{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-5X1HGWJPJ3",
  "slug": "kxvoteprimary-26jun02tsye",
  "question": "Will Tom Steyer receive at least X percent of the vote in the California governor primary?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "california-politics",
    "2026-gubernatorial-primary",
    "tom-steyer",
    "vote-share-prediction",
    "us-election"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track Tom Steyer's vote share in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary. Kalshi structures the question as nine discrete percentage-band tiers, each resolved independently by Kalshi staff determination. The authoritative source is the California Secretary of State's official election results. Resolution is set for June 2, 2027, allowing time for certified vote totals to be published.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-NJTGJFG4Y1",
  "current_primary_mark": {
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    "implied_probability": 0.99
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-SMGDT9V469",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-5X1HGWJPJ3",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXVOTEPRIMARY-26JUN02TSYE-2",
      "question": "Will Tom Steyer receive between 0% and 4% of the popular vote in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary?",
      "description": "Below 4%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Below 4%: California Secretary of State official election results determine the named candidate's popular vote share in the 2026 gubernatorial primary, resolved by Kalshi staff on or after June 2, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-06-02T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-06-02T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Tom Steyer in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary is 0% to 3.99%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places. Resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If multiple rounds of voting occur (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not specified. If the election is cancelled, postponed beyond the market expiration, or no certified results are available by expiration, the market resolves to No. If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
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        "source_citation": "https://www.usa.gov/",
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      "market_id": "CM-MKT-P1921210X5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-5X1HGWJPJ3",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXVOTEPRIMARY-26JUN02TSYE-6",
      "question": "Will Tom Steyer receive between 4% and 8% of the popular vote in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary?",
      "description": "4% - 8%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "4% - 8%: California Secretary of State official election results determine the named candidate's popular vote share in the 2026 gubernatorial primary, resolved by Kalshi staff on or after June 2, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-06-02T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-06-02T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Tom Steyer in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary is 4% to 7.99%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places. Resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If multiple rounds of voting occur (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not specified. If the election is cancelled, postponed beyond the market expiration, or no certified results are available by expiration, the market resolves to No. If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
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      "market_id": "CM-MKT-Z31VJK9PV9",
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      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXVOTEPRIMARY-26JUN02TSYE-10",
      "question": "Will Tom Steyer receive between 8% and 12% of the popular vote in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary?",
      "description": "8% - 12%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "8% - 12%: California Secretary of State official election results determine the named candidate's popular vote share in the 2026 gubernatorial primary, resolved by Kalshi staff on or after June 2, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-06-02T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-06-02T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Tom Steyer in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary is 8% to 11.99%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places. Resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If multiple rounds of voting occur (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not specified. If the election is cancelled, postponed beyond the market expiration, or no certified results are available by expiration, the market resolves to No. If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "official government website of <geography>",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://www.usa.gov/",
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            "name": "official government website of <geography>",
            "url": "https://www.usa.gov/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "settlement_style": "touch",
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      "tags": [
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      "eligibility_screens": [
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          "bucket": null,
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    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-CR7V9GD596",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-5X1HGWJPJ3",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXVOTEPRIMARY-26JUN02TSYE-14",
      "question": "Will Tom Steyer receive between 12% and 16% of the popular vote in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary?",
      "description": "12% - 16%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "12% - 16%: California Secretary of State official election results determine the named candidate's popular vote share in the 2026 gubernatorial primary, resolved by Kalshi staff on or after June 2, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-06-02T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-06-02T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Tom Steyer in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary is 12% to 15.99%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places. Resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If multiple rounds of voting occur (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not specified. If the election is cancelled, postponed beyond the market expiration, or no certified results are available by expiration, the market resolves to No. If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "official government website of <geography>",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://www.usa.gov/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "official government website of <geography>",
            "url": "https://www.usa.gov/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
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        "score": 80,
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "implied_probability": 0.01,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 102.8664,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
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      "threshold": 16,
      "question_id": null,
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      "tags": [
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      "eligibility_screens": [
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-KV3QBHCW45",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-5X1HGWJPJ3",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXVOTEPRIMARY-26JUN02TSYE-18",
      "question": "Will Tom Steyer receive between 16% and 20% of the popular vote in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary?",
      "description": "16% - 20%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "16% - 20%: California Secretary of State official election results determine the named candidate's popular vote share in the 2026 gubernatorial primary, resolved by Kalshi staff on or after June 2, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-06-02T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-06-02T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Tom Steyer in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary is 16% to 19.99%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places. Resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If multiple rounds of voting occur (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not specified. If the election is cancelled, postponed beyond the market expiration, or no certified results are available by expiration, the market resolves to No. If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "official government website of <geography>",
