{ "_notice": { "type": "free_key_offer", "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.", "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/", "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change." }, "event_id": "CM-EVT-QZH27R2WB8", "slug": "kxvoteprimary-kxgovohnomr26", "question": "Will Vivek Ramaswamy receive at least 80% of the popular vote in the 2026 Ohio Republican gubernatorial primary?", "category": "politics", "event_type": "BINARY", "ladder_distribution": null, "tags": [ "politics", "ohio-politics", "republican-primary", "2027-election", "gubernatorial-race", "vote-share" ], "catalyst_types": [], "catalyst_dates": [], "editorial_notes": "These markets track Vivek Ramaswamy's vote share in the 2026 Ohio Republican gubernatorial primary. Kalshi structures the event as eight contiguous vote-share tiers, from sub-50% through 80%-plus, pricing the distribution of his result across discrete ranges. All eight tiers are mutually exclusive and collectively exhaustive, so their prices sum to approximately 100%. Kalshi staff determination resolves each tier against official results published by the Ohio Secretary of State.", "venues_covered": [ "kalshi" ], "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-LBM1GSPV92", "current_primary_mark": { "last_price": 1, "implied_probability": 1 }, "created_at": "2026-06-03T14:52:43.794845+00:00", "updated_at": "2026-06-03T14:52:43.794845+00:00", "markets": [ { "market_id": "CM-MKT-JZH0Q4QQK8", "event_id": "CM-EVT-QZH27R2WB8", "platform": "kalshi", "platform_market_id": "KXVOTEPRIMARY-KXGOVOHNOMR26-25", "question": "Will Vivek Ramaswamy receive between 0% and 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 Ohio Republican gubernatorial primary?", "description": "Below 50%", "contract_type": "binary", "settlement_currency": "USD", "underlying_reference": "Ohio Secretary of State publishes the official 2026 Ohio Republican gubernatorial primary election results.", "close_at": "2026-06-04T00:41:22Z", "resolve_at": "2026-06-04T00:41:22Z", "status": "resolved", "resolution": { "rules_raw": "If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Vivek Ramaswamy in the 2026 Ohio Republican gubernatorial primary is 0% to 49.99%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places (2). Resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If multiple rounds of voting occur (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not specified. If the election is cancelled, postponed beyond the market expiration, or no certified results are available by expiration, the market resolves to No. If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.", "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff", "proposer": "platform_staff", "source": null, "source_status": "no_committed_source", "source_citation": "https://www.usa.gov/", "sources": null, "source_of_record": null, "source_mechanism": null, "source_type": null, "source_quality": "authoritative", "source_commitment": "uncommitted", "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder", "source_hedge_text": "official government website of " }, "rcg": { "grade": "C", "score": 80, "caps": [ "uncommitted_placeholder" ], "applied_factors": 6 }, "last_price": 0, "implied_probability": 0, "volume_24h_usd": 0.04, "volume_total_usd": 408.77, "settlement_style": "touch", "direction": "between", "threshold": 50, "question_id": null, "also_on": null, "tags": [ "2026", "governor", "ohio", "primary", "republican", "vivek ramaswamy" ], "eligibility_screens": [ { "regime": "ciro-26-0076", "screen_version": "v1", "status": "not_eligible", "reasons": [ "category_not_permitted" ], "bucket": null, "screened_at": "2026-06-12" } ] }, { "market_id": "CM-MKT-X5HD5R6F74", "event_id": "CM-EVT-QZH27R2WB8", "platform": "kalshi", "platform_market_id": "KXVOTEPRIMARY-KXGOVOHNOMR26-52", "question": "Will Vivek Ramaswamy receive between 50% and 55% of the popular vote in the 2026 Ohio Republican gubernatorial primary?", "description": "50% - 55%", "contract_type": "binary", "settlement_currency": "USD", "underlying_reference": "Ohio Secretary of State publishes the official 2026 Ohio Republican gubernatorial primary election