{ "_notice": { "type": "free_key_offer", "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.", "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/", "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change." }, "event_id": "CM-EVT-2B6V84T8P0", "slug": "kxvoteprimary-govganomd26klbkbot", "question": "Will Keisha Lance Bottoms receive between 55% and 60% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Georgia Democratic gubernatorial primary?", "category": "politics", "event_type": "BINARY", "ladder_distribution": null, "tags": [ "politics", "georgia-primary-2027", "democratic-governor-race", "keisha-lance-bottoms", "vote-share-prediction", "election-outcome" ], "catalyst_types": [], "catalyst_dates": [], "editorial_notes": "These markets track Keisha Lance Bottoms's first-round vote share in the 2026 Georgia Democratic gubernatorial primary. Kalshi structures the event as eight mutually exclusive vote-share tiers, spanning 0% to 60% and above. The tiers collectively form a probability distribution over her expected first-round performance. Resolution relies on Kalshi staff determination using official results certified by the Georgia Secretary of State.", "venues_covered": [ "kalshi" ], "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-4Y8YMHD1H2", "current_primary_mark": { "last_price": 1, "implied_probability": 1 }, "created_at": "2026-06-03T14:52:43.794845+00:00", "updated_at": "2026-06-03T14:52:43.794845+00:00", "markets": [ { "market_id": "CM-MKT-4DK58WZTD0", "event_id": "CM-EVT-2B6V84T8P0", "platform": "kalshi", "platform_market_id": "KXVOTEPRIMARY-GOVGANOMD26KLBKBOT-15", "question": "Will Keisha Lance Bottoms receive between 0% and 30% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Georgia Democratic gubernatorial primary?", "description": "Below 30%", "contract_type": "binary", "settlement_currency": "USD", "underlying_reference": "Georgia Secretary of State announces official 2026 Democratic gubernatorial primary election results.", "close_at": "2026-06-05T18:33:59Z", "resolve_at": "2026-06-05T18:33:59Z", "status": "resolved", "resolution": { "rules_raw": "If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Keisha Lance Bottoms in the first round of the 2026 Georgia Democratic gubernatorial primary is 0% to 29.99%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places. Resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If multiple rounds of voting occur (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not specified. If the election is cancelled, postponed beyond the market expiration, or no certified results are available by expiration, the market resolves to No. If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.", "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff", "proposer": "platform_staff", "source": null, "source_status": "no_committed_source", "source_citation": "https://www.usa.gov/", "sources": null, "source_of_record": null, "source_mechanism": null, "source_type": null, "source_quality": "authoritative", "source_commitment": "uncommitted", "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder", "source_hedge_text": "official government website of " }, "rcg": { "grade": "C", "score": 80, "caps": [ "uncommitted_placeholder" ], "applied_factors": 6 }, "last_price": 0, "implied_probability": 0, "volume_24h_usd": 0, "volume_total_usd": 39.06, "settlement_style": "touch", "direction": "between", "threshold": 30, "question_id": null, "also_on": null, "tags": [ "2026", "democratic primary", "georgia", "governor", "keisha lance bottoms" ], "eligibility_screens": [ { "regime": "ciro-26-0076", "screen_version": "v1", "status": "not_eligible", "reasons": [ "category_not_permitted" ], "bucket": null, "screened_at": "2026-06-12" } ] }, { "market_id": "CM-MKT-7XFZDCT4Y9", "event_id": "CM-EVT-2B6V84T8P0", "platform": "kalshi", "platform_market_id": "KXVOTEPRIMARY-GOVGANOMD26KLBKBOT-32", "question": "Will Keisha Lance Bottoms receive between 30% and 35% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Georgia Democratic gubernatorial primary?", "description": "30% - 35%", "contract_type": "binary", "settlement_currency": "USD", "underlying_reference": "Georgia Secretary of State announces official 2026 Democratic gubernatorial primary election