{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-JFML0R2B12",
  "slug": "kxvoteprimary-coprimary01d26mkirmkir",
  "question": "Will Melat Kiros receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 CO-01 Democratic primary?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "2026-colorado-primary",
    "democratic-primary",
    "melat-kiros",
    "vote-share"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track Melat Kiros's vote share in the 2026 CO-01 Democratic primary. Kalshi structures the event as seven ascending strike thresholds, from 30% to 60%, each resolved independently by Kalshi staff determination. Together, the strikes form an implied probability distribution over Kiros's final vote share. Colorado's official government election results website is the authoritative source for resolution.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-VCWKVXSQN1",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.99,
    "implied_probability": 0.99
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-33ZJB8YK40",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-JFML0R2B12",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXVOTEPRIMARY-COPRIMARY01D26MKIRMKIR-65",
      "question": "Will Melat Kiros receive at least 30% of the popular vote in the 2026 CO-01 Democratic primary?",
      "description": "At least 30%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "At least 30%: Colorado's official government election results website reports the 2026 CO-01 Democratic primary popular vote share for the named candidate by June 30, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-06-30T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-06-30T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Melat Kiros in the 2026 CO-01 Democratic primary is 30% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places. Resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If multiple rounds of voting occur (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not specified. If the election is cancelled, postponed beyond the market expiration, or no certified results are available by expiration, the market resolves to No. If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "official government website of <geography>",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://www.usa.gov/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "official government website of <geography>",
            "url": "https://www.usa.gov/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 80,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.99,
      "implied_probability": 0.99,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 6400.3599,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": 30,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "co-01",
        "democratic-primary",
        "melat kiros vote",
        "melat-kiros",
        "vote-share"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-YCVPJY2N26",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-JFML0R2B12",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXVOTEPRIMARY-COPRIMARY01D26MKIRMKIR-67",
      "question": "Will Melat Kiros receive at least 35% of the popular vote in the 2026 CO-01 Democratic primary?",
      "description": "At least 35%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "At least 35%: Colorado's official government election results website reports the 2026 CO-01 Democratic primary popular vote share for the named candidate by June 30, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-06-30T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-06-30T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Melat Kiros in the 2026 CO-01 Democratic primary is 35% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places. Resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If multiple rounds of voting occur (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not specified. If the election is cancelled, postponed beyond the market expiration, or no certified results are available by expiration, the market resolves to No. If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "official government website of <geography>",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://www.usa.gov/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "official government website of <geography>",
            "url": "https://www.usa.gov/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 80,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.99,
      "implied_probability": 0.99,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 5352.6429,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": 35,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "co-01",
        "democratic-primary",
        "melat kiros vote",
        "melat-kiros",
        "vote-share"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-SMKPGG99Z7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-JFML0R2B12",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXVOTEPRIMARY-COPRIMARY01D26MKIRMKIR-70",
      "question": "Will Melat Kiros receive at least 40% of the popular vote in the 2026 CO-01 Democratic primary?",
      "description": "At least 40%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "At least 40%: Colorado's official government election results website reports the 2026 CO-01 Democratic primary popular vote share for the named candidate by June 30, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-06-30T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-06-30T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Melat Kiros in the 2026 CO-01 Democratic primary is 40% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places. Resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If multiple rounds of voting occur (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not specified. If the election is cancelled, postponed beyond the market expiration, or no certified results are available by expiration, the market resolves to No. If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "official government website of <geography>",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://www.usa.gov/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "official government website of <geography>",
            "url": "https://www.usa.gov/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 80,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.99,
      "implied_probability": 0.99,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 5212.0035,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": 40,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "co-01",
        "democratic-primary",
        "melat kiros vote",
        "melat-kiros",
        "vote-share"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-6DY4BBDQY4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-JFML0R2B12",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXVOTEPRIMARY-COPRIMARY01D26MKIRMKIR-72",
      "question": "Will Melat Kiros receive at least 45% of the popular vote in the 2026 CO-01 Democratic primary?",
