{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-94JQ707RT3",
  "slug": "kxwti-26nov03",
  "question": "Will the price of WTI crude oil be above $80 per barrel on November 3, 2026?",
  "category": "financials",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "financials",
    "wti-crude-oil",
    "energy-commodities",
    "us-election-2026",
    "price-settlement",
    "commodity-futures"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the WTI front-month crude futures settlement price on November 3, 2026. Kalshi prices the event as a ladder of binary strike thresholds in $0.50 increments; together they imply a continuous price distribution. The authoritative data source is ICE, with resolution by Kalshi staff determination. Note that November 3, 2026 is U.S. Election Day, which may introduce correlated political risk into energy price positioning.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-PZ919HTDD4",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.38,
    "implied_probability": 0.38
  },
  "created_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-1Q8FK934T2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-94JQ707RT3",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXWTI-26NOV0314-T62.99",
      "question": "Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 62.99 USD/Bbl on Nov 3, 2026?",
      "description": "Above $62.99",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $62.99: WTI front-month crude futures settlement price on November 3, 2026, as reported by ICE, resolved by Kalshi staff determination on November 11, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-11-03T19:30:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-11T00:55:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the front-month settle price for a barrel of West Texas Intermediate oil on November 03, 2026 is above ||Price||, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "ICE",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.theice.com/products/213/WTI-Crude-Futures",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "ICE",
            "url": "https://www.theice.com/products/213/WTI-Crude-Futures",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "ICE",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 100,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 0,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 63,
      "question_id": "CMX-C0891CBD72",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "commodities",
        "crude oil",
        "energy",
        "wti",
        "wti crude oil"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-NLQ20WGRW3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-94JQ707RT3",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXWTI-26NOV0314-T63.49",
      "question": "Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 63.49 USD/Bbl on Nov 3, 2026?",
      "description": "Above $63.49",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $63.49: WTI front-month crude futures settlement price on November 3, 2026, as reported by ICE, resolved by Kalshi staff determination on November 11, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-11-03T19:30:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-11T00:55:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the front-month settle price for a barrel of West Texas Intermediate oil on November 03, 2026 is above ||Price||, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "ICE",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.theice.com/products/213/WTI-Crude-Futures",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "ICE",
            "url": "https://www.theice.com/products/213/WTI-Crude-Futures",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "ICE",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 100,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 0,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 63.49,
      "question_id": "CMX-2D2B0BC222",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "commodities",
        "crude oil",
        "energy",
        "wti",
        "wti crude oil"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-BLJ041MZY7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-94JQ707RT3",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXWTI-26NOV0314-T63.99",
      "question": "Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 63.99 USD/Bbl on Nov 3, 2026?",
      "description": "Above $63.99",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $63.99: WTI front-month crude futures settlement price on November 3, 2026, as reported by ICE, resolved by Kalshi staff determination on November 11, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-11-03T19:30:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-11T00:55:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the front-month settle price for a barrel of West Texas Intermediate oil on November 03, 2026 is above ||Price||, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "ICE",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.theice.com/products/213/WTI-Crude-Futures",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "ICE",
            "url": "https://www.theice.com/products/213/WTI-Crude-Futures",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "ICE",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 100,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 0,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 64,
      "question_id": "CMX-1D4B26E894",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "commodities",
        "crude oil",
        "energy",
        "wti",
        "wti crude oil"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-2CZBJLK1D7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-94JQ707RT3",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXWTI-26NOV0314-T64.49",
      "question": "Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 64.49 USD/Bbl on Nov 3, 2026?",
      "description": "Above $64.49",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $64.49: WTI front-month crude futures settlement price on November 3, 2026, as reported by ICE, resolved by Kalshi staff determination on November 11, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-11-03T19:30:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-11T00:55:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the front-month settle price for a barrel of West Texas Intermediate oil on November 03, 2026 is above ||Price||, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "ICE",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.theice.com/products/213/WTI-Crude-Futures",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "ICE",
            "url": "https://www.theice.com/products/213/WTI-Crude-Futures",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "ICE",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
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      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 100,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 0,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 64.49,
      "question_id": "CMX-7DE02A196D",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "commodities",
        "crude oil",
        "energy",
        "wti",
        "wti crude oil"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-CJ3X8B3VN5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-94JQ707RT3",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXWTI-26NOV0314-T64.99",
      "question": "Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 64.99 USD/Bbl on Nov 3, 2026?",
      "description": "Above $64.99",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $64.99: WTI front-month crude futures settlement price on November 3, 2026, as reported by ICE, resolved by Kalshi staff determination on November 11, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-11-03T19:30:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-11T00:55:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the front-month settle price for a barrel of West Texas Intermediate oil on November 03, 2026 is above ||Price||, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "ICE",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.theice.com/products/213/WTI-Crude-Futures",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "ICE",
            "url": "https://www.theice.com/products/213/WTI-Crude-Futures",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "ICE",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 100,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 0,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 65,
      "question_id": "CMX-C08702FCF5",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "commodities",
        "crude oil",
        "energy",
        "wti",
        "wti crude oil"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-SHGDJLPJJ2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-94JQ707RT3",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXWTI-26NOV0314-T65.49",
      "question": "Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 65.49 USD/Bbl on Nov 3, 2026?",
      "description": "Above $65.49",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $65.49: WTI front-month crude futures settlement price on November 3, 2026, as reported by ICE, resolved by Kalshi staff determination on November 11, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-11-03T19:30:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-11T00:55:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the front-month settle price for a barrel of West Texas Intermediate oil on November 03, 2026 is above ||Price||, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "ICE",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.theice.com/products/213/WTI-Crude-Futures",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "ICE",