results.", "close_at": "2026-06-05T18:33:59Z", "resolve_at": "2026-06-05T18:33:59Z", "status": "resolved", "resolution": { "rules_raw": "If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Keisha Lance Bottoms in the first round of the 2026 Georgia Democratic gubernatorial primary is 30% to 34.99%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places. Resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If multiple rounds of voting occur (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not specified. If the election is cancelled, postponed beyond the market expiration, or no certified results are available by expiration, the market resolves to No. If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.", "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff", "proposer": "platform_staff", "source": null, "source_status": "no_committed_source", "source_citation": "https://www.usa.gov/", "sources": null, "source_of_record": null, "source_mechanism": null, "source_type": null, "source_quality": "authoritative", "source_commitment": "uncommitted", "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder", "source_hedge_text": "official government website of " }, "rcg": { "grade": "C", "score": 80, "caps": [ "uncommitted_placeholder" ], "applied_factors": 6 }, "last_price": 0, "implied_probability": 0, "volume_24h_usd": 0, "volume_total_usd": 17.36, "settlement_style": "touch", "direction": "between", "threshold": 35, "question_id": null, "also_on": null, "tags": [ "2026", "democratic primary", "georgia", "governor", "keisha lance bottoms" ], "eligibility_screens": [ { "regime": "ciro-26-0076", "screen_version": "v1", "status": "not_eligible", "reasons": [ "category_not_permitted" ], "bucket": null, "screened_at": "2026-06-12" } ] }, { "market_id": "CM-MKT-48NZWB24V1", "event_id": "CM-EVT-2B6V84T8P0", "platform": "kalshi", "platform_market_id": "KXVOTEPRIMARY-GOVGANOMD26KLBKBOT-37", "question": "Will Keisha Lance Bottoms receive between 35% and 40% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Georgia Democratic gubernatorial primary?", "description": "35% - 40%", "contract_type": "binary", "settlement_currency": "USD", "underlying_reference": "Georgia Secretary of State announces official 2026 Democratic gubernatorial primary election results.", "close_at": "2026-06-05T18:33:59Z", "resolve_at": "2026-06-05T18:33:59Z", "status": "resolved", "resolution": { "rules_raw": "If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Keisha Lance Bottoms in the first round of the 2026 Georgia Democratic gubernatorial primary is 35% to 39.99%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places. Resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If multiple rounds of voting occur (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not specified. If the election is cancelled, postponed beyond the market expiration, or no certified results are available by expiration, the market resolves to No. If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.", "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff", "proposer": "platform_staff", "source": null, "source_status": "no_committed_source", "source_citation": "https://www.usa.gov/", "sources": null, "source_of_record": null, "source_mechanism": null, "source_type": null, "source_quality": "authoritative", "source_commitment": "uncommitted", "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder", "source_hedge_text": "official government website of " }, "rcg": { "grade": "C", "score": 80, "caps": [ "uncommitted_placeholder" ], "applied_factors": 6 }, "last_price": 0, "implied_probability": 0, "volume_24h_usd": 0, "volume_total_usd": 27.84, "settlement_style": "touch", "direction": "between", "threshold": 40, "question_id": null, "also_on": null, "tags": [ "2026", "democratic primary", "georgia", "governor", "keisha lance bottoms" ], "eligibility_screens": [ { "regime": "ciro-26-0076", "screen_version": "v1", "status": "not_eligible", "reasons": [ "category_not_permitted" ], "bucket": null, "screened_at": "2026-06-12" } ] }, { "market_id": "CM-MKT-Z25J8DST68", "event_id": "CM-EVT-2B6V84T8P0", "platform": "kalshi", "platform_market_id": "KXVOTEPRIMARY-GOVGANOMD26KLBKBOT-42", "question": "Will Keisha Lance Bottoms receive between 40% and 45% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Georgia Democratic gubernatorial primary?", "description": "40% - 