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  "question": "Will the Senate vote on the next budget reconciliation bill?",
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  "editorial_notes": "These markets track individual Senate votes on the next budget reconciliation bill. Each contract isolates a single senator's yes-or-no vote, covering ideological outliers: moderate Republicans Collins and Murkowski, fiscal hawk Paul, Democrat Fetterman, and senior Republicans Tillis, McConnell, and Cassidy. All seven resolve via Kalshi staff determination against Library of Congress voting records by January 1, 2027. Together they map the bill's margin risk across likely swing votes.",
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      "question": "Will Lisa Murkowski vote for the next budget reconciliation bill?",
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        "rules_raw": "If Lisa Murkowski votes for the next budget reconciliation bill in the Senate before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe vote must be the first final vote on the bill, not a motion to proceed or motion to invoke cloture, unless otherwise specified. This must be a vote in the relevant full chamber, not a Committee vote, though not every member of the chamber needs to have participated in the vote. Once the vote has been closed and the correct result of the vote has been announced, a request by the member to add, remove, or alter a vote shall not be considered for purposes of resolving this market, regardless of any change to the official vote tally reported by the website Congress.gov or any other Congressional source.",
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      "question": "Will Susan Collins vote for the next budget reconciliation bill?",
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