results.", "close_at": "2026-06-04T00:41:22Z", "resolve_at": "2026-06-04T00:41:22Z", "status": "resolved", "resolution": { "rules_raw": "If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Vivek Ramaswamy in the 2026 Ohio Republican gubernatorial primary is 50% to 54.99%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places (2). Resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If multiple rounds of voting occur (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not specified. If the election is cancelled, postponed beyond the market expiration, or no certified results are available by expiration, the market resolves to No. If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.", "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff", "proposer": "platform_staff", "source": null, "source_status": "no_committed_source", "source_citation": "https://www.usa.gov/", "sources": null, "source_of_record": null, "source_mechanism": null, "source_type": null, "source_quality": "authoritative", "source_commitment": "uncommitted", "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder", "source_hedge_text": "official government website of " }, "rcg": { "grade": "C", "score": 80, "caps": [ "uncommitted_placeholder" ], "applied_factors": 6 }, "last_price": 0, "implied_probability": 0, "volume_24h_usd": 0.04, "volume_total_usd": 584.7, "settlement_style": "touch", "direction": "between", "threshold": 55, "question_id": null, "also_on": null, "tags": [ "2026", "governor", "ohio", "primary", "republican", "vivek ramaswamy" ], "eligibility_screens": [ { "regime": "ciro-26-0076", "screen_version": "v1", "status": "not_eligible", "reasons": [ "category_not_permitted" ], "bucket": null, "screened_at": "2026-06-12" } ] }, { "market_id": "CM-MKT-4MFPHLLX73", "event_id": "CM-EVT-QZH27R2WB8", "platform": "kalshi", "platform_market_id": "KXVOTEPRIMARY-KXGOVOHNOMR26-57", "question": "Will Vivek Ramaswamy receive between 55% and 60% of the popular vote in the 2026 Ohio Republican gubernatorial primary?", "description": "55% - 60%", "contract_type": "binary", "settlement_currency": "USD", "underlying_reference": "Ohio Secretary of State publishes the official 2026 Ohio Republican gubernatorial primary election results.", "close_at": "2026-06-04T00:41:22Z", "resolve_at": "2026-06-04T00:41:22Z", "status": "resolved", "resolution": { "rules_raw": "If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Vivek Ramaswamy in the 2026 Ohio Republican gubernatorial primary is 55% to 59.99%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places (2). Resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If multiple rounds of voting occur (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not specified. If the election is cancelled, postponed beyond the market expiration, or no certified results are available by expiration, the market resolves to No. If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.", "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff", "proposer": "platform_staff", "source": null, "source_status": "no_committed_source", "source_citation": "https://www.usa.gov/", "sources": null, "source_of_record": null, "source_mechanism": null, "source_type": null, "source_quality": "authoritative", "source_commitment": "uncommitted", "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder", "source_hedge_text": "official government website of " }, "rcg": { "grade": "C", "score": 80, "caps": [ "uncommitted_placeholder" ], "applied_factors": 6 }, "last_price": 0, "implied_probability": 0, "volume_24h_usd": 0, "volume_total_usd": 4730.57, "settlement_style": "touch", "direction": "between", "threshold": 60, "question_id": null, "also_on": null, "tags": [ "2026", "governor", "ohio", "primary", "republican", "vivek ramaswamy" ], "eligibility_screens": [ { "regime": "ciro-26-0076", "screen_version": "v1", "status": "not_eligible", "reasons": [ "category_not_permitted" ], "bucket": null, "screened_at": "2026-06-12" } ] }, { "market_id": "CM-MKT-6116BFRMQ1", "event_id": "CM-EVT-QZH27R2WB8", "platform": "kalshi", "platform_market_id": "KXVOTEPRIMARY-KXGOVOHNOMR26-62", "question": "Will Vivek Ramaswamy receive between 60% and 65% of the popular vote in the 2026 Ohio Republican gubernatorial primary?", "description": "60% - 65%", "contract_type": "binary", "settlement_currency": "USD", "underlying_reference": "Ohio