{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-QTK099NG95",
  "slug": "kxvoteprimary-pa3d26sstrsstr",
  "question": "Will Sharif Street receive more than X percent of the vote in the PA-03 Democratic primary?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "2027-election",
    "pennsylvania-politics",
    "democratic-primary",
    "us-congress",
    "sharif-street"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track Sharif Street's vote share in the PA-03 Democratic primary, resolving May 19, 2027. All seven markets are Kalshi contracts structured as discrete vote-share tiers, spanning below 20% through 45% and above. Together they form a full probability distribution over Street's possible outcomes. Resolution follows Kalshi staff determination using Pennsylvania election officials' certified results.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-63P4T77RZ6",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.97,
    "implied_probability": 0.97
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-KHHX5XKLQ5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-QTK099NG95",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXVOTEPRIMARY-PA3D26SSTRSSTR-10",
      "question": "Will Sharif Street receive between 0% and 20% of the popular vote in the 2026 Pennsylvania 3rd Congressional District Democratic primary?",
      "description": "Below 20%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Below 20%: Pennsylvania election officials' official results for the 2026 3rd Congressional District Democratic primary, reported by resolve date May 19, 2027, determine the named candidate's popular vote percentage.",
      "close_at": "2027-05-19T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-05-19T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Sharif Street in the 2026 Pennsylvania 3rd Congressional District Democratic primary is 0% to 19.99%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places. Resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If multiple rounds of voting occur (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not specified. If the election is cancelled, postponed beyond the market expiration, or no certified results are available by expiration, the market resolves to No. If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "official government website of <geography>",
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        "source_citation": "https://www.usa.gov/",
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            "url": "https://www.usa.gov/",
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      "volume_total_usd": 156.17,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 20,
      "question_id": null,
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      "tags": [
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        "democratic primary",
        "pa-03",
        "sharif street",
        "vote share"
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          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-TN59JVL5V0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-QTK099NG95",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXVOTEPRIMARY-PA3D26SSTRSSTR-22",
      "question": "Will Sharif Street receive between 20% and 25% of the popular vote in the 2026 Pennsylvania 3rd Congressional District Democratic primary?",
      "description": "20% - 25%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "20% - 25%: Pennsylvania election officials' official results for the 2026 3rd Congressional District Democratic primary, reported by resolve date May 19, 2027, determine the named candidate's popular vote percentage.",
      "close_at": "2027-05-19T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-05-19T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Sharif Street in the 2026 Pennsylvania 3rd Congressional District Democratic primary is 20% to 24.99%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places. Resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If multiple rounds of voting occur (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not specified. If the election is cancelled, postponed beyond the market expiration, or no certified results are available by expiration, the market resolves to No. If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "official government website of <geography>",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://www.usa.gov/",
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            "url": "https://www.usa.gov/",
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      "volume_total_usd": 87.27,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
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      "threshold": 25,
      "question_id": null,
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      "tags": [
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        "sharif street",
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-63P4T77RZ6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-QTK099NG95",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXVOTEPRIMARY-PA3D26SSTRSSTR-27",
      "question": "Will Sharif Street receive between 25% and 30% of the popular vote in the 2026 Pennsylvania 3rd Congressional District Democratic primary?",
      "description": "25% - 30%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "25% - 30%: Pennsylvania election officials' official results for the 2026 3rd Congressional District Democratic primary, reported by resolve date May 19, 2027, determine the named candidate's popular vote percentage.",
      "close_at": "2027-05-19T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-05-19T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Sharif Street in the 2026 Pennsylvania 3rd Congressional District Democratic primary is 25% to 29.99%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places. Resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If multiple rounds of voting occur (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not specified. If the election is cancelled, postponed beyond the market expiration, or no certified results are available by expiration, the market resolves to No. If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "official government website of <geography>",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://www.usa.gov/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "official government website of <geography>",
            "url": "https://www.usa.gov/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
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      "rcg": {
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        "score": 80,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.97,
      "implied_probability": 0.97,
      "volume_24h_usd": 6.01,
      "volume_total_usd": 16102.64,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 30,
      "question_id": null,
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      "tags": [
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        "democratic primary",
        "pa-03",
        "sharif street",
        "vote share"
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      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
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          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
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          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-PFSSHX8CV0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-QTK099NG95",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXVOTEPRIMARY-PA3D26SSTRSSTR-32",
