{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-Y7W52PY2F5",
  "slug": "kxvoteprimary-senatescr26mlynmlyn",
  "question": "Will Mark Lynch receive more than X percent of the vote in the South Carolina Republican Senate primary?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "us-senate-primary",
    "south-carolina-politics",
    "republican-nomination",
    "2027-election",
    "vote-share-prediction"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track Mark Lynch's vote share in the 2026 South Carolina Republican Senate primary. Kalshi structures the event as nine discrete percentage-range tiers, from below 10% through at least 45%. Taken together, the tiers function as a probability distribution over Lynch's final vote share. Resolution follows Kalshi staff determination using certified results from the South Carolina state election authority.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-NVT9W2F068",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 1,
    "implied_probability": 1
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-YCDYX2W031",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-Y7W52PY2F5",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXVOTEPRIMARY-SENATESCR26MLYNMLYN-5",
      "question": "Will Mark Lynch receive between 0% and 10% of the popular vote in the 2026 South Carolina Republican Senate primary?",
      "description": "Below 10%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Below 10%: South Carolina Republican Senate primary results from the state election authority resolve the named candidate's popular vote share on or after the primary election date.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-16T14:46:36Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-16T14:46:36Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Mark Lynch in the 2026 South Carolina Republican Senate primary is 0% to 9.99%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places. Resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If multiple rounds of voting occur (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not specified. If the election is cancelled, postponed beyond the market expiration, or no certified results are available by expiration, the market resolves to No. If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "official government website of <geography>",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.usa.gov/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "official government website of <geography>",
            "url": "https://www.usa.gov/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "certified/official results",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "certified/official results",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 37.24,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 10,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "mark lynch vote",
        "republican",
        "senate primary",
        "south carolina"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-BS1HFM8CV7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-Y7W52PY2F5",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXVOTEPRIMARY-SENATESCR26MLYNMLYN-12",
      "question": "Will Mark Lynch receive between 10% and 15% of the popular vote in the 2026 South Carolina Republican Senate primary?",
      "description": "10% - 15%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "10% - 15%: South Carolina Republican Senate primary results from the state election authority resolve the named candidate's popular vote share on or after the primary election date.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-16T14:46:36Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-16T14:46:36Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Mark Lynch in the 2026 South Carolina Republican Senate primary is 10% to 14.99%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places. Resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If multiple rounds of voting occur (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not specified. If the election is cancelled, postponed beyond the market expiration, or no certified results are available by expiration, the market resolves to No. If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "official government website of <geography>",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.usa.gov/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "official government website of <geography>",
            "url": "https://www.usa.gov/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "certified/official results",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "certified/official results",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 63.32,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 15,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "mark lynch vote",
        "republican",
        "senate primary",
        "south carolina"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-31G04DTCX8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-Y7W52PY2F5",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXVOTEPRIMARY-SENATESCR26MLYNMLYN-17",
      "question": "Will Mark Lynch receive between 15% and 20% of the popular vote in the 2026 South Carolina Republican Senate primary?",
      "description": "15% - 20%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "15% - 20%: South Carolina Republican Senate primary results from the state election authority resolve the named candidate's popular vote share on or after the primary election date.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-16T14:46:36Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-16T14:46:36Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Mark Lynch in the 2026 South Carolina Republican Senate primary is 15% to 19.99%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places. Resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If multiple rounds of voting occur (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not specified. If the election is cancelled, postponed beyond the market expiration, or no certified results are available by expiration, the market resolves to No. If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "official government website of <geography>",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.usa.gov/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "official government website of <geography>",
            "url": "https://www.usa.gov/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "certified/official results",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "certified/official results",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 35.61,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 20,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "mark lynch vote",
        "republican",
        "senate primary",
        "south carolina"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-J6HMLLY4S9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-Y7W52PY2F5",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXVOTEPRIMARY-SENATESCR26MLYNMLYN-22",
      "question": "Will Mark Lynch receive between 20% and 25% of the popular vote in the 2026 South Carolina Republican Senate primary?",
