{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-WM8M1GC9H3",
  "slug": "kxwenbaconator-26aug02",
  "question": "Will Wendy's Baconator cost more than $X in July 2026?",
  "category": "economics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "economics",
    "fast-food-pricing",
    "wendy's",
    "commodity-prices",
    "us-inflation",
    "2026"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the average U.S. retail price of a Wendy's Baconator sandwich in July 2026. Kalshi structures the event as seven adjacent strike thresholds, ranging from $8.66 to $8.72. The spread of strikes allows traders to isolate a precise price range, functioning similarly to a binary ladder. Resolution is via Kalshi staff determination, with settlement expected by August 9, 2026.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-L1QV5GKCQ6",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.99,
    "implied_probability": 0.99
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-L1QV5GKCQ6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-WM8M1GC9H3",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXWENBACONATOR-26AUG02-T8.66",
      "question": "Will average U.S. price of a Wendy's Baconator for July 2026 be at least $8.66?",
      "description": "At least $8.66",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "At least $8.66: Kalshi staff determines the average U.S. price of the referenced fast-food sandwich for July 2026 using Bureau of Labor Statistics data, resolving August 9, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-02T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-09T05:30:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If average U.S. price of a Wendy's Baconator for July 2026 is at least $8.66, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nFor purposes of this market, the “average U.S. price of a Wendy's Baconator” means the first July 2026 value reported by Spice Data for “Wendy's Baconator Price” / “Price (USD)”. Corrections or revisions made after the market has been settled will not affect the outcome.\n\nThis market and these products have not been endorsed by The Wendy’s Company, Wendy’s International, LLC, Quality Is Our Recipe, LLC, or their affiliates. Any references to Wendy’s, Wendy’s Baconator, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between The Wendy’s Company, Wendy’s International, LLC, Quality Is Our Recipe, LLC, or their affiliates and Kalshi.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Spice Data",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Spice Data",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.99,
      "implied_probability": 0.99,
      "volume_24h_usd": 23.7699,
      "volume_total_usd": 4516.3404,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": 8.66,
      "question_id": "CMX-A9BB2FA289",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "fast-food",
        "pricing",
        "wendy baconator",
        "wendy's"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-8X64Y12VX2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-WM8M1GC9H3",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXWENBACONATOR-26AUG02-T8.67",
      "question": "Will average U.S. price of a Wendy's Baconator for July 2026 be at least $8.67?",
      "description": "At least $8.67",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "At least $8.67: Kalshi staff determines the average U.S. price of the referenced fast-food sandwich for July 2026 using Bureau of Labor Statistics data, resolving August 9, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-02T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-09T05:30:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If average U.S. price of a Wendy's Baconator for July 2026 is at least $8.67, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nFor purposes of this market, the “average U.S. price of a Wendy's Baconator” means the first July 2026 value reported by Spice Data for “Wendy's Baconator Price” / “Price (USD)”. Corrections or revisions made after the market has been settled will not affect the outcome.\n\nThis market and these products have not been endorsed by The Wendy’s Company, Wendy’s International, LLC, Quality Is Our Recipe, LLC, or their affiliates. Any references to Wendy’s, Wendy’s Baconator, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between The Wendy’s Company, Wendy’s International, LLC, Quality Is Our Recipe, LLC, or their affiliates and Kalshi.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Spice Data",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Spice Data",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.83,
      "implied_probability": 0.83,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 352.15239999999994,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": 8.67,
      "question_id": "CMX-16E9FFA188",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "fast-food",
        "pricing",
        "wendy baconator",
        "wendy's"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-WKDXR67VX4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-WM8M1GC9H3",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXWENBACONATOR-26AUG02-T8.68",
      "question": "Will average U.S. price of a Wendy's Baconator for July 2026 be at least $8.68?",
      "description": "At least $8.68",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "At least $8.68: Kalshi staff determines the average U.S. price of the referenced fast-food sandwich for July 2026 using Bureau of Labor Statistics data, resolving August 9, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-02T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-09T05:30:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If average U.S. price of a Wendy's Baconator for July 2026 is at least $8.68, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nFor purposes of this market, the “average U.S. price of a Wendy's Baconator” means the first July 2026 value reported by Spice Data for “Wendy's Baconator Price” / “Price (USD)”. Corrections or revisions made after the market has been settled will not affect the outcome.\n\nThis market and these products have not been endorsed by The Wendy’s Company, Wendy’s International, LLC, Quality Is Our Recipe, LLC, or their affiliates. Any references to Wendy’s, Wendy’s Baconator, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between The Wendy’s Company, Wendy’s International, LLC, Quality Is Our Recipe, LLC, or their affiliates and Kalshi.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Spice Data",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Spice Data",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.68,
      "implied_probability": 0.68,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 81.01520000000001,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": 8.68,
      "question_id": "CMX-19D3C3C73D",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "fast-food",
        "pricing",
        "wendy baconator",
        "wendy's"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-H2KSJPPNT1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-WM8M1GC9H3",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXWENBACONATOR-26AUG02-T8.69",
      "question": "Will average U.S. price of a Wendy's Baconator for July 2026 be at least $8.69?",
