{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-VZ8T85CZQ5",
  "slug": "kxvoteprimary-senatekyr26dcamdcam",
  "question": "Will Daniel Cameron receive between 30% and 35% of the popular vote in the 2026 Kentucky Republican U.S. Senate primary?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "kentucky-politics",
    "republican-primary",
    "2026-election",
    "senate-race",
    "vote-share-prediction"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track Daniel Cameron's vote share in the 2026 Kentucky Republican U.S. Senate primary. Kalshi structures the event as eight mutually exclusive vote-share tiers, spanning 0% to 40%-plus. This discrete-tier architecture lets traders express a distributional view on Cameron's exact range of support. The Kentucky State Board of Elections provides official results, with Kalshi staff determining final resolution.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
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  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-G5G96T17J7",
  "current_primary_mark": {
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    "implied_probability": 1
  },
  "created_at": "2026-06-03T14:52:43.794845+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-06-03T14:52:43.794845+00:00",
  "markets": [
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      "market_id": "CM-MKT-LTN5PSST35",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-VZ8T85CZQ5",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXVOTEPRIMARY-SENATEKYR26DCAMDCAM-5",
      "question": "Will Daniel Cameron receive between 0% and 10% of the popular vote in the 2026 Kentucky Republican U.S. Senate primary?",
      "description": "Below 10%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Kentucky State Board of Elections announces official primary election results for the 2026 Republican U.S. Senate primary.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-09T00:24:49Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-09T00:24:49Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Daniel Cameron in the 2026 Kentucky Republican U.S. Senate primary is 0% to 9.99%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places. Resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If multiple rounds of voting occur (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not specified. If the election is cancelled, postponed beyond the market expiration, or no certified results are available by expiration, the market resolves to No. If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
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      "tags": [
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-VZ8T85CZQ5",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXVOTEPRIMARY-SENATEKYR26DCAMDCAM-12",
      "question": "Will Daniel Cameron receive between 10% and 15% of the popular vote in the 2026 Kentucky Republican U.S. Senate primary?",
      "description": "10% - 15%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Kentucky State Board of Elections announces official primary election results for the 2026 Republican U.S. Senate primary.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-09T00:24:49Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-09T00:24:49Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Daniel Cameron in the 2026 Kentucky Republican U.S. Senate primary is 10% to 14.99%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places. Resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If multiple rounds of voting occur (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not specified. If the election is cancelled, postponed beyond the market expiration, or no certified results are available by expiration, the market resolves to No. If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.",
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      "question": "Will Daniel Cameron receive between 15% and 20% of the popular vote in the 2026 Kentucky Republican U.S. Senate primary?",
      "description": "15% - 20%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
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      "close_at": "2026-06-09T00:24:49Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-09T00:24:49Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Daniel Cameron in the 2026 Kentucky Republican U.S. Senate primary is 15% to 19.99%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places. Resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If multiple rounds of voting occur (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not specified. If the election is cancelled, postponed beyond the market expiration, or no certified results are available by expiration, the market resolves to No. If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.",
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      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXVOTEPRIMARY-SENATEKYR26DCAMDCAM-22",
      "question": "Will Daniel Cameron receive between 20% and 25% of the popular vote in the 2026 Kentucky Republican U.S. Senate primary?",
      "description": "20% - 25%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Kentucky State Board of Elections announces official primary election results for the 2026 Republican U.S. Senate primary.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-09T00:24:49Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-09T00:24:49Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Daniel Cameron in the 2026 Kentucky Republican U.S. Senate primary is 20% to 24.99%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places. Resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If multiple rounds of voting occur (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not specified. If the election is cancelled, postponed beyond the market expiration, or no certified results are available by expiration, the market resolves to No. If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
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      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXVOTEPRIMARY-SENATEKYR26DCAMDCAM-27",
      "question": "Will Daniel Cameron receive between 25% and 30% of the popular vote in the 2026 Kentucky Republican U.S. Senate primary?",
      "description": "25% - 30%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Kentucky State Board of Elections announces official primary election results for the 2026 Republican U.S. Senate primary.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-09T00:24:49Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-09T00:24:49Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Daniel Cameron in the 2026 Kentucky Republican U.S. Senate primary is 25% to 29.99%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places. Resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If multiple rounds of voting occur (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not specified. If the election is cancelled, postponed beyond the market expiration, or no certified results are available by expiration, the market resolves to No. If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.",
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      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXVOTEPRIMARY-SENATEKYR26DCAMDCAM-32",
      "question": "Will Daniel Cameron receive between 30% and 35% of the popular vote in the 2026 Kentucky Republican U.S. Senate primary?",
      "description": "30% - 35%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Kentucky State Board of Elections announces official primary election results for the 2026 Republican U.S. Senate primary.",
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      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Daniel Cameron in the 2026 Kentucky Republican U.S. Senate primary is 30% to 34.99%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places. Resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If multiple rounds of voting occur (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not specified. If the election is cancelled, postponed beyond the market expiration, or no certified results are available by expiration, the market resolves to No. If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.",
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      "question": "Will Daniel Cameron receive between 35% and 40% of the popular vote in the 2026 Kentucky Republican U.S. Senate primary?",
      "description": "35% - 40%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Kentucky State Board of Elections announces official primary election results for the 2026 Republican U.S. Senate primary.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-09T00:24:49Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-09T00:24:49Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Daniel Cameron in the 2026 Kentucky Republican U.S. Senate primary is 35% to 39.99%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places. Resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If multiple rounds of voting occur (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not specified. If the election is cancelled, postponed beyond the market expiration, or no certified results are available by expiration, the market resolves to No. If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.",
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      "question": "Will Daniel Cameron receive at least 40% of the popular vote in the 2026 Kentucky Republican U.S. Senate primary?",
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      "contract_type": "binary",
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      "underlying_reference": "Kentucky State Board of Elections announces official primary election results for the 2026 Republican U.S. Senate primary.",
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        "rules_raw": "If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Daniel Cameron in the 2026 Kentucky Republican U.S. Senate primary is 40% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places. Resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If multiple rounds of voting occur (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not specified. If the election is cancelled, postponed beyond the market expiration, or no certified results are available by expiration, the market resolves to No. If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.",
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