{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-J63X6FXGW1",
  "slug": "kxvoteprimary-senatemed26jmjmil",
  "question": "Will Janet Mills receive more than 50% of the vote in the Maine Democratic Senate primary?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "maine-politics",
    "democratic-primary",
    "2027-election",
    "vote-share-threshold",
    "janet-mills"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "This event tracks Janet Mills's vote share in the 2026 Maine Democratic Senate primary. The canonical question prices a binary 50% threshold; Kalshi prices the same event as discrete vote-share tiers spanning 0% to 30%-plus. One platform asks whether Mills clears majority; the other asks which range her vote share falls within. Resolution relies on Maine Secretary of State official election results, determined by Kalshi staff.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-SB7GMFG2J9",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 1,
    "implied_probability": 1
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-NG53CDKLV6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-J63X6FXGW1",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXVOTEPRIMARY-SENATEMED26JMJMIL-2",
      "question": "Will Janet Mills receive between 0% and 5% of the popular vote in the 2026 Maine Democratic Senate primary?",
      "description": "Below 5%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Below 5%: Maine Secretary of State official election results for the named candidate's vote share in the 2026 Democratic Senate primary, reported by Kalshi staff, with deadline June 9, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-01T18:57:20Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-01T18:57:20Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Janet Mills in the 2026 Maine Democratic Senate primary is 0% to 4.99%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places. Resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If multiple rounds of voting occur (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not specified. If the election is cancelled, postponed beyond the market expiration, or no certified results are available by expiration, the market resolves to No. If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
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        "source_citation": "https://www.usa.gov/",
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      "platform_market_id": "KXVOTEPRIMARY-SENATEMED26JMJMIL-7",
      "question": "Will Janet Mills receive between 5% and 10% of the popular vote in the 2026 Maine Democratic Senate primary?",
      "description": "5% - 10%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "5% - 10%: Maine Secretary of State official election results for the named candidate's vote share in the 2026 Democratic Senate primary, reported by Kalshi staff, with deadline June 9, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-01T18:57:20Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-01T18:57:20Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Janet Mills in the 2026 Maine Democratic Senate primary is 5% to 9.99%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places. Resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If multiple rounds of voting occur (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not specified. If the election is cancelled, postponed beyond the market expiration, or no certified results are available by expiration, the market resolves to No. If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.",
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      "question": "Will Janet Mills receive between 10% and 15% of the popular vote in the 2026 Maine Democratic Senate primary?",
      "description": "10% - 15%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
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      "close_at": "2026-07-01T18:57:20Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-01T18:57:20Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Janet Mills in the 2026 Maine Democratic Senate primary is 10% to 14.99%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places. Resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If multiple rounds of voting occur (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not specified. If the election is cancelled, postponed beyond the market expiration, or no certified results are available by expiration, the market resolves to No. If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-J63X6FXGW1",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXVOTEPRIMARY-SENATEMED26JMJMIL-17",
      "question": "Will Janet Mills receive between 15% and 20% of the popular vote in the 2026 Maine Democratic Senate primary?",
      "description": "15% - 20%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "15% - 20%: Maine Secretary of State official election results for the named candidate's vote share in the 2026 Democratic Senate primary, reported by Kalshi staff, with deadline June 9, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-01T18:57:20Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-01T18:57:20Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Janet Mills in the 2026 Maine Democratic Senate primary is 15% to 19.99%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places. Resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If multiple rounds of voting occur (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not specified. If the election is cancelled, postponed beyond the market expiration, or no certified results are available by expiration, the market resolves to No. If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "official government website of <geography>",
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      "platform_market_id": "KXVOTEPRIMARY-SENATEMED26JMJMIL-22",
      "question": "Will Janet Mills receive between 20% and 25% of the popular vote in the 2026 Maine Democratic Senate primary?",
      "description": "20% - 25%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
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      "close_at": "2026-07-01T18:57:20Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-01T18:57:20Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Janet Mills in the 2026 Maine Democratic Senate primary is 20% to 24.99%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places. Resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If multiple rounds of voting occur (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not specified. If the election is cancelled, postponed beyond the market expiration, or no certified results are available by expiration, the market resolves to No. If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.",
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      "question": "Will Janet Mills receive between 25% and 30% of the popular vote in the 2026 Maine Democratic Senate primary?",
      "description": "25% - 30%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "25% - 30%: Maine Secretary of State official election results for the named candidate's vote share in the 2026 Democratic Senate primary, reported by Kalshi staff, with deadline June 9, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-01T18:57:20Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-01T18:57:20Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Janet Mills in the 2026 Maine Democratic Senate primary is 25% to 29.99%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places. Resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If multiple rounds of voting occur (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not specified. If the election is cancelled, postponed beyond the market expiration, or no certified results are available by expiration, the market resolves to No. If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
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      "question": "Will Janet Mills receive at least 30% of the popular vote in the 2026 Maine Democratic Senate primary?",
      "description": "At least 30%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "At least 30%: Maine Secretary of State official election results for the named candidate's vote share in the 2026 Democratic Senate primary, reported by Kalshi staff, with deadline June 9, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-01T18:57:20Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-01T18:57:20Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Janet Mills in the 2026 Maine Democratic Senate primary is 30% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places. Resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If multiple rounds of voting occur (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not specified. If the election is cancelled, postponed beyond the market expiration, or no certified results are available by expiration, the market resolves to No. If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.",
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    {
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      "recorded_at": "2026-07-23",
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