45%", "contract_type": "binary", "settlement_currency": "USD", "underlying_reference": "Georgia Secretary of State announces official 2026 Democratic gubernatorial primary election results.", "close_at": "2026-06-05T18:33:59Z", "resolve_at": "2026-06-05T18:33:59Z", "status": "resolved", "resolution": { "rules_raw": "If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Keisha Lance Bottoms in the first round of the 2026 Georgia Democratic gubernatorial primary is 40% to 44.99%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places. Resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If multiple rounds of voting occur (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not specified. If the election is cancelled, postponed beyond the market expiration, or no certified results are available by expiration, the market resolves to No. If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.", "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff", "proposer": "platform_staff", "source": null, "source_status": "no_committed_source", "source_citation": "https://www.usa.gov/", "sources": null, "source_of_record": null, "source_mechanism": null, "source_type": null, "source_quality": "authoritative", "source_commitment": "uncommitted", "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder", "source_hedge_text": "official government website of " }, "rcg": { "grade": "C", "score": 80, "caps": [ "uncommitted_placeholder" ], "applied_factors": 6 }, "last_price": 0, "implied_probability": 0, "volume_24h_usd": 0, "volume_total_usd": 20.11, "settlement_style": "touch", "direction": "between", "threshold": 45, "question_id": null, "also_on": null, "tags": [ "2026", "democratic primary", "georgia", "governor", "keisha lance bottoms" ], "eligibility_screens": [ { "regime": "ciro-26-0076", "screen_version": "v1", "status": "not_eligible", "reasons": [ "category_not_permitted" ], "bucket": null, "screened_at": "2026-06-12" } ] }, { "market_id": "CM-MKT-QN49F37XV2", "event_id": "CM-EVT-2B6V84T8P0", "platform": "kalshi", "platform_market_id": "KXVOTEPRIMARY-GOVGANOMD26KLBKBOT-47", "question": "Will Keisha Lance Bottoms receive between 45% and 50% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Georgia Democratic gubernatorial primary?", "description": "45% - 50%", "contract_type": "binary", "settlement_currency": "USD", "underlying_reference": "Georgia Secretary of State announces official 2026 Democratic gubernatorial primary election results.", "close_at": "2026-06-05T18:33:59Z", "resolve_at": "2026-06-05T18:33:59Z", "status": "resolved", "resolution": { "rules_raw": "If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Keisha Lance Bottoms in the first round of the 2026 Georgia Democratic gubernatorial primary is 45% to 49.99%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places. Resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If multiple rounds of voting occur (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not specified. If the election is cancelled, postponed beyond the market expiration, or no certified results are available by expiration, the market resolves to No. If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.", "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff", "proposer": "platform_staff", "source": null, "source_status": "no_committed_source", "source_citation": "https://www.usa.gov/", "sources": null, "source_of_record": null, "source_mechanism": null, "source_type": null, "source_quality": "authoritative", "source_commitment": "uncommitted", "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder", "source_hedge_text": "official government website of " }, "rcg": { "grade": "C", "score": 80, "caps": [ "uncommitted_placeholder" ], "applied_factors": 6 }, "last_price": 0, "implied_probability": 0, "volume_24h_usd": 0, "volume_total_usd": 22.27, "settlement_style": "touch", "direction": "between", "threshold": 50, "question_id": null, "also_on": null, "tags": [ "2026", "democratic primary", "georgia", "governor", "keisha lance bottoms" ], "eligibility_screens": [ { "regime": "ciro-26-0076", "screen_version": "v1", "status": "not_eligible", "reasons": [ "category_not_permitted" ], "bucket": null, "screened_at": "2026-06-12" } ] }, { "market_id": "CM-MKT-79DTP50L29", "event_id": "CM-EVT-2B6V84T8P0", "platform": "kalshi", "platform_market_id": "KXVOTEPRIMARY-GOVGANOMD26KLBKBOT-52", "question": "Will