{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-N12K7YZCV3",
  "slug": "kxwtidiry-26dec31h1430",
  "question": "Will the price of WTI oil be above 75 on December 31, 2026 at 02:30 PM EST?",
  "category": "financials",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "financials",
    "wti-crude-oil",
    "energy-commodities",
    "price-prediction",
    "year-end-2026",
    "financial-markets"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the WTI crude oil spot price at 2:30 PM EST on December 31, 2026. Kalshi structures all eleven contracts as binary strike thresholds, ranging from $75 to $125 per barrel. Taken together, the contracts imply a market-derived probability distribution over the terminal price level. Resolution uses Kalshi staff determination referencing the ICE Futures U.S. closing price at the stated time.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-DPLZC4G0T5",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.75,
    "implied_probability": 0.75,
    "as_of": "2026-09-18T23:45:40.733Z"
  },
  "created_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-DPLZC4G0T5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-N12K7YZCV3",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXWTIDIRY-26DEC31H1430-T75",
      "question": "Will the price of WTI oil be above 75 on December 31, 2026 at 02:30 PM EST?",
      "description": "75 or above",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "75 or above: The closing price of the referenced commodity on ICE Futures U.S. on December 31, 2026 at 2:30 PM EST determines the outcome, verified by Kalshi staff.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T19:30:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-07T22:30:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the settlement price of WTI Crude Oil on December 31, 2026 at 02:30 PM EST is above 75 USD/Bbl, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nSettlement is based on the February 2027 contract released on December 31, 2026.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "ICE",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.ice.com/report/10",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "ICE",
            "url": "https://www.ice.com/report/10",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "ICE",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 100,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.75,
      "implied_probability": 0.75,
      "price_as_of": "2026-09-18T23:45:40.733Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 173.39999999999998,
      "volume_total_usd": 8647.53,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 75,
      "question_id": "CMX-D9A40AC474",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "commodity",
        "energy",
        "oil",
        "wti",
        "wti crude oil"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "review",
          "reasons": [
            "category_interpretation_s1"
          ],
          "permitted_category": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-08-12",
          "cluster": "commodity_prices"
        }
      ],
      "last_checked_at": "2026-09-19T03:45:35.412Z",
      "reconciled_at": "2026-09-17T06:01:08.931Z"
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-TD84T6SMJ9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-N12K7YZCV3",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXWTIDIRY-26DEC31H1430-T80",
      "question": "Will the price of WTI oil be above 80 on December 31, 2026 at 02:30 PM EST?",
      "description": "80 or above",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "80 or above: The closing price of the referenced commodity on ICE Futures U.S. on December 31, 2026 at 2:30 PM EST determines the outcome, verified by Kalshi staff.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T19:30:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-07T22:30:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the settlement price of WTI Crude Oil on December 31, 2026 at 02:30 PM EST is above 80 USD/Bbl, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nSettlement is based on the February 2027 contract released on December 31, 2026.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "ICE",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.ice.com/report/10",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "ICE",
            "url": "https://www.ice.com/report/10",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "ICE",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 100,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.62,
      "implied_probability": 0.62,
      "price_as_of": "2026-09-18T23:45:40.733Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 12.4,
      "volume_total_usd": 8437.5242,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 80,
      "question_id": "CMX-9A9AF11220",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "commodity",
        "energy",
        "oil",
        "wti",
        "wti crude oil"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "review",
          "reasons": [
            "category_interpretation_s1"
          ],
          "permitted_category": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-08-12",
          "cluster": "commodity_prices"
        }
      ],
      "last_checked_at": "2026-09-19T03:45:35.412Z",
      "reconciled_at": "2026-09-17T06:01:08.931Z"
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-9ZLZFYG3M5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-N12K7YZCV3",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXWTIDIRY-26DEC31H1430-T85",
      "question": "Will the price of WTI oil be above 85 on December 31, 2026 at 02:30 PM EST?",
      "description": "85 or above",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "85 or above: The closing price of the referenced commodity on ICE Futures U.S. on December 31, 2026 at 2:30 PM EST determines the outcome, verified by Kalshi staff.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T19:30:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-07T22:30:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the settlement price of WTI Crude Oil on December 31, 2026 at 02:30 PM EST is above 85 USD/Bbl, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nSettlement is based on the February 2027 contract released on December 31, 2026.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "ICE",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.ice.com/report/10",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "ICE",
            "url": "https://www.ice.com/report/10",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "ICE",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 100,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.58,
      "implied_probability": 0.58,
      "price_as_of": "2026-09-19T02:45:40.022Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 4.64,
      "volume_total_usd": 6156.676799999999,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 85,
      "question_id": "CMX-DB220B1CE5",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "commodity",
        "energy",
        "oil",
        "wti",
        "wti crude oil"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "review",
          "reasons": [
            "category_interpretation_s1"
          ],
          "permitted_category": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-08-12",
          "cluster": "commodity_prices"
