{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
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  "event_id": "CM-EVT-2D99QMVMN8",
  "slug": "kxvoteprimary-govflnomr26bdonbdon",
  "question": "Will Byron Donalds receive more than X percent of the vote in the Florida Republican Governor primary?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "florida-politics",
    "republican-primary",
    "2027-election",
    "gubernatorial-race",
    "vote-share"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track Byron Donalds' vote share in the 2026 Florida Republican gubernatorial primary. Kalshi structures the event as seven discrete strike thresholds, from 50% to 80%, each resolved independently by Kalshi staff determination. The implied probability spread across strikes prices the full distribution of Donalds' vote share, not a binary outcome. Official Florida government election results are the authoritative source for resolution.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
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  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-9R9PXKXRF1",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.76,
    "implied_probability": 0.76
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  "created_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-2D99QMVMN8",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXVOTEPRIMARY-GOVFLNOMR26BDONBDON-75",
      "question": "Will Byron Donalds receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 Florida Republican gubernatorial primary?",
      "description": "At least 50%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "At least 50%: Official Florida government election results for the 2026 Republican gubernatorial primary determine whether the named candidate received at least 50% of popular vote, resolved by Kalshi staff by August 18, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-08-18T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-08-18T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
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        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
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        "source": "official government website of <geography>",
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      "settlement_style": "touch",
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      "tags": [
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      "question": "Will Byron Donalds receive at least 55% of the popular vote in the 2026 Florida Republican gubernatorial primary?",
      "description": "At least 55%",
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      "underlying_reference": "At least 55%: Official Florida government election results for the 2026 Republican gubernatorial primary determine whether the named candidate received at least 50% of popular vote, resolved by Kalshi staff by August 18, 2027.",
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        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-2D99QMVMN8",
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      "question": "Will Byron Donalds receive at least 60% of the popular vote in the 2026 Florida Republican gubernatorial primary?",
      "description": "At least 60%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "At least 60%: Official Florida government election results for the 2026 Republican gubernatorial primary determine whether the named candidate received at least 50% of popular vote, resolved by Kalshi staff by August 18, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-08-18T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-08-18T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
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        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
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      "last_price": 0.36,
      "implied_probability": 0.36,
      "volume_24h_usd": 8.69,
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      "tags": [
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-Z69YKR8FT0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-2D99QMVMN8",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXVOTEPRIMARY-GOVFLNOMR26BDONBDON-82",
      "question": "Will Byron Donalds receive at least 65% of the popular vote in the 2026 Florida Republican gubernatorial primary?",
      "description": "At least 65%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "At least 65%: Official Florida government election results for the 2026 Republican gubernatorial primary determine whether the named candidate received at least 50% of popular vote, resolved by Kalshi staff by August 18, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-08-18T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-08-18T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
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        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
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      "question": "Will Byron Donalds receive at least 70% of the popular vote in the 2026 Florida Republican gubernatorial primary?",
      "description": "At least 70%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "At least 70%: Official Florida government election results for the 2026 Republican gubernatorial primary determine whether the named candidate received at least 50% of popular vote, resolved by Kalshi staff by August 18, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-08-18T14:00:00Z",
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        "rules_raw": "EXCHANGE NOTICE (venue page banner, series KXVOTEPRIMARY, notice id VOTEPERCENT-bulk-2026-04-10):\n**Important information:** Settlement occurs only after results are officially certified.\n[END EXCHANGE NOTICE]\n\nIf the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Byron Donalds in the 2026 Florida Republican gubernatorial primary is 70% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places. Resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If multiple rounds of voting occur (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not specified. If the election is cancelled, postponed beyond the market expiration, or no certified results are available by expiration, the market resolves to No. If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
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    {
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-2D99QMVMN8",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXVOTEPRIMARY-GOVFLNOMR26BDONBDON-87",
      "question": "Will Byron Donalds receive at least 75% of the popular vote in the 2026 Florida Republican gubernatorial primary?",
      "description": "At least 75%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "At least 75%: Official Florida government election results for the 2026 Republican gubernatorial primary determine whether the named candidate received at least 50% of popular vote, resolved by Kalshi staff by August 18, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-08-18T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-08-18T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "EXCHANGE NOTICE (venue page banner, series KXVOTEPRIMARY, notice id VOTEPERCENT-bulk-2026-04-10):\n**Important information:** Settlement occurs only after results are officially certified.\n[END EXCHANGE NOTICE]\n\nIf the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Byron Donalds in the 2026 Florida Republican gubernatorial primary is 75% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places. Resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If multiple rounds of voting occur (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not specified. If the election is cancelled, postponed beyond the market expiration, or no certified results are available by expiration, the market resolves to No. If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
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      "market_id": "CM-MKT-FSN3K8B0N5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-2D99QMVMN8",
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      "platform_market_id": "KXVOTEPRIMARY-GOVFLNOMR26BDONBDON-90",
      "question": "Will Byron Donalds receive at least 80% of the popular vote in the 2026 Florida Republican gubernatorial primary?",
      "description": "At least 80%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "At least 80%: Official Florida government election results for the 2026 Republican gubernatorial primary determine whether the named candidate received at least 50% of popular vote, resolved by Kalshi staff by August 18, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-08-18T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-08-18T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "EXCHANGE NOTICE (venue page banner, series KXVOTEPRIMARY, notice id VOTEPERCENT-bulk-2026-04-10):\n**Important information:** Settlement occurs only after results are officially certified.\n[END EXCHANGE NOTICE]\n\nIf the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Byron Donalds in the 2026 Florida Republican gubernatorial primary is 80% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places. Resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If multiple rounds of voting occur (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not specified. If the election is cancelled, postponed beyond the market expiration, or no certified results are available by expiration, the market resolves to No. If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
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