{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-S8923QMNC8",
  "slug": "kxvoteprimary-mayorla26spra",
  "question": "Will Spencer Pratt receive more than 10% of the vote in the Los Angeles mayoral election first round?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "los-angeles-mayoral-2027",
    "celebrity-politics",
    "vote-share-threshold",
    "first-round-election",
    "spencer-pratt"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track Spencer Pratt's first-round vote share in the 2027 Los Angeles mayoral election. Kalshi structures the event as a ladder of discrete vote-share thresholds, from 10% up to 50%, each resolved independently via Kalshi staff determination. The implied distribution of Pratt's vote share can be read from the spread between adjacent strike levels. The City of Los Angeles official election results website is the authoritative source for resolution.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-7S4YRDVPQ8",
  "current_primary_mark": {
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    "implied_probability": 0.99
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
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      "market_id": "CM-MKT-H835XYR9Z0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-S8923QMNC8",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXVOTEPRIMARY-MAYORLA26SPRA-55",
      "question": "Will Spencer Pratt receive at least 10% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?",
      "description": "At least 10%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "At least 10%: The City of Los Angeles official election results website will report the named candidate's popular vote percentage in the first round of the 2026 mayoral election by June 2, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-06-02T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-06-02T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Spencer Pratt in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election is 10% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places. Resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If multiple rounds of voting occur (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not specified. If the election is cancelled, postponed beyond the market expiration, or no certified results are available by expiration, the market resolves to No. If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
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      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXVOTEPRIMARY-MAYORLA26SPRA-57",
      "question": "Will Spencer Pratt receive at least 15% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?",
      "description": "At least 15%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
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      "close_at": "2027-06-02T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-06-02T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Spencer Pratt in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election is 15% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places. Resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If multiple rounds of voting occur (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not specified. If the election is cancelled, postponed beyond the market expiration, or no certified results are available by expiration, the market resolves to No. If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.",
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-S8923QMNC8",
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      "question": "Will Spencer Pratt receive at least 20% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?",
      "description": "At least 20%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
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      "close_at": "2027-06-02T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-06-02T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Spencer Pratt in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election is 20% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places. Resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If multiple rounds of voting occur (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not specified. If the election is cancelled, postponed beyond the market expiration, or no certified results are available by expiration, the market resolves to No. If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-05L0S9RB76",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-S8923QMNC8",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXVOTEPRIMARY-MAYORLA26SPRA-61",
      "question": "Will Spencer Pratt receive at least 23% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?",
      "description": "At least 23%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "At least 23%: The City of Los Angeles official election results website will report the named candidate's popular vote percentage in the first round of the 2026 mayoral election by June 2, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-06-02T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-06-02T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Spencer Pratt in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election is 23% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places. Resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If multiple rounds of voting occur (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not specified. If the election is cancelled, postponed beyond the market expiration, or no certified results are available by expiration, the market resolves to No. If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "official government website of <geography>",
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        "applied_factors": 6
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-06PT2ZR5G6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-S8923QMNC8",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXVOTEPRIMARY-MAYORLA26SPRA-62-5",
      "question": "Will Spencer Pratt receive at least 24% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?",
      "description": "At least 24%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "At least 24%: The City of Los Angeles official election results website will report the named candidate's popular vote percentage in the first round of the 2026 mayoral election by June 2, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-06-02T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-06-02T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Spencer Pratt in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election is 24% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places. Resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If multiple rounds of voting occur (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not specified. If the election is cancelled, postponed beyond the market expiration, or no certified results are available by expiration, the market resolves to No. If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-S8923QMNC8",
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      "platform_market_id": "KXVOTEPRIMARY-MAYORLA26SPRA-62",
      "question": "Will Spencer Pratt receive at least 25% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?",
      "description": "At least 25%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "At least 25%: The City of Los Angeles official election results website will report the named candidate's popular vote percentage in the first round of the 2026 mayoral election by June 2, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-06-02T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-06-02T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Spencer Pratt in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election is 25% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places. Resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If multiple rounds of voting occur (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not specified. If the election is cancelled, postponed beyond the market expiration, or no certified results are available by expiration, the market resolves to No. If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "official government website of <geography>",
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-7Y4FFCK251",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-S8923QMNC8",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXVOTEPRIMARY-MAYORLA26SPRA-63",
      "question": "Will Spencer Pratt receive at least 26% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?",
      "description": "At least 26%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "At least 26%: The City of Los Angeles official election results website will report the named candidate's popular vote percentage in the first round of the 2026 mayoral election by June 2, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-06-02T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-06-02T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Spencer Pratt in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election is 26% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places. Resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If multiple rounds of voting occur (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not specified. If the election is cancelled, postponed beyond the market expiration, or no certified results are available by expiration, the market resolves to No. If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
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    {
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-S8923QMNC8",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXVOTEPRIMARY-MAYORLA26SPRA-63-5",
      "question": "Will Spencer Pratt receive at least 27% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?",
      "description": "At least 27%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "At least 27%: The City of Los Angeles official election results website will report the named candidate's popular vote percentage in the first round of the 2026 mayoral election by June 2, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-06-02T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-06-02T14:00:00Z",
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