{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-WS60V9CW99",
  "slug": "kxvoteprimary-cagovr1shilshil",
  "question": "Will Steve Hilton receive at least 24% of the popular vote in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "california-governor-primary-2027",
    "us-politics",
    "steve-hilton",
    "election-voting-share",
    "primary-election"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track Steve Hilton's vote share in the June 2027 California gubernatorial primary. Kalshi structures the event as a strike-threshold ladder across five discrete levels: 20%, 22%, 24%, 26%, and 28%. Each higher threshold implies a lower probability, creating an implied vote-share distribution for Hilton. Resolution relies on Kalshi staff determination using California Secretary of State official primary results.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
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  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-B7TG26VWR0",
  "current_primary_mark": {
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    "implied_probability": 1
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  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-WS60V9CW99",
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      "platform_market_id": "KXVOTEPRIMARY-CAGOVR1SHILSHIL-60",
      "question": "Will Steve Hilton receive at least 20% of the popular vote in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary?",
      "description": "At least 20%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "At least 20%: California's Secretary of State official primary election results resolve whether the named candidate received at least 24% of the popular vote in the 2026 gubernatorial primary, by June 5, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-11T00:41:37Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-11T00:41:37Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Steve Hilton in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary is 20% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places. Resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If multiple rounds of voting occur (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not specified. If the election is cancelled, postponed beyond the market expiration, or no certified results are available by expiration, the market resolves to No. If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
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      "question": "Will Steve Hilton receive at least 22% of the popular vote in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary?",
      "description": "At least 22%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "At least 22%: California's Secretary of State official primary election results resolve whether the named candidate received at least 24% of the popular vote in the 2026 gubernatorial primary, by June 5, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-11T00:41:37Z",
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      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Steve Hilton in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary is 22% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places. Resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If multiple rounds of voting occur (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not specified. If the election is cancelled, postponed beyond the market expiration, or no certified results are available by expiration, the market resolves to No. If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.",
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      "question": "Will Steve Hilton receive at least 24% of the popular vote in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary?",
      "description": "At least 24%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "At least 24%: California's Secretary of State official primary election results resolve whether the named candidate received at least 24% of the popular vote in the 2026 gubernatorial primary, by June 5, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-11T00:41:37Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-11T00:41:37Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Steve Hilton in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary is 24% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places. Resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If multiple rounds of voting occur (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not specified. If the election is cancelled, postponed beyond the market expiration, or no certified results are available by expiration, the market resolves to No. If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "official government website of <geography>",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-BMPYRVKNG9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-WS60V9CW99",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXVOTEPRIMARY-CAGOVR1SHILSHIL-63",
      "question": "Will Steve Hilton receive at least 26% of the popular vote in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary?",
      "description": "At least 26%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "At least 26%: California's Secretary of State official primary election results resolve whether the named candidate received at least 24% of the popular vote in the 2026 gubernatorial primary, by June 5, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-11T00:41:37Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-11T00:41:37Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Steve Hilton in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary is 26% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places. Resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If multiple rounds of voting occur (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not specified. If the election is cancelled, postponed beyond the market expiration, or no certified results are available by expiration, the market resolves to No. If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
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      "question": "Will Steve Hilton receive at least 28% of the popular vote in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary?",
      "description": "At least 28%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "At least 28%: California's Secretary of State official primary election results resolve whether the named candidate received at least 24% of the popular vote in the 2026 gubernatorial primary, by June 5, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-11T00:41:37Z",
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      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Steve Hilton in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary is 28% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places. Resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If multiple rounds of voting occur (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not specified. If the election is cancelled, postponed beyond the market expiration, or no certified results are available by expiration, the market resolves to No. If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.",
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    "ref": "CM-EVT-WS60V9CW99",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
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}