{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-85PSPHW7N8",
  "slug": "kxvoteprimary-govconomd26pweipwei",
  "question": "Will Phil Weiser receive more than 25% of the vote in the Colorado Democratic Governor primary?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "colorado-politics",
    "democratic-primary",
    "2026-election",
    "gubernatorial-race",
    "vote-share"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track Phil Weiser's vote share in the 2026 Colorado Democratic gubernatorial primary. Kalshi structures the event as eight discrete strike thresholds, from 30% to 65%, each pricing the probability that Weiser clears that level. Taken together, the strikes imply a cumulative distribution of his expected vote share. Resolution relies on Kalshi staff determination using the Colorado Secretary of State's official election results.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
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  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-96YDX3H912",
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    "implied_probability": 0.99
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
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      "platform_market_id": "KXVOTEPRIMARY-GOVCONOMD26PWEIPWEI-65",
      "question": "Will Phil Weiser receive at least 30% of the popular vote in the 2026 Colorado Democratic gubernatorial primary?",
      "description": "At least 30%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "At least 30%: Colorado Secretary of State official election results website reports the named candidate's popular vote share in the 2026 Democratic gubernatorial primary by June 30, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-06-30T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-06-30T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Phil Weiser in the 2026 Colorado Democratic gubernatorial primary is 30% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places. Resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If multiple rounds of voting occur (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not specified. If the election is cancelled, postponed beyond the market expiration, or no certified results are available by expiration, the market resolves to No. If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
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      "threshold": 30,
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      "platform_market_id": "KXVOTEPRIMARY-GOVCONOMD26PWEIPWEI-67",
      "question": "Will Phil Weiser receive at least 35% of the popular vote in the 2026 Colorado Democratic gubernatorial primary?",
      "description": "At least 35%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "At least 35%: Colorado Secretary of State official election results website reports the named candidate's popular vote share in the 2026 Democratic gubernatorial primary by June 30, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-06-30T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-06-30T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Phil Weiser in the 2026 Colorado Democratic gubernatorial primary is 35% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places. Resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If multiple rounds of voting occur (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not specified. If the election is cancelled, postponed beyond the market expiration, or no certified results are available by expiration, the market resolves to No. If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.",
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      "question": "Will Phil Weiser receive at least 40% of the popular vote in the 2026 Colorado Democratic gubernatorial primary?",
      "description": "At least 40%",
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      "underlying_reference": "At least 40%: Colorado Secretary of State official election results website reports the named candidate's popular vote share in the 2026 Democratic gubernatorial primary by June 30, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-06-30T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-06-30T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Phil Weiser in the 2026 Colorado Democratic gubernatorial primary is 40% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places. Resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If multiple rounds of voting occur (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not specified. If the election is cancelled, postponed beyond the market expiration, or no certified results are available by expiration, the market resolves to No. If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.",
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      "implied_probability": 0.99,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 4551.0399,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
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      "threshold": 40,
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      "eligibility_screens": null
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-85PSPHW7N8",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXVOTEPRIMARY-GOVCONOMD26PWEIPWEI-72",
      "question": "Will Phil Weiser receive at least 45% of the popular vote in the 2026 Colorado Democratic gubernatorial primary?",
      "description": "At least 45%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "At least 45%: Colorado Secretary of State official election results website reports the named candidate's popular vote share in the 2026 Democratic gubernatorial primary by June 30, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-06-30T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-06-30T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Phil Weiser in the 2026 Colorado Democratic gubernatorial primary is 45% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places. Resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If multiple rounds of voting occur (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not specified. If the election is cancelled, postponed beyond the market expiration, or no certified results are available by expiration, the market resolves to No. If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
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        "democratic primary",
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        "phil weiser vote",
        "weiser"
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      "eligibility_screens": null
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-F7KL842FH7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-85PSPHW7N8",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXVOTEPRIMARY-GOVCONOMD26PWEIPWEI-75",
      "question": "Will Phil Weiser receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 Colorado Democratic gubernatorial primary?",
      "description": "At least 50%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "At least 50%: Colorado Secretary of State official election results website reports the named candidate's popular vote share in the 2026 Democratic gubernatorial primary by June 30, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-06-30T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-06-30T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Phil Weiser in the 2026 Colorado Democratic gubernatorial primary is 50% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places. Resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If multiple rounds of voting occur (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not specified. If the election is cancelled, postponed beyond the market expiration, or no certified results are available by expiration, the market resolves to No. If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.",
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      "platform_market_id": "KXVOTEPRIMARY-GOVCONOMD26PWEIPWEI-77",
      "question": "Will Phil Weiser receive at least 55% of the popular vote in the 2026 Colorado Democratic gubernatorial primary?",
      "description": "At least 55%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "At least 55%: Colorado Secretary of State official election results website reports the named candidate's popular vote share in the 2026 Democratic gubernatorial primary by June 30, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-06-30T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-06-30T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Phil Weiser in the 2026 Colorado Democratic gubernatorial primary is 55% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places. Resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If multiple rounds of voting occur (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not specified. If the election is cancelled, postponed beyond the market expiration, or no certified results are available by expiration, the market resolves to No. If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
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        "democratic primary",
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        "phil weiser vote",
        "weiser"
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      "market_id": "CM-MKT-W036YJPZ57",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-85PSPHW7N8",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXVOTEPRIMARY-GOVCONOMD26PWEIPWEI-80",
      "question": "Will Phil Weiser receive at least 60% of the popular vote in the 2026 Colorado Democratic gubernatorial primary?",
      "description": "At least 60%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "At least 60%: Colorado Secretary of State official election results website reports the named candidate's popular vote share in the 2026 Democratic gubernatorial primary by June 30, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-06-30T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-06-30T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Phil Weiser in the 2026 Colorado Democratic gubernatorial primary is 60% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places. Resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If multiple rounds of voting occur (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not specified. If the election is cancelled, postponed beyond the market expiration, or no certified results are available by expiration, the market resolves to No. If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "official government website of <geography>",
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        "source_citation": "https://www.usa.gov/",
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      "platform_market_id": "KXVOTEPRIMARY-GOVCONOMD26PWEIPWEI-82",
      "question": "Will Phil Weiser receive at least 65% of the popular vote in the 2026 Colorado Democratic gubernatorial primary?",
      "description": "At least 65%",
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      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "At least 65%: Colorado Secretary of State official election results website reports the named candidate's popular vote share in the 2026 Democratic gubernatorial primary by June 30, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-06-30T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-06-30T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Phil Weiser in the 2026 Colorado Democratic gubernatorial primary is 65% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places. Resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If multiple rounds of voting occur (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not specified. If the election is cancelled, postponed beyond the market expiration, or no certified results are available by expiration, the market resolves to No. If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.",
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  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-85PSPHW7N8",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}