is 35% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places. Resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If multiple rounds of voting occur (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not specified. If the election is cancelled, postponed beyond the market expiration, or no certified results are available by expiration, the market resolves to No. If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "official government website of <geography>",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://www.usa.gov/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "official government website of <geography>",
            "url": "https://www.usa.gov/",
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        "source_of_record": null,
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        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
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      "rcg": {
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        "score": 80,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.14,
      "implied_probability": 0.14,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 282.9484,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": 35,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "by-election",
        "clacton",
        "count binface",
        "count binface party",
        "uk politics"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-WL6XYCZ3F5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-ZXC0NSR2P9",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXVOTEPERCENTBINFACE-CLACTONBYELECTION26SEP01CBIN-70",
      "question": "Will Count Binface Party receive at least 40% of the popular vote in the 2026 Clacton by-election?",
      "description": "At least 40%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "At least 40%: Official results from the named geography's government website, published by the relevant electoral authority, determine if the referenced party receives at least 5% of the popular vote, by September 1, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-09-01T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-09-01T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Count Binface Party in the 2026 Clacton by-election is 40% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places. Resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If multiple rounds of voting occur (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not specified. If the election is cancelled, postponed beyond the market expiration, or no certified results are available by expiration, the market resolves to No. If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "official government website of <geography>",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://www.usa.gov/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "official government website of <geography>",
            "url": "https://www.usa.gov/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
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        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 80,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.12,
      "implied_probability": 0.12,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 266.8044,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": 40,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "by-election",
        "clacton",
        "count binface",
        "count binface party",
        "uk politics"
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  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-ZXC0NSR2P9",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}