{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-L9HTNR5623",
  "slug": "kxvoteprimary-lamayor1r26nramnram",
  "question": "What percentage of votes will Nithya Raman receive in the first round of the Los Angeles mayoral election?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "los-angeles-politics",
    "2027-election",
    "mayoral-race",
    "vote-share-prediction",
    "nithya-raman"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track Nithya Raman's first-round vote share in the June 2027 Los Angeles mayoral election. Kalshi structures the question as nine discrete percentage-range tiers, spanning below 5% through at least 40%. Together the tiers form an implied probability distribution over Raman's vote share. Resolution relies on Kalshi staff determination against official results published by the Los Angeles city government.",
  "venues_covered": [
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  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-DKZ72DXPD1",
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    "implied_probability": 0.98
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  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
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      "market_id": "CM-MKT-9QSQGMSJ11",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-L9HTNR5623",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXVOTEPRIMARY-LAMAYOR1R26NRAMNRAM-2",
      "question": "Will Nithya Raman receive between 0% and 5% of the popular vote in the first round of the Los Angeles mayoral election?",
      "description": "Below 5%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Below 5%: Official results from the Los Angeles government website for first-round mayoral election popular vote percentages, published by June 2, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-06-02T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-06-02T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Nithya Raman in the first round of the Los Angeles mayoral election is 0% to 4.99%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places. Resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If multiple rounds of voting occur (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not specified. If the election is cancelled, postponed beyond the market expiration, or no certified results are available by expiration, the market resolves to No. If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
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      "question": "Will Nithya Raman receive between 5% and 10% of the popular vote in the first round of the Los Angeles mayoral election?",
      "description": "5% - 10%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
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      "close_at": "2027-06-02T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-06-02T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Nithya Raman in the first round of the Los Angeles mayoral election is 5% to 9.99%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places. Resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If multiple rounds of voting occur (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not specified. If the election is cancelled, postponed beyond the market expiration, or no certified results are available by expiration, the market resolves to No. If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.",
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      "description": "10% - 15%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
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      "close_at": "2027-06-02T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-06-02T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Nithya Raman in the first round of the Los Angeles mayoral election is 10% to 14.99%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places. Resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If multiple rounds of voting occur (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not specified. If the election is cancelled, postponed beyond the market expiration, or no certified results are available by expiration, the market resolves to No. If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.",
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      "platform_market_id": "KXVOTEPRIMARY-LAMAYOR1R26NRAMNRAM-17",
      "question": "Will Nithya Raman receive between 15% and 20% of the popular vote in the first round of the Los Angeles mayoral election?",
      "description": "15% - 20%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "15% - 20%: Official results from the Los Angeles government website for first-round mayoral election popular vote percentages, published by June 2, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-06-02T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-06-02T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Nithya Raman in the first round of the Los Angeles mayoral election is 15% to 19.99%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places. Resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If multiple rounds of voting occur (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not specified. If the election is cancelled, postponed beyond the market expiration, or no certified results are available by expiration, the market resolves to No. If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-GRYWQTFGM6",
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      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXVOTEPRIMARY-LAMAYOR1R26NRAMNRAM-22",
      "question": "Will Nithya Raman receive between 20% and 25% of the popular vote in the first round of the Los Angeles mayoral election?",
      "description": "20% - 25%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
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      "close_at": "2027-06-02T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-06-02T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Nithya Raman in the first round of the Los Angeles mayoral election is 20% to 24.99%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places. Resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If multiple rounds of voting occur (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not specified. If the election is cancelled, postponed beyond the market expiration, or no certified results are available by expiration, the market resolves to No. If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.",
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      "question": "Will Nithya Raman receive between 25% and 30% of the popular vote in the first round of the Los Angeles mayoral election?",
      "description": "25% - 30%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
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      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Nithya Raman in the first round of the Los Angeles mayoral election is 25% to 29.99%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places. Resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If multiple rounds of voting occur (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not specified. If the election is cancelled, postponed beyond the market expiration, or no certified results are available by expiration, the market resolves to No. If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
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      "question": "Will Nithya Raman receive between 30% and 35% of the popular vote in the first round of the Los Angeles mayoral election?",
      "description": "30% - 35%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
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      "resolve_at": "2027-06-02T14:00:00Z",
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      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Nithya Raman in the first round of the Los Angeles mayoral election is 30% to 34.99%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places. Resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If multiple rounds of voting occur (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not specified. If the election is cancelled, postponed beyond the market expiration, or no certified results are available by expiration, the market resolves to No. If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
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      "question": "Will Nithya Raman receive between 35% and 40% of the popular vote in the first round of the Los Angeles mayoral election?",
      "description": "35% - 40%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "35% - 40%: Official results from the Los Angeles government website for first-round mayoral election popular vote percentages, published by June 2, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-06-02T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-06-02T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Nithya Raman in the first round of the Los Angeles mayoral election is 35% to 39.99%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places. Resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If multiple rounds of voting occur (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not specified. If the election is cancelled, postponed beyond the market expiration, or no certified results are available by expiration, the market resolves to No. If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "official government website of <geography>",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://www.usa.gov/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "official government website of <geography>",
            "url": "https://www.usa.gov/",
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          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
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        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 78,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.01,
      "implied_probability": 0.01,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 24.47,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 40,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2025",
        "los angeles",
        "mayoral election",
        "nithya raman"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-VWC0LTLHB0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-L9HTNR5623",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXVOTEPRIMARY-LAMAYOR1R26NRAMNRAM-70",
      "question": "Will Nithya Raman receive at least 40% of the popular vote in the first round of the Los Angeles mayoral election?",
      "description": "At least 40%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "At least 40%: Official results from the Los Angeles government website for first-round mayoral election popular vote percentages, published by June 2, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-06-02T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-06-02T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Nithya Raman in the first round of the Los Angeles mayoral election is 40% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places. Resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If multiple rounds of voting occur (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not specified. If the election is cancelled, postponed beyond the market expiration, or no certified results are available by expiration, the market resolves to No. If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "official government website of <geography>",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://www.usa.gov/",
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          {
            "name": "official government website of <geography>",
            "url": "https://www.usa.gov/",
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          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
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        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 78,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.01,
      "implied_probability": 0.01,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 32.27,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": 40,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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        "los angeles",
        "mayoral election",
        "nithya raman"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
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          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-L9HTNR5623",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}