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      "volume_total_usd": 325.4533,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
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      "question_id": null,
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      "tags": [
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      "eligibility_screens": [
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      "market_id": "CM-MKT-NJTGJFG4Y1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-5X1HGWJPJ3",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXVOTEPRIMARY-26JUN02TSYE-22",
      "question": "Will Tom Steyer receive between 20% and 24% of the popular vote in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary?",
      "description": "20% - 24%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "20% - 24%: California Secretary of State official election results determine the named candidate's popular vote share in the 2026 gubernatorial primary, resolved by Kalshi staff on or after June 2, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-06-02T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-06-02T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Tom Steyer in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary is 20% to 23.99%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places. Resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If multiple rounds of voting occur (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not specified. If the election is cancelled, postponed beyond the market expiration, or no certified results are available by expiration, the market resolves to No. If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "official government website of <geography>",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://www.usa.gov/",
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          {
            "name": "official government website of <geography>",
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      "settlement_style": "touch",
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      "tags": [
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        "tom steyer popular"
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      "eligibility_screens": [
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-0LYXPCKYG7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-5X1HGWJPJ3",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXVOTEPRIMARY-26JUN02TSYE-26",
      "question": "Will Tom Steyer receive between 24% and 28% of the popular vote in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary?",
      "description": "24% - 28%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "24% - 28%: California Secretary of State official election results determine the named candidate's popular vote share in the 2026 gubernatorial primary, resolved by Kalshi staff on or after June 2, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-06-02T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-06-02T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Tom Steyer in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary is 24% to 27.99%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places. Resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If multiple rounds of voting occur (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not specified. If the election is cancelled, postponed beyond the market expiration, or no certified results are available by expiration, the market resolves to No. If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
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        "source": "official government website of <geography>",
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        "steyer",
        "tom steyer popular"
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-NZGGK1BD42",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-5X1HGWJPJ3",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXVOTEPRIMARY-26JUN02TSYE-30",
      "question": "Will Tom Steyer receive between 28% and 32% of the popular vote in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary?",
      "description": "28% - 32%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "28% - 32%: California Secretary of State official election results determine the named candidate's popular vote share in the 2026 gubernatorial primary, resolved by Kalshi staff on or after June 2, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-06-02T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-06-02T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Tom Steyer in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary is 28% to 31.99%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places. Resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If multiple rounds of voting occur (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not specified. If the election is cancelled, postponed beyond the market expiration, or no certified results are available by expiration, the market resolves to No. If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
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        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
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        "grade": "C",
        "score": 80,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.01,
      "implied_probability": 0.01,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 53.6364,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 32,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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        "california",
        "governor",
        "primary",
        "steyer",
        "tom steyer popular"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
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          "reasons": [
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          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-NVZX6N9MZ8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-5X1HGWJPJ3",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXVOTEPRIMARY-26JUN02TSYE-66",
      "question": "Will Tom Steyer receive at least 32% of the popular vote in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary?",
      "description": "At least 32%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "At least 32%: California Secretary of State official election results determine the named candidate's popular vote share in the 2026 gubernatorial primary, resolved by Kalshi staff on or after June 2, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-06-02T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-06-02T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Tom Steyer in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary is 32% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places. Resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If multiple rounds of voting occur (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not specified. If the election is cancelled, postponed beyond the market expiration, or no certified results are available by expiration, the market resolves to No. If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "official government website of <geography>",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
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          }
        ],
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        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 80,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.01,
      "implied_probability": 0.01,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 114.40700000000001,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": 32,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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        "california",
        "governor",
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        "steyer",
        "tom steyer popular"
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      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
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          "reasons": [
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          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-5X1HGWJPJ3",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}