            "url": "https://www.theice.com/products/213/WTI-Crude-Futures",
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          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "ICE",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
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      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 100,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 0,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 65.49,
      "question_id": "CMX-29814555D3",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "commodities",
        "crude oil",
        "energy",
        "wti",
        "wti crude oil"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-DRQVC36BF6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-94JQ707RT3",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXWTI-26NOV0314-T65.99",
      "question": "Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 65.99 USD/Bbl on Nov 3, 2026?",
      "description": "Above $65.99",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $65.99: WTI front-month crude futures settlement price on November 3, 2026, as reported by ICE, resolved by Kalshi staff determination on November 11, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-11-03T19:30:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-11T00:55:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the front-month settle price for a barrel of West Texas Intermediate oil on November 03, 2026 is above ||Price||, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "ICE",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.theice.com/products/213/WTI-Crude-Futures",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "ICE",
            "url": "https://www.theice.com/products/213/WTI-Crude-Futures",
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        ],
        "source_of_record": "ICE",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
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      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 100,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 0,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 66,
      "question_id": "CMX-7FCE44D907",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "commodities",
        "crude oil",
        "energy",
        "wti",
        "wti crude oil"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-0ML5WMHBS7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-94JQ707RT3",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXWTI-26NOV0314-T66.49",
      "question": "Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 66.49 USD/Bbl on Nov 3, 2026?",
      "description": "Above $66.49",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $66.49: WTI front-month crude futures settlement price on November 3, 2026, as reported by ICE, resolved by Kalshi staff determination on November 11, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-11-03T19:30:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-11T00:55:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the front-month settle price for a barrel of West Texas Intermediate oil on November 03, 2026 is above ||Price||, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "ICE",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.theice.com/products/213/WTI-Crude-Futures",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "ICE",
            "url": "https://www.theice.com/products/213/WTI-Crude-Futures",
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        ],
        "source_of_record": "ICE",
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      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 100,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 0,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 66.49,
      "question_id": "CMX-5BD79A8CBD",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "commodities",
        "crude oil",
        "energy",
        "wti",
        "wti crude oil"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-MSTSRCK4L5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-94JQ707RT3",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXWTI-26NOV0314-T66.99",
      "question": "Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 66.99 USD/Bbl on Nov 3, 2026?",
      "description": "Above $66.99",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $66.99: WTI front-month crude futures settlement price on November 3, 2026, as reported by ICE, resolved by Kalshi staff determination on November 11, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-11-03T19:30:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-11T00:55:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the front-month settle price for a barrel of West Texas Intermediate oil on November 03, 2026 is above ||Price||, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "ICE",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.theice.com/products/213/WTI-Crude-Futures",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "ICE",
            "url": "https://www.theice.com/products/213/WTI-Crude-Futures",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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        ],
        "source_of_record": "ICE",
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      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 100,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 0,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 67,
      "question_id": "CMX-A94E080220",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "commodities",
        "crude oil",
        "energy",
        "wti",
        "wti crude oil"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-P138JGPQ73",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-94JQ707RT3",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXWTI-26NOV0314-T67.49",
      "question": "Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 67.49 USD/Bbl on Nov 3, 2026?",
      "description": "Above $67.49",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $67.49: WTI front-month crude futures settlement price on November 3, 2026, as reported by ICE, resolved by Kalshi staff determination on November 11, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-11-03T19:30:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-11T00:55:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the front-month settle price for a barrel of West Texas Intermediate oil on November 03, 2026 is above ||Price||, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "ICE",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.theice.com/products/213/WTI-Crude-Futures",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "ICE",
            "url": "https://www.theice.com/products/213/WTI-Crude-Futures",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
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      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 100,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
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      "question": "Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 72.49 USD/Bbl on Nov 3, 2026?",
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        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 100,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.05,
      "implied_probability": 0.05,
      "volume_24h_usd": 2.5,
      "volume_total_usd": 773.84,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 116,
      "question_id": "CMX-0DD1C94BB8",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "wti crude oil"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-KJK6FYR2Z3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-94JQ707RT3",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXWTI-26NOV03-T116.99",
      "question": "Will the WTI front-month settle oil price  be >116.99 on Nov 3, 2026?",
      "description": "$117 or above",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "$117 or above: WTI front-month crude futures settlement price on November 3, 2026, as reported by ICE, resolved by Kalshi staff determination on November 11, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-11-03T19:30:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-11T00:55:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the front-month settle price for a barrel of West Texas Intermediate oil on November 03, 2026 is above $116.99, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "ICE",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.theice.com/products/213/WTI-Crude-Futures",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "ICE",
            "url": "https://www.theice.com/products/213/WTI-Crude-Futures",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "ICE",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 100,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.04,
      "implied_probability": 0.04,
      "volume_24h_usd": 50.22,
      "volume_total_usd": 3108.09,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 117,
      "question_id": "CMX-15E40E3C8A",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "wti crude oil"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-94JQ707RT3",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}