      "description": "At least $8.69",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "At least $8.69: Kalshi staff determines the average U.S. price of the referenced fast-food sandwich for July 2026 using Bureau of Labor Statistics data, resolving August 9, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-02T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-09T05:30:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If average U.S. price of a Wendy's Baconator for July 2026 is at least $8.69, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nFor purposes of this market, the “average U.S. price of a Wendy's Baconator” means the first July 2026 value reported by Spice Data for “Wendy's Baconator Price” / “Price (USD)”. Corrections or revisions made after the market has been settled will not affect the outcome.\n\nThis market and these products have not been endorsed by The Wendy’s Company, Wendy’s International, LLC, Quality Is Our Recipe, LLC, or their affiliates. Any references to Wendy’s, Wendy’s Baconator, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between The Wendy’s Company, Wendy’s International, LLC, Quality Is Our Recipe, LLC, or their affiliates and Kalshi.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Spice Data",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Spice Data",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.46,
      "implied_probability": 0.46,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 33.8238,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": 8.69,
      "question_id": "CMX-6211C8FADF",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "fast-food",
        "pricing",
        "wendy baconator",
        "wendy's"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-2QLXD4T911",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-WM8M1GC9H3",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXWENBACONATOR-26AUG02-T8.70",
      "question": "Will average U.S. price of a Wendy's Baconator for July 2026 be at least $8.70?",
      "description": "At least $8.70",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "At least $8.70: Kalshi staff determines the average U.S. price of the referenced fast-food sandwich for July 2026 using Bureau of Labor Statistics data, resolving August 9, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-02T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-09T05:30:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If average U.S. price of a Wendy's Baconator for July 2026 is at least $8.70, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nFor purposes of this market, the “average U.S. price of a Wendy's Baconator” means the first July 2026 value reported by Spice Data for “Wendy's Baconator Price” / “Price (USD)”. Corrections or revisions made after the market has been settled will not affect the outcome.\n\nThis market and these products have not been endorsed by The Wendy’s Company, Wendy’s International, LLC, Quality Is Our Recipe, LLC, or their affiliates. Any references to Wendy’s, Wendy’s Baconator, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between The Wendy’s Company, Wendy’s International, LLC, Quality Is Our Recipe, LLC, or their affiliates and Kalshi.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Spice Data",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Spice Data",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.32,
      "implied_probability": 0.32,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 224.752,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": 8.7,
      "question_id": "CMX-68362CAEFC",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "fast-food",
        "pricing",
        "wendy baconator",
        "wendy's"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-QJKPGJ82D8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-WM8M1GC9H3",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXWENBACONATOR-26AUG02-T8.71",
      "question": "Will average U.S. price of a Wendy's Baconator for July 2026 be at least $8.71?",
      "description": "At least $8.71",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "At least $8.71: Kalshi staff determines the average U.S. price of the referenced fast-food sandwich for July 2026 using Bureau of Labor Statistics data, resolving August 9, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-02T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-09T05:30:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If average U.S. price of a Wendy's Baconator for July 2026 is at least $8.71, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nFor purposes of this market, the “average U.S. price of a Wendy's Baconator” means the first July 2026 value reported by Spice Data for “Wendy's Baconator Price” / “Price (USD)”. Corrections or revisions made after the market has been settled will not affect the outcome.\n\nThis market and these products have not been endorsed by The Wendy’s Company, Wendy’s International, LLC, Quality Is Our Recipe, LLC, or their affiliates. Any references to Wendy’s, Wendy’s Baconator, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between The Wendy’s Company, Wendy’s International, LLC, Quality Is Our Recipe, LLC, or their affiliates and Kalshi.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Spice Data",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Spice Data",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.14,
      "implied_probability": 0.14,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 4.8664000000000005,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": 8.71,
      "question_id": "CMX-F789487EBF",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "fast-food",
        "pricing",
        "wendy baconator",
        "wendy's"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-QRKP8KKYQ6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-WM8M1GC9H3",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXWENBACONATOR-26AUG02-T8.72",
      "question": "Will average U.S. price of a Wendy's Baconator for July 2026 be at least $8.72?",
      "description": "At least $8.72",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "At least $8.72: Kalshi staff determines the average U.S. price of the referenced fast-food sandwich for July 2026 using Bureau of Labor Statistics data, resolving August 9, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-02T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-09T05:30:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If average U.S. price of a Wendy's Baconator for July 2026 is at least $8.72, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nFor purposes of this market, the “average U.S. price of a Wendy's Baconator” means the first July 2026 value reported by Spice Data for “Wendy's Baconator Price” / “Price (USD)”. Corrections or revisions made after the market has been settled will not affect the outcome.\n\nThis market and these products have not been endorsed by The Wendy’s Company, Wendy’s International, LLC, Quality Is Our Recipe, LLC, or their affiliates. Any references to Wendy’s, Wendy’s Baconator, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between The Wendy’s Company, Wendy’s International, LLC, Quality Is Our Recipe, LLC, or their affiliates and Kalshi.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Spice Data",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Spice Data",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.06,
      "implied_probability": 0.06,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0.12,
      "volume_total_usd": 2.0088,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": 8.72,
      "question_id": "CMX-9125B27650",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "fast-food",
        "pricing",
        "wendy baconator",
        "wendy's"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-WM8M1GC9H3",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}