{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-C2VSFP4N78",
  "slug": "kxwidgov2nd-govwinomd26-2",
  "question": "Will the second-place finisher in the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary be decided by August 2027?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "wisconsin-politics",
    "democratic-primary",
    "2026-election",
    "gubernatorial-race",
    "second-place-finish"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track which named candidate finishes second in the 2026 Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary. All three are binary Kalshi contracts on distinct candidates: Francesca Hong, David Crowley, and Mandela Barnes. The markets are mutually exclusive; only one candidate can finish second. Resolution follows Kalshi staff determination using Wisconsin Elections Commission certified results.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-NK6Q8R7508",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.95,
    "implied_probability": 0.95
  },
  "created_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-G8WLTL8D77",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-C2VSFP4N78",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXWIDGOV2ND-GOVWINOMD26-2-FHON",
      "question": "Will Francesca Hong finish 2nd in the 2026 Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary?",
      "description": "Francesca Hong",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Francesca Hong: The Wisconsin Elections Commission certifies Democratic gubernatorial primary results; the named candidate's final placement determines resolution by August 11, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-08-11T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-08-11T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Francesca Hong finishes in 2nd place in the 2026 Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nRanking is determined by the specified counting method:\nFor plurality voting: rank is based on vote count or percentage\nFor ranked choice voting: rank is determined by elimination order (runner-up is eliminated in final round for second place)\nFor two-round systems: rank is based on final round results if it proceeds to second round, otherwise first-round totals\nFor proportional representation: rank follows the electoral authority's final seat allocation order\n\nIn case of exact ties, markets resolve proportionally (1/number of tied entities). Write-in candidates achieving the specified rank resolve all named candidate markets to NO unless a specific \"Write-in\" or \"Other\" option exists. Candidates who withdraw or are disqualified after the filing deadline but remain on the ballot are ranked based on votes received. If the election is cancelled or postponed beyond expiration, all markets resolve to NO.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "official election authority responsible for certifying results in geography",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://kalshi.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "official election authority responsible for certifying results in geography",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "official election authority responsible for certifying results in geography",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.04,
      "implied_probability": 0.04,
      "volume_24h_usd": 153.03,
      "volume_total_usd": 1262.67,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "democratic primary",
        "francesca hong",
        "gubernatorial",
        "wisconsin"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-NK6Q8R7508",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-C2VSFP4N78",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXWIDGOV2ND-GOVWINOMD26-2-DCRO",
      "question": "Will David Crowley finish 2nd in the 2026 Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary?",
      "description": "David Crowley",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "David Crowley: The Wisconsin Elections Commission certifies Democratic gubernatorial primary results; the named candidate's final placement determines resolution by August 11, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-08-11T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-08-11T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If David Crowley finishes in 2nd place in the 2026 Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nRanking is determined by the specified counting method:\nFor plurality voting: rank is based on vote count or percentage\nFor ranked choice voting: rank is determined by elimination order (runner-up is eliminated in final round for second place)\nFor two-round systems: rank is based on final round results if it proceeds to second round, otherwise first-round totals\nFor proportional representation: rank follows the electoral authority's final seat allocation order\n\nIn case of exact ties, markets resolve proportionally (1/number of tied entities). Write-in candidates achieving the specified rank resolve all named candidate markets to NO unless a specific \"Write-in\" or \"Other\" option exists. Candidates who withdraw or are disqualified after the filing deadline but remain on the ballot are ranked based on votes received. If the election is cancelled or postponed beyond expiration, all markets resolve to NO.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "official election authority responsible for certifying results in geography",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://kalshi.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "official election authority responsible for certifying results in geography",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "official election authority responsible for certifying results in geography",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.95,
      "implied_probability": 0.95,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 11760.19,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "david crowley",
        "democratic primary",
        "gubernatorial",
        "wisconsin"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-5QX02DJV78",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-C2VSFP4N78",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXWIDGOV2ND-GOVWINOMD26-2-MBAR",
      "question": "Will Mandela Barnes finish 2nd in the 2026 Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary?",
      "description": "Mandela Barnes",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Mandela Barnes: The Wisconsin Elections Commission certifies Democratic gubernatorial primary results; the named candidate's final placement determines resolution by August 11, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-08-11T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-08-11T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Mandela Barnes finishes in 2nd place in the 2026 Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nRanking is determined by the specified counting method:\nFor plurality voting: rank is based on vote count or percentage\nFor ranked choice voting: rank is determined by elimination order (runner-up is eliminated in final round for second place)\nFor two-round systems: rank is based on final round results if it proceeds to second round, otherwise first-round totals\nFor proportional representation: rank follows the electoral authority's final seat allocation order\n\nIn case of exact ties, markets resolve proportionally (1/number of tied entities). Write-in candidates achieving the specified rank resolve all named candidate markets to NO unless a specific \"Write-in\" or \"Other\" option exists. Candidates who withdraw or are disqualified after the filing deadline but remain on the ballot are ranked based on votes received. If the election is cancelled or postponed beyond expiration, all markets resolve to NO.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "official election authority responsible for certifying results in geography",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://kalshi.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "official election authority responsible for certifying results in geography",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "official election authority responsible for certifying results in geography",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.01,
      "implied_probability": 0.01,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 520.82,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "democratic primary",
        "gubernatorial",
        "mandela barnes",
        "wisconsin"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-C2VSFP4N78",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}