      "question": "Will Sharif Street receive between 30% and 35% of the popular vote in the 2026 Pennsylvania 3rd Congressional District Democratic primary?",
      "description": "30% - 35%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "30% - 35%: Pennsylvania election officials' official results for the 2026 3rd Congressional District Democratic primary, reported by resolve date May 19, 2027, determine the named candidate's popular vote percentage.",
      "close_at": "2027-05-19T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-05-19T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Sharif Street in the 2026 Pennsylvania 3rd Congressional District Democratic primary is 30% to 34.99%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places. Resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If multiple rounds of voting occur (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not specified. If the election is cancelled, postponed beyond the market expiration, or no certified results are available by expiration, the market resolves to No. If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "official government website of <geography>",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://www.usa.gov/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "official government website of <geography>",
            "url": "https://www.usa.gov/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
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        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 80,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.03,
      "implied_probability": 0.03,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 894.81,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 35,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "democratic primary",
        "pa-03",
        "sharif street",
        "vote share"
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      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
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          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
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          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-CTTFH7J3T0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-QTK099NG95",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXVOTEPRIMARY-PA3D26SSTRSSTR-37",
      "question": "Will Sharif Street receive between 35% and 40% of the popular vote in the 2026 Pennsylvania 3rd Congressional District Democratic primary?",
      "description": "35% - 40%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "35% - 40%: Pennsylvania election officials' official results for the 2026 3rd Congressional District Democratic primary, reported by resolve date May 19, 2027, determine the named candidate's popular vote percentage.",
      "close_at": "2027-05-19T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-05-19T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Sharif Street in the 2026 Pennsylvania 3rd Congressional District Democratic primary is 35% to 39.99%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places. Resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If multiple rounds of voting occur (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not specified. If the election is cancelled, postponed beyond the market expiration, or no certified results are available by expiration, the market resolves to No. If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "official government website of <geography>",
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        "source_citation": "https://www.usa.gov/",
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      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 31.42,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 40,
      "question_id": null,
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      "tags": [
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        "sharif street",
        "vote share"
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-BZ631KKBP5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-QTK099NG95",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXVOTEPRIMARY-PA3D26SSTRSSTR-42",
      "question": "Will Sharif Street receive between 40% and 45% of the popular vote in the 2026 Pennsylvania 3rd Congressional District Democratic primary?",
      "description": "40% - 45%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "40% - 45%: Pennsylvania election officials' official results for the 2026 3rd Congressional District Democratic primary, reported by resolve date May 19, 2027, determine the named candidate's popular vote percentage.",
      "close_at": "2027-05-19T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-05-19T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Sharif Street in the 2026 Pennsylvania 3rd Congressional District Democratic primary is 40% to 44.99%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places. Resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If multiple rounds of voting occur (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not specified. If the election is cancelled, postponed beyond the market expiration, or no certified results are available by expiration, the market resolves to No. If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "official government website of <geography>",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://www.usa.gov/",
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      "volume_total_usd": 13.52,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
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      "threshold": 45,
      "question_id": null,
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      "tags": [
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        "democratic primary",
        "pa-03",
        "sharif street",
        "vote share"
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-SXBQ18NK11",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-QTK099NG95",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXVOTEPRIMARY-PA3D26SSTRSSTR-72",
      "question": "Will Sharif Street receive at least 45% of the popular vote in the 2026 Pennsylvania 3rd Congressional District Democratic primary?",
      "description": "At least 45%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "At least 45%: Pennsylvania election officials' official results for the 2026 3rd Congressional District Democratic primary, reported by resolve date May 19, 2027, determine the named candidate's popular vote percentage.",
      "close_at": "2027-05-19T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-05-19T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Sharif Street in the 2026 Pennsylvania 3rd Congressional District Democratic primary is 45% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places. Resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If multiple rounds of voting occur (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not specified. If the election is cancelled, postponed beyond the market expiration, or no certified results are available by expiration, the market resolves to No. If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
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        "source": "official government website of <geography>",
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        "vote share"
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  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-QTK099NG95",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}