Secretary of State publishes the official 2026 Ohio Republican gubernatorial primary election results.", "close_at": "2026-06-04T00:41:22Z", "resolve_at": "2026-06-04T00:41:22Z", "status": "resolved", "resolution": { "rules_raw": "If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Vivek Ramaswamy in the 2026 Ohio Republican gubernatorial primary is 60% to 64.99%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places (2). Resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If multiple rounds of voting occur (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not specified. If the election is cancelled, postponed beyond the market expiration, or no certified results are available by expiration, the market resolves to No. If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.", "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff", "proposer": "platform_staff", "source": null, "source_status": "no_committed_source", "source_citation": "https://www.usa.gov/", "sources": null, "source_of_record": null, "source_mechanism": null, "source_type": null, "source_quality": "authoritative", "source_commitment": "uncommitted", "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder", "source_hedge_text": "official government website of " }, "rcg": { "grade": "C", "score": 80, "caps": [ "uncommitted_placeholder" ], "applied_factors": 6 }, "last_price": 0, "implied_probability": 0, "volume_24h_usd": 0, "volume_total_usd": 10.02, "settlement_style": "touch", "direction": "between", "threshold": 65, "question_id": null, "also_on": null, "tags": [ "2026", "governor", "ohio", "primary", "republican", "vivek ramaswamy" ], "eligibility_screens": [ { "regime": "ciro-26-0076", "screen_version": "v1", "status": "not_eligible", "reasons": [ "category_not_permitted" ], "bucket": null, "screened_at": "2026-06-12" } ] }, { "market_id": "CM-MKT-2WVW9KBGW9", "event_id": "CM-EVT-QZH27R2WB8", "platform": "kalshi", "platform_market_id": "KXVOTEPRIMARY-KXGOVOHNOMR26-67", "question": "Will Vivek Ramaswamy receive between 65% and 70% of the popular vote in the 2026 Ohio Republican gubernatorial primary?", "description": "65% - 70%", "contract_type": "binary", "settlement_currency": "USD", "underlying_reference": "Ohio Secretary of State publishes the official 2026 Ohio Republican gubernatorial primary election results.", "close_at": "2026-06-04T00:41:22Z", "resolve_at": "2026-06-04T00:41:22Z", "status": "resolved", "resolution": { "rules_raw": "If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Vivek Ramaswamy in the 2026 Ohio Republican gubernatorial primary is 65% to 69.99%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places (2). Resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If multiple rounds of voting occur (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not specified. If the election is cancelled, postponed beyond the market expiration, or no certified results are available by expiration, the market resolves to No. If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.", "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff", "proposer": "platform_staff", "source": null, "source_status": "no_committed_source", "source_citation": "https://www.usa.gov/", "sources": null, "source_of_record": null, "source_mechanism": null, "source_type": null, "source_quality": "authoritative", "source_commitment": "uncommitted", "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder", "source_hedge_text": "official government website of " }, "rcg": { "grade": "C", "score": 80, "caps": [ "uncommitted_placeholder" ], "applied_factors": 6 }, "last_price": 0, "implied_probability": 0, "volume_24h_usd": 0, "volume_total_usd": 16.2, "settlement_style": "touch", "direction": "between", "threshold": 70, "question_id": null, "also_on": null, "tags": [ "2026", "governor", "ohio", "primary", "republican", "vivek ramaswamy" ], "eligibility_screens": [ { "regime": "ciro-26-0076", "screen_version": "v1", "status": "not_eligible", "reasons": [ "category_not_permitted" ], "bucket": null, "screened_at": "2026-06-12" } ] }, { "market_id": "CM-MKT-3TFKH84DC8", "event_id": "CM-EVT-QZH27R2WB8", "platform": "kalshi", "platform_market_id": "KXVOTEPRIMARY-KXGOVOHNOMR26-72", "question": "Will Vivek