      "description": "At least 45%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "At least 45%: Colorado's official government election results website reports the 2026 CO-01 Democratic primary popular vote share for the named candidate by June 30, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-06-30T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-06-30T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Melat Kiros in the 2026 CO-01 Democratic primary is 45% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places. Resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If multiple rounds of voting occur (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not specified. If the election is cancelled, postponed beyond the market expiration, or no certified results are available by expiration, the market resolves to No. If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "official government website of <geography>",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://www.usa.gov/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "official government website of <geography>",
            "url": "https://www.usa.gov/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 80,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.99,
      "implied_probability": 0.99,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 3343.5666,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": 45,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "co-01",
        "democratic-primary",
        "melat kiros vote",
        "melat-kiros",
        "vote-share"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-VCWKVXSQN1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-JFML0R2B12",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXVOTEPRIMARY-COPRIMARY01D26MKIRMKIR-75",
      "question": "Will Melat Kiros receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 CO-01 Democratic primary?",
      "description": "At least 50%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "At least 50%: Colorado's official government election results website reports the 2026 CO-01 Democratic primary popular vote share for the named candidate by June 30, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-06-30T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-06-30T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Melat Kiros in the 2026 CO-01 Democratic primary is 50% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places. Resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If multiple rounds of voting occur (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not specified. If the election is cancelled, postponed beyond the market expiration, or no certified results are available by expiration, the market resolves to No. If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "official government website of <geography>",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://www.usa.gov/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "official government website of <geography>",
            "url": "https://www.usa.gov/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 80,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.99,
      "implied_probability": 0.99,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 8032.8402,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": 50,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "co-01",
        "democratic-primary",
        "melat kiros vote",
        "melat-kiros",
        "vote-share"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-7JPSSSF7T1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-JFML0R2B12",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXVOTEPRIMARY-COPRIMARY01D26MKIRMKIR-77",
      "question": "Will Melat Kiros receive at least 55% of the popular vote in the 2026 CO-01 Democratic primary?",
      "description": "At least 55%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "At least 55%: Colorado's official government election results website reports the 2026 CO-01 Democratic primary popular vote share for the named candidate by June 30, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-06-30T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-06-30T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Melat Kiros in the 2026 CO-01 Democratic primary is 55% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places. Resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If multiple rounds of voting occur (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not specified. If the election is cancelled, postponed beyond the market expiration, or no certified results are available by expiration, the market resolves to No. If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "official government website of <geography>",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://www.usa.gov/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "official government website of <geography>",
            "url": "https://www.usa.gov/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 80,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.01,
      "implied_probability": 0.01,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 131.3186,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": 55,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "co-01",
        "democratic-primary",
        "melat kiros vote",
        "melat-kiros",
        "vote-share"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-4DGGY6L9K3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-JFML0R2B12",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXVOTEPRIMARY-COPRIMARY01D26MKIRMKIR-80",
      "question": "Will Melat Kiros receive at least 60% of the popular vote in the 2026 CO-01 Democratic primary?",
      "description": "At least 60%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "At least 60%: Colorado's official government election results website reports the 2026 CO-01 Democratic primary popular vote share for the named candidate by June 30, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-06-30T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-06-30T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Melat Kiros in the 2026 CO-01 Democratic primary is 60% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places. Resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If multiple rounds of voting occur (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not specified. If the election is cancelled, postponed beyond the market expiration, or no certified results are available by expiration, the market resolves to No. If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "official government website of <geography>",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://www.usa.gov/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "official government website of <geography>",
            "url": "https://www.usa.gov/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 80,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.01,
      "implied_probability": 0.01,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 48.4466,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": 60,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "co-01",
        "democratic-primary",
        "melat kiros vote",
        "melat-kiros",
        "vote-share"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-JFML0R2B12",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}