      "description": "20% - 25%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "20% - 25%: South Carolina Republican Senate primary results from the state election authority resolve the named candidate's popular vote share on or after the primary election date.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-16T14:46:36Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-16T14:46:36Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Mark Lynch in the 2026 South Carolina Republican Senate primary is 20% to 24.99%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places. Resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If multiple rounds of voting occur (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not specified. If the election is cancelled, postponed beyond the market expiration, or no certified results are available by expiration, the market resolves to No. If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "official government website of <geography>",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.usa.gov/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "official government website of <geography>",
            "url": "https://www.usa.gov/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "certified/official results",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "certified/official results",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 48.02,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 25,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "mark lynch vote",
        "republican",
        "senate primary",
        "south carolina"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-NVT9W2F068",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-Y7W52PY2F5",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXVOTEPRIMARY-SENATESCR26MLYNMLYN-27",
      "question": "Will Mark Lynch receive between 25% and 30% of the popular vote in the 2026 South Carolina Republican Senate primary?",
      "description": "25% - 30%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "25% - 30%: South Carolina Republican Senate primary results from the state election authority resolve the named candidate's popular vote share on or after the primary election date.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-16T14:46:36Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-16T14:46:36Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Mark Lynch in the 2026 South Carolina Republican Senate primary is 25% to 29.99%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places. Resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If multiple rounds of voting occur (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not specified. If the election is cancelled, postponed beyond the market expiration, or no certified results are available by expiration, the market resolves to No. If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "official government website of <geography>",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.usa.gov/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "official government website of <geography>",
            "url": "https://www.usa.gov/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "certified/official results",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "certified/official results",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 1,
      "implied_probability": 1,
      "volume_24h_usd": 2038.99,
      "volume_total_usd": 32048.19,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 30,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "mark lynch vote",
        "republican",
        "senate primary",
        "south carolina"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-KKPJ0V03H5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-Y7W52PY2F5",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXVOTEPRIMARY-SENATESCR26MLYNMLYN-32",
      "question": "Will Mark Lynch receive between 30% and 35% of the popular vote in the 2026 South Carolina Republican Senate primary?",
      "description": "30% - 35%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "30% - 35%: South Carolina Republican Senate primary results from the state election authority resolve the named candidate's popular vote share on or after the primary election date.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-16T14:46:36Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-16T14:46:36Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Mark Lynch in the 2026 South Carolina Republican Senate primary is 30% to 34.99%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places. Resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If multiple rounds of voting occur (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not specified. If the election is cancelled, postponed beyond the market expiration, or no certified results are available by expiration, the market resolves to No. If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "official government website of <geography>",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.usa.gov/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "official government website of <geography>",
            "url": "https://www.usa.gov/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "certified/official results",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "certified/official results",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 38.66,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 35,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "mark lynch vote",
        "republican",
        "senate primary",
        "south carolina"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-M4RNGMRWQ1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-Y7W52PY2F5",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXVOTEPRIMARY-SENATESCR26MLYNMLYN-37",
      "question": "Will Mark Lynch receive between 35% and 40% of the popular vote in the 2026 South Carolina Republican Senate primary?",
      "description": "35% - 40%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "35% - 40%: South Carolina Republican Senate primary results from the state election authority resolve the named candidate's popular vote share on or after the primary election date.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-16T14:46:36Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-16T14:46:36Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Mark Lynch in the 2026 South Carolina Republican Senate primary is 35% to 39.99%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places. Resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If multiple rounds of voting occur (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not specified. If the election is cancelled, postponed beyond the market expiration, or no certified results are available by expiration, the market resolves to No. If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "official government website of <geography>",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.usa.gov/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "official government website of <geography>",
            "url": "https://www.usa.gov/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "certified/official results",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "certified/official results",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 44.98,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 40,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "mark lynch vote",
        "republican",
        "senate primary",
