{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
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  "event_id": "CM-EVT-5YW2R5M5D7",
  "slug": "kxvoteprimary-govconomd26mbenmben",
  "question": "Will Michael Bennet receive at least 40% of the popular vote in the 2026 Colorado Democratic gubernatorial primary?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "colorado-politics",
    "democratic-primary",
    "2026-election",
    "gubernatorial-race",
    "vote-share"
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  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track Michael Bennet's vote share in the 2026 Colorado Democratic gubernatorial primary. Kalshi structures the event as eight binary strike thresholds, ranging from 30% to 65% in five-point increments. The spread between struck and unstrut thresholds implies a market-derived probability distribution over his vote share. Resolution follows Kalshi staff determination of certified primary results.",
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    "kalshi"
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    "implied_probability": 0.99
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  "updated_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
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      "platform_market_id": "KXVOTEPRIMARY-GOVCONOMD26MBENMBEN-65",
      "question": "Will Michael Bennet receive at least 30% of the popular vote in the 2026 Colorado Democratic gubernatorial primary?",
      "description": "At least 30%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "At least 30%: Kalshi staff determination of the named candidate's vote share in the referenced primary, sourced from official Colorado government election results, resolves by June 30, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-06-30T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-06-30T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Michael Bennet in the 2026 Colorado Democratic gubernatorial primary is 30% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places. Resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If multiple rounds of voting occur (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not specified. If the election is cancelled, postponed beyond the market expiration, or no certified results are available by expiration, the market resolves to No. If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.",
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      "question": "Will Michael Bennet receive at least 35% of the popular vote in the 2026 Colorado Democratic gubernatorial primary?",
      "description": "At least 35%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
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      "close_at": "2027-06-30T14:00:00Z",
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      "status": "open",
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      "question": "Will Michael Bennet receive at least 40% of the popular vote in the 2026 Colorado Democratic gubernatorial primary?",
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      "close_at": "2027-06-30T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-06-30T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
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      "question": "Will Michael Bennet receive at least 45% of the popular vote in the 2026 Colorado Democratic gubernatorial primary?",
      "description": "At least 45%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "At least 45%: Kalshi staff determination of the named candidate's vote share in the referenced primary, sourced from official Colorado government election results, resolves by June 30, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-06-30T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-06-30T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Michael Bennet in the 2026 Colorado Democratic gubernatorial primary is 45% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places. Resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If multiple rounds of voting occur (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not specified. If the election is cancelled, postponed beyond the market expiration, or no certified results are available by expiration, the market resolves to No. If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
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      "question": "Will Michael Bennet receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 Colorado Democratic gubernatorial primary?",
      "description": "At least 50%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "At least 50%: Kalshi staff determination of the named candidate's vote share in the referenced primary, sourced from official Colorado government election results, resolves by June 30, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-06-30T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-06-30T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Michael Bennet in the 2026 Colorado Democratic gubernatorial primary is 50% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places. Resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If multiple rounds of voting occur (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not specified. If the election is cancelled, postponed beyond the market expiration, or no certified results are available by expiration, the market resolves to No. If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.",
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      "platform": "kalshi",
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      "question": "Will Michael Bennet receive at least 55% of the popular vote in the 2026 Colorado Democratic gubernatorial primary?",
      "description": "At least 55%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "At least 55%: Kalshi staff determination of the named candidate's vote share in the referenced primary, sourced from official Colorado government election results, resolves by June 30, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-06-30T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-06-30T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
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        "rules_raw": "If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Michael Bennet in the 2026 Colorado Democratic gubernatorial primary is 55% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places. Resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If multiple rounds of voting occur (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not specified. If the election is cancelled, postponed beyond the market expiration, or no certified results are available by expiration, the market resolves to No. If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.",
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      "question": "Will Michael Bennet receive at least 60% of the popular vote in the 2026 Colorado Democratic gubernatorial primary?",
      "description": "At least 60%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "At least 60%: Kalshi staff determination of the named candidate's vote share in the referenced primary, sourced from official Colorado government election results, resolves by June 30, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-06-30T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-06-30T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Michael Bennet in the 2026 Colorado Democratic gubernatorial primary is 60% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places. Resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If multiple rounds of voting occur (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not specified. If the election is cancelled, postponed beyond the market expiration, or no certified results are available by expiration, the market resolves to No. If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.",
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      "question": "Will Michael Bennet receive at least 65% of the popular vote in the 2026 Colorado Democratic gubernatorial primary?",
      "description": "At least 65%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
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      "underlying_reference": "At least 65%: Kalshi staff determination of the named candidate's vote share in the referenced primary, sourced from official Colorado government election results, resolves by June 30, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-06-30T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-06-30T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Michael Bennet in the 2026 Colorado Democratic gubernatorial primary is 65% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places. Resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If multiple rounds of voting occur (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not specified. If the election is cancelled, postponed beyond the market expiration, or no certified results are available by expiration, the market resolves to No. If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
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