{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
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  "event_id": "CM-EVT-B8M2V9V998",
  "slug": "kxvoteprimary-govornomr26edieedie",
  "question": "Will Ed Diehl receive between 30% and 35% of the popular vote in the 2026 Oregon Republican gubernatorial primary?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "oregon-politics",
    "republican-primary",
    "2027-election",
    "gubernatorial-race",
    "vote-share-threshold"
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  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track Ed Diehl's vote share in the 2026 Oregon Republican gubernatorial primary. Kalshi structures the event as seven mutually exclusive vote-share tiers, spanning below 15% through at least 40%. Each tier is a binary contract; collectively they form a discrete probability distribution over Diehl's final result. Resolution relies on Kalshi staff determination using official results published by the Oregon Secretary of State's office, closing May 19, 2027.",
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  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-B8M2V9V998",
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      "platform_market_id": "KXVOTEPRIMARY-GOVORNOMR26EDIEEDIE-7",
      "question": "Will Ed Diehl receive between 0% and 15% of the popular vote in the 2026 Oregon Republican gubernatorial primary?",
      "description": "Below 15%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Below 15%: Official Oregon election results published by the Oregon Secretary of State's office resolve the named candidate's popular vote share in the 2026 Republican gubernatorial primary by May 19, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-05-19T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-05-19T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Ed Diehl in the 2026 Oregon Republican gubernatorial primary is 0% to 14.99%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places. Resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If multiple rounds of voting occur (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not specified. If the election is cancelled, postponed beyond the market expiration, or no certified results are available by expiration, the market resolves to No. If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.",
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      "question": "Will Ed Diehl receive between 15% and 20% of the popular vote in the 2026 Oregon Republican gubernatorial primary?",
      "description": "15% - 20%",
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      "settlement_currency": "USD",
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      "close_at": "2027-05-19T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-05-19T14:00:00Z",
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        "rules_raw": "If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Ed Diehl in the 2026 Oregon Republican gubernatorial primary is 15% to 19.99%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places. Resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If multiple rounds of voting occur (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not specified. If the election is cancelled, postponed beyond the market expiration, or no certified results are available by expiration, the market resolves to No. If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.",
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      "question": "Will Ed Diehl receive between 20% and 25% of the popular vote in the 2026 Oregon Republican gubernatorial primary?",
      "description": "20% - 25%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
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      "close_at": "2027-05-19T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-05-19T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Ed Diehl in the 2026 Oregon Republican gubernatorial primary is 20% to 24.99%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places. Resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If multiple rounds of voting occur (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not specified. If the election is cancelled, postponed beyond the market expiration, or no certified results are available by expiration, the market resolves to No. If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-B8M2V9V998",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXVOTEPRIMARY-GOVORNOMR26EDIEEDIE-27",
      "question": "Will Ed Diehl receive between 25% and 30% of the popular vote in the 2026 Oregon Republican gubernatorial primary?",
      "description": "25% - 30%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "25% - 30%: Official Oregon election results published by the Oregon Secretary of State's office resolve the named candidate's popular vote share in the 2026 Republican gubernatorial primary by May 19, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-05-19T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-05-19T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Ed Diehl in the 2026 Oregon Republican gubernatorial primary is 25% to 29.99%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places. Resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If multiple rounds of voting occur (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not specified. If the election is cancelled, postponed beyond the market expiration, or no certified results are available by expiration, the market resolves to No. If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.",
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      "question": "Will Ed Diehl receive between 30% and 35% of the popular vote in the 2026 Oregon Republican gubernatorial primary?",
      "description": "30% - 35%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "30% - 35%: Official Oregon election results published by the Oregon Secretary of State's office resolve the named candidate's popular vote share in the 2026 Republican gubernatorial primary by May 19, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-05-19T14:00:00Z",
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      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Ed Diehl in the 2026 Oregon Republican gubernatorial primary is 30% to 34.99%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places. Resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If multiple rounds of voting occur (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not specified. If the election is cancelled, postponed beyond the market expiration, or no certified results are available by expiration, the market resolves to No. If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.",
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      "question": "Will Ed Diehl receive between 35% and 40% of the popular vote in the 2026 Oregon Republican gubernatorial primary?",
      "description": "35% - 40%",
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      "close_at": "2027-05-19T14:00:00Z",
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      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Ed Diehl in the 2026 Oregon Republican gubernatorial primary is 35% to 39.99%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places. Resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If multiple rounds of voting occur (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not specified. If the election is cancelled, postponed beyond the market expiration, or no certified results are available by expiration, the market resolves to No. If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.",
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      "question": "Will Ed Diehl receive at least 40% of the popular vote in the 2026 Oregon Republican gubernatorial primary?",
      "description": "At least 40%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
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      "underlying_reference": "At least 40%: Official Oregon election results published by the Oregon Secretary of State's office resolve the named candidate's popular vote share in the 2026 Republican gubernatorial primary by May 19, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-05-19T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-05-19T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Ed Diehl in the 2026 Oregon Republican gubernatorial primary is 40% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places. Resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If multiple rounds of voting occur (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not specified. If the election is cancelled, postponed beyond the market expiration, or no certified results are available by expiration, the market resolves to No. If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.",
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