Ramaswamy receive between 70% and 75% of the popular vote in the 2026 Ohio Republican gubernatorial primary?", "description": "70% - 75%", "contract_type": "binary", "settlement_currency": "USD", "underlying_reference": "Ohio Secretary of State publishes the official 2026 Ohio Republican gubernatorial primary election results.", "close_at": "2026-06-04T00:41:22Z", "resolve_at": "2026-06-04T00:41:22Z", "status": "resolved", "resolution": { "rules_raw": "If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Vivek Ramaswamy in the 2026 Ohio Republican gubernatorial primary is 70% to 74.99%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places (2). Resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If multiple rounds of voting occur (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not specified. If the election is cancelled, postponed beyond the market expiration, or no certified results are available by expiration, the market resolves to No. If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.", "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff", "proposer": "platform_staff", "source": null, "source_status": "no_committed_source", "source_citation": "https://www.usa.gov/", "sources": null, "source_of_record": null, "source_mechanism": null, "source_type": null, "source_quality": "authoritative", "source_commitment": "uncommitted", "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder", "source_hedge_text": "official government website of " }, "rcg": { "grade": "C", "score": 80, "caps": [ "uncommitted_placeholder" ], "applied_factors": 6 }, "last_price": 0, "implied_probability": 0, "volume_24h_usd": 0, "volume_total_usd": 252.41, "settlement_style": "touch", "direction": "between", "threshold": 75, "question_id": null, "also_on": null, "tags": [ "2026", "governor", "ohio", "primary", "republican", "vivek ramaswamy" ], "eligibility_screens": [ { "regime": "ciro-26-0076", "screen_version": "v1", "status": "not_eligible", "reasons": [ "category_not_permitted" ], "bucket": null, "screened_at": "2026-06-12" } ] }, { "market_id": "CM-MKT-NXM10YKWT6", "event_id": "CM-EVT-QZH27R2WB8", "platform": "kalshi", "platform_market_id": "KXVOTEPRIMARY-KXGOVOHNOMR26-77", "question": "Will Vivek Ramaswamy receive between 75% and 80% of the popular vote in the 2026 Ohio Republican gubernatorial primary?", "description": "75% - 80%", "contract_type": "binary", "settlement_currency": "USD", "underlying_reference": "Ohio Secretary of State publishes the official 2026 Ohio Republican gubernatorial primary election results.", "close_at": "2026-06-04T00:41:22Z", "resolve_at": "2026-06-04T00:41:22Z", "status": "resolved", "resolution": { "rules_raw": "If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Vivek Ramaswamy in the 2026 Ohio Republican gubernatorial primary is 75% to 79.99%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places (2). Resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If multiple rounds of voting occur (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not specified. If the election is cancelled, postponed beyond the market expiration, or no certified results are available by expiration, the market resolves to No. If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.", "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff", "proposer": "platform_staff", "source": null, "source_status": "no_committed_source", "source_citation": "https://www.usa.gov/", "sources": null, "source_of_record": null, "source_mechanism": null, "source_type": null, "source_quality": "authoritative", "source_commitment": "uncommitted", "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder", "source_hedge_text": "official government website of " }, "rcg": { "grade": "C", "score": 80, "caps": [ "uncommitted_placeholder" ], "applied_factors": 6 }, "last_price": 0, "implied_probability": 0, "volume_24h_usd": 6.78, "volume_total_usd": 178.82, "settlement_style": "touch", "direction": "between", "threshold": 80, "question_id": null, "also_on": null, "tags": [ "2026", "governor", "ohio", "primary", "republican", "vivek ramaswamy" ], "eligibility_screens": [ { "regime": "ciro-26-0076", "screen_version": "v1", "status": "not_eligible", "reasons": [ "category_not_permitted" ], "bucket": null, "screened_at": "2026-06-12" } ] }, { "market_id": "CM-MKT-LBM1GSPV92", "event_id": "CM-EVT-QZH27R2WB8", "platform": "kalshi", "platform_market_id": "KXVOTEPRIMARY-KXGOVOHNOMR26-90", "question": "Will Vivek Ramaswamy receive at least 80% of the popular vote in the 2026 Ohio Republican gubernatorial primary?", "description": "At least 80%", "contract_type": "binary", "settlement_currency": "USD", "underlying_reference": "Ohio Secretary of State publishes the official 2026 Ohio Republican gubernatorial primary election results.", "close_at": "2026-06-04T00:41:22Z", "resolve_at": "2026-06-04T00:41:22Z", "status": "resolved", "resolution": { "rules_raw": "If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Vivek Ramaswamy in the 2026 Ohio Republican gubernatorial primary is 80% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places (2). Resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If multiple rounds of voting occur (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not specified. If the election is cancelled, postponed beyond the market expiration, or no certified results are available by expiration, the market resolves to No. If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.", "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff", "proposer": "platform_staff", "source": null, "source_status": "no_committed_source", "source_citation": "https://www.usa.gov/", "sources": null, "source_of_record": null, "source_mechanism": null, "source_type": null, "source_quality": "authoritative", "source_commitment": "uncommitted", "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder", "source_hedge_text": "official government website of " }, "rcg": { "grade": "C", "score": 80, "caps": [ "uncommitted_placeholder" ], "applied_factors": 6 }, "last_price": 1, "implied_probability": 1, "volume_24h_usd": 514.21, "volume_total_usd": 173390.75, "settlement_style": "touch", "direction": null, "threshold": 80, "question_id": null, "also_on": null, "tags": [ "2026", "governor", "ohio", "primary", "republican", "vivek ramaswamy" ], "eligibility_screens": [ { "regime": "ciro-26-0076", "screen_version": "v1", "status": "not_eligible", "reasons": [ "category_not_permitted" ], "bucket": null, "screened_at": "2026-06-12" } ] } ], "resolution_log": [ { "market_id": "CM-MKT-JZH0Q4QQK8", "platform": "kalshi", "outcome": "NO", "resolved_at": "2026-06-04T00:41:22Z", "final_price": 0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-12", "source": "platform_api", "source_ref": null }, { "market_id": "CM-MKT-X5HD5R6F74", "platform": "kalshi", "outcome": "NO", "resolved_at": "2026-06-04T00:41:22Z", "final_price": 0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-12", "source": "platform_api", "source_ref": null }, { "market_id": "CM-MKT-4MFPHLLX73", "platform": "kalshi", "outcome": "NO", "resolved_at": "2026-06-04T00:41:22Z", "final_price": 0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-12", "source": "platform_api", "source_ref": null }, { "market_id": "CM-MKT-6116BFRMQ1", "platform": "kalshi", "outcome": "NO", "resolved_at": "2026-06-04T00:41:22Z", "final_price": 0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-12", "source": "platform_api", "source_ref": null }, { "market_id": "CM-MKT-2WVW9KBGW9", "platform": "kalshi", "outcome": "NO", "resolved_at": "2026-06-04T00:41:22Z", "final_price": 0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-12", "source": "platform_api", "source_ref": null }, { "market_id": "CM-MKT-3TFKH84DC8", "platform": "kalshi", "outcome": "NO", "resolved_at": "2026-06-04T00:41:22Z", "final_price": 0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-12", "source": "platform_api", "source_ref": null }, { "market_id": "CM-MKT-NXM10YKWT6", "platform": "kalshi", "outcome": "NO", "resolved_at": "2026-06-04T00:41:22Z", "final_price": 0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-12", "source": "platform_api", "source_ref": null }, { "market_id": "CM-MKT-LBM1GSPV92", "platform": "kalshi", "outcome": "YES", "resolved_at": "2026-06-04T00:41:22Z", "final_price": 1, "recorded_at": "2026-06-12", "source": "platform_api", "source_ref": null } ], "_provenance": { "source": "clearmarket.fyi", "ref": "CM-EVT-QZH27R2WB8", "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi" } }