Keisha Lance Bottoms receive between 50% and 55% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Georgia Democratic gubernatorial primary?", "description": "50% - 55%", "contract_type": "binary", "settlement_currency": "USD", "underlying_reference": "Georgia Secretary of State announces official 2026 Democratic gubernatorial primary election results.", "close_at": "2026-06-05T18:33:59Z", "resolve_at": "2026-06-05T18:33:59Z", "status": "resolved", "resolution": { "rules_raw": "If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Keisha Lance Bottoms in the first round of the 2026 Georgia Democratic gubernatorial primary is 50% to 54.99%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places. Resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If multiple rounds of voting occur (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not specified. If the election is cancelled, postponed beyond the market expiration, or no certified results are available by expiration, the market resolves to No. If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.", "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff", "proposer": "platform_staff", "source": null, "source_status": "no_committed_source", "source_citation": "https://www.usa.gov/", "sources": null, "source_of_record": null, "source_mechanism": null, "source_type": null, "source_quality": "authoritative", "source_commitment": "uncommitted", "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder", "source_hedge_text": "official government website of " }, "rcg": { "grade": "C", "score": 80, "caps": [ "uncommitted_placeholder" ], "applied_factors": 6 }, "last_price": 0, "implied_probability": 0, "volume_24h_usd": 0.3, "volume_total_usd": 5.57, "settlement_style": "touch", "direction": "between", "threshold": 55, "question_id": null, "also_on": null, "tags": [ "2026", "democratic primary", "georgia", "governor", "keisha lance bottoms" ], "eligibility_screens": [ { "regime": "ciro-26-0076", "screen_version": "v1", "status": "not_eligible", "reasons": [ "category_not_permitted" ], "bucket": null, "screened_at": "2026-06-12" } ] }, { "market_id": "CM-MKT-4Y8YMHD1H2", "event_id": "CM-EVT-2B6V84T8P0", "platform": "kalshi", "platform_market_id": "KXVOTEPRIMARY-GOVGANOMD26KLBKBOT-57", "question": "Will Keisha Lance Bottoms receive between 55% and 60% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Georgia Democratic gubernatorial primary?", "description": "55% - 60%", "contract_type": "binary", "settlement_currency": "USD", "underlying_reference": "Georgia Secretary of State announces official 2026 Democratic gubernatorial primary election results.", "close_at": "2026-06-05T18:33:59Z", "resolve_at": "2026-06-05T18:33:59Z", "status": "resolved", "resolution": { "rules_raw": "If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Keisha Lance Bottoms in the first round of the 2026 Georgia Democratic gubernatorial primary is 55% to 59.99%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places. Resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If multiple rounds of voting occur (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not specified. If the election is cancelled, postponed beyond the market expiration, or no certified results are available by expiration, the market resolves to No. If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.", "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff", "proposer": "platform_staff", "source": null, "source_status": "no_committed_source", "source_citation": "https://www.usa.gov/", "sources": null, "source_of_record": null, "source_mechanism": null, "source_type": null, "source_quality": "authoritative", "source_commitment": "uncommitted", "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder", "source_hedge_text": "official government website of " }, "rcg": { "grade": "C", "score": 80, "caps": [ "uncommitted_placeholder" ], "applied_factors": 6 }, "last_price": 1, "implied_probability": 1, "volume_24h_usd": 0, "volume_total_usd": 9899.04, "settlement_style": "touch", "direction": "between", "threshold": 60, "question_id": null, "also_on": null, "tags": [ "2026", "democratic primary", "georgia", "governor", "keisha lance bottoms" ], "eligibility_screens": [ { "regime": "ciro-26-0076", "screen_version": "v1", "status": "not_eligible", "reasons": [ "category_not_permitted" ], "bucket": null, "screened_at": "2026-06-12" } ] }, { "market_id": "CM-MKT-0Q5CHG6B58", "event_id": "CM-EVT-2B6V84T8P0", "platform": "kalshi", "platform_market_id": "KXVOTEPRIMARY-GOVGANOMD26KLBKBOT-80", "question": "Will Keisha Lance Bottoms receive at least 60% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Georgia Democratic gubernatorial primary?", "description": "At least 60%", "contract_type": "binary", "settlement_currency": "USD", "underlying_reference": "Georgia Secretary of State announces official 2026 Democratic gubernatorial primary election results.", "close_at": "2026-06-05T18:33:59Z", "resolve_at": "2026-06-05T18:33:59Z", "status": "resolved", "resolution": { "rules_raw": "If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Keisha Lance Bottoms in the first round of the 2026 Georgia Democratic gubernatorial primary is 60% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places. Resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If multiple rounds of voting occur (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not specified. If the election is cancelled, postponed beyond the market expiration, or no certified results are available by expiration, the market resolves to No. If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.", "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff", "proposer": "platform_staff", "source": null, "source_status": "no_committed_source", "source_citation": "https://www.usa.gov/", "sources": null, "source_of_record": null, "source_mechanism": null, "source_type": null, "source_quality": "authoritative", "source_commitment": "uncommitted", "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder", "source_hedge_text": "official government website of " }, "rcg": { "grade": "C", "score": 80, "caps": [ "uncommitted_placeholder" ], "applied_factors": 6 }, "last_price": 0, "implied_probability": 0, "volume_24h_usd": 0, "volume_total_usd": 35.08, "settlement_style": "touch", "direction": null, "threshold": 60, "question_id": null, "also_on": null, "tags": [ "2026", "democratic primary", "georgia", "governor", "keisha lance bottoms" ], "eligibility_screens": [ { "regime": "ciro-26-0076", "screen_version": "v1", "status": "not_eligible", "reasons": [ "category_not_permitted" ], "bucket": null, "screened_at": "2026-06-12" } ] } ], "resolution_log": [ { "market_id": "CM-MKT-4DK58WZTD0", "platform": "kalshi", "outcome": "NO", "resolved_at": "2026-06-05T18:33:59Z", "final_price": 0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-12", "source": "platform_api", "source_ref": null }, { "market_id": "CM-MKT-7XFZDCT4Y9", "platform": "kalshi", "outcome": "NO", "resolved_at": "2026-06-05T18:33:59Z", "final_price": 0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-12", "source": "platform_api", "source_ref": null }, { "market_id": "CM-MKT-48NZWB24V1", "platform": "kalshi", "outcome": "NO", "resolved_at": "2026-06-05T18:33:59Z", "final_price": 0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-12", "source": "platform_api", "source_ref": null }, { "market_id": "CM-MKT-Z25J8DST68", "platform": "kalshi", "outcome": "NO", "resolved_at": "2026-06-05T18:33:59Z", "final_price": 0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-12", "source": "platform_api", "source_ref": null }, { "market_id": "CM-MKT-QN49F37XV2", "platform": "kalshi", "outcome": "NO", "resolved_at": "2026-06-05T18:33:59Z", "final_price": 0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-12", "source": "platform_api", "source_ref": null }, { "market_id": "CM-MKT-79DTP50L29", "platform": "kalshi", "outcome": "NO", "resolved_at": "2026-06-05T18:33:59Z", "final_price": 0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-12", "source": "platform_api", "source_ref": null }, { "market_id": "CM-MKT-4Y8YMHD1H2", "platform": "kalshi", "outcome": "YES", "resolved_at": "2026-06-05T18:33:59Z", "final_price": 1, "recorded_at": "2026-06-12", "source": "platform_api", "source_ref": null }, { "market_id": "CM-MKT-0Q5CHG6B58", "platform": "kalshi", "outcome": "NO", "resolved_at": "2026-06-05T18:33:59Z", "final_price": 0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-12", "source": "platform_api", "source_ref": null } ], "_provenance": { "source": "clearmarket.fyi", "ref": "CM-EVT-2B6V84T8P0", "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi" } }