        "south carolina"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-BYY2CZQDL3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-Y7W52PY2F5",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXVOTEPRIMARY-SENATESCR26MLYNMLYN-42",
      "question": "Will Mark Lynch receive between 40% and 45% of the popular vote in the 2026 South Carolina Republican Senate primary?",
      "description": "40% - 45%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "40% - 45%: South Carolina Republican Senate primary results from the state election authority resolve the named candidate's popular vote share on or after the primary election date.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-16T14:46:36Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-16T14:46:36Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Mark Lynch in the 2026 South Carolina Republican Senate primary is 40% to 44.99%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places. Resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If multiple rounds of voting occur (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not specified. If the election is cancelled, postponed beyond the market expiration, or no certified results are available by expiration, the market resolves to No. If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "official government website of <geography>",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.usa.gov/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "official government website of <geography>",
            "url": "https://www.usa.gov/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "certified/official results",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "certified/official results",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 49.29,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 45,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "mark lynch vote",
        "republican",
        "senate primary",
        "south carolina"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-0Y8LWZ1T75",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-Y7W52PY2F5",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXVOTEPRIMARY-SENATESCR26MLYNMLYN-72",
      "question": "Will Mark Lynch receive at least 45% of the popular vote in the 2026 South Carolina Republican Senate primary?",
      "description": "At least 45%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "At least 45%: South Carolina Republican Senate primary results from the state election authority resolve the named candidate's popular vote share on or after the primary election date.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-16T14:46:36Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-16T14:46:36Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Mark Lynch in the 2026 South Carolina Republican Senate primary is 45% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places. Resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If multiple rounds of voting occur (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not specified. If the election is cancelled, postponed beyond the market expiration, or no certified results are available by expiration, the market resolves to No. If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "official government website of <geography>",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.usa.gov/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "official government website of <geography>",
            "url": "https://www.usa.gov/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "certified/official results",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "certified/official results",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 23.77,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": 45,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "mark lynch vote",
        "republican",
        "senate primary",
        "south carolina"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-YCDYX2W031",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "event_type": "resolved",
      "outcome": "NO",
      "resolved_at": "2026-06-16T15:16:43.379751Z",
      "deadline_at": null,
      "occurred_basis": "venue_settlement",
      "final_price": 0,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-23",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-BS1HFM8CV7",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "event_type": "resolved",
      "outcome": "NO",
      "resolved_at": "2026-06-16T15:16:43.379751Z",
      "deadline_at": null,
      "occurred_basis": "venue_settlement",
      "final_price": 0,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-23",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-31G04DTCX8",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "event_type": "resolved",
      "outcome": "NO",
      "resolved_at": "2026-06-16T15:16:43.379751Z",
      "deadline_at": null,
      "occurred_basis": "venue_settlement",
      "final_price": 0,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-23",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-J6HMLLY4S9",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "event_type": "resolved",
      "outcome": "NO",
      "resolved_at": "2026-06-16T15:16:43.379751Z",
      "deadline_at": null,
      "occurred_basis": "venue_settlement",
      "final_price": 0,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-23",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-NVT9W2F068",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "event_type": "resolved",
      "outcome": "YES",
      "resolved_at": "2026-06-16T15:16:43.379751Z",
      "deadline_at": null,
      "occurred_basis": "venue_settlement",
      "final_price": 1,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-23",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-KKPJ0V03H5",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "event_type": "resolved",
      "outcome": "NO",
      "resolved_at": "2026-06-16T15:16:43.379751Z",
      "deadline_at": null,
      "occurred_basis": "venue_settlement",
      "final_price": 0,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-23",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-M4RNGMRWQ1",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "event_type": "resolved",
      "outcome": "NO",
      "resolved_at": "2026-06-16T15:16:43.379751Z",
      "deadline_at": null,
      "occurred_basis": "venue_settlement",
      "final_price": 0,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-23",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-BYY2CZQDL3",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "event_type": "resolved",
      "outcome": "NO",
      "resolved_at": "2026-06-16T15:16:43.379751Z",
      "deadline_at": null,
      "occurred_basis": "venue_settlement",
      "final_price": 0,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-23",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-0Y8LWZ1T75",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "event_type": "resolved",
      "outcome": "NO",
      "resolved_at": "2026-06-16T15:16:43.379751Z",
      "deadline_at": null,
      "occurred_basis": "venue_settlement",
      "final_price": 0,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-23",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    }
  ],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-Y7W52PY2F5",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}