        }
      ],
      "last_checked_at": "2026-09-19T03:45:35.412Z",
      "reconciled_at": "2026-09-17T06:01:08.931Z"
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-C2VCFZ0250",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-N12K7YZCV3",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXWTIDIRY-26DEC31H1430-T90",
      "question": "Will the price of WTI oil be above 90 on December 31, 2026 at 02:30 PM EST?",
      "description": "90 or above",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "90 or above: The closing price of the referenced commodity on ICE Futures U.S. on December 31, 2026 at 2:30 PM EST determines the outcome, verified by Kalshi staff.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T19:30:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-07T22:30:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the settlement price of WTI Crude Oil on December 31, 2026 at 02:30 PM EST is above 90 USD/Bbl, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nSettlement is based on the February 2027 contract released on December 31, 2026.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "ICE",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.ice.com/report/10",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "ICE",
            "url": "https://www.ice.com/report/10",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "ICE",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 100,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.45,
      "implied_probability": 0.45,
      "price_as_of": "2026-09-18T23:45:40.733Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 3815.5409999999997,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 90,
      "question_id": "CMX-6377653D7A",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "commodity",
        "energy",
        "oil",
        "wti",
        "wti crude oil"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "review",
          "reasons": [
            "category_interpretation_s1"
          ],
          "permitted_category": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-08-12",
          "cluster": "commodity_prices"
        }
      ],
      "last_checked_at": "2026-09-19T03:45:35.412Z",
      "reconciled_at": "2026-09-17T06:01:08.931Z"
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-04CFKTWCW5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-N12K7YZCV3",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXWTIDIRY-26DEC31H1430-T95",
      "question": "Will the price of WTI oil be above 95 on December 31, 2026 at 02:30 PM EST?",
      "description": "95 or above",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "95 or above: The closing price of the referenced commodity on ICE Futures U.S. on December 31, 2026 at 2:30 PM EST determines the outcome, verified by Kalshi staff.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T19:30:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-07T22:30:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the settlement price of WTI Crude Oil on December 31, 2026 at 02:30 PM EST is above 95 USD/Bbl, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nSettlement is based on the February 2027 contract released on December 31, 2026.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "ICE",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.ice.com/report/10",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "ICE",
            "url": "https://www.ice.com/report/10",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "ICE",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 100,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.46,
      "implied_probability": 0.46,
      "price_as_of": "2026-09-19T02:45:40.022Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 15.180000000000001,
      "volume_total_usd": 2155.9556,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 95,
      "question_id": "CMX-275D67D3A8",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "commodity",
        "energy",
        "oil",
        "wti",
        "wti crude oil"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "review",
          "reasons": [
            "category_interpretation_s1"
          ],
          "permitted_category": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-08-12",
          "cluster": "commodity_prices"
        }
      ],
      "last_checked_at": "2026-09-19T03:45:35.412Z",
      "reconciled_at": "2026-09-17T06:01:08.931Z"
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-VS93PCT2P2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-N12K7YZCV3",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXWTIDIRY-26DEC31H1430-T100",
      "question": "Will the price of WTI oil be above 100 on December 31, 2026 at 02:30 PM EST?",
      "description": "100 or above",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "100 or above: The closing price of the referenced commodity on ICE Futures U.S. on December 31, 2026 at 2:30 PM EST determines the outcome, verified by Kalshi staff.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T19:30:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-07T22:30:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the settlement price of WTI Crude Oil on December 31, 2026 at 02:30 PM EST is above 100 USD/Bbl, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nSettlement is based on the February 2027 contract released on December 31, 2026.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "ICE",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.ice.com/report/10",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "ICE",
            "url": "https://www.ice.com/report/10",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "ICE",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 100,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.48,
      "implied_probability": 0.48,
      "price_as_of": "2026-09-19T02:45:40.022Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 80.68799999999999,
      "volume_total_usd": 2790.1056,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 100,
      "question_id": "CMX-83A1B2479E",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "commodity",
        "energy",
        "oil",
        "wti",
        "wti crude oil"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "review",
          "reasons": [
            "category_interpretation_s1"
          ],
          "permitted_category": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-08-12",
          "cluster": "commodity_prices"
        }
      ],
      "last_checked_at": "2026-09-19T03:45:35.412Z",
      "reconciled_at": "2026-09-17T06:01:08.931Z"
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-WPQ8C88RW5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-N12K7YZCV3",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXWTIDIRY-26DEC31H1430-T105",
      "question": "Will the price of WTI oil be above 105 on December 31, 2026 at 02:30 PM EST?",
      "description": "105 or above",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "105 or above: The closing price of the referenced commodity on ICE Futures U.S. on December 31, 2026 at 2:30 PM EST determines the outcome, verified by Kalshi staff.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T19:30:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-07T22:30:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the settlement price of WTI Crude Oil on December 31, 2026 at 02:30 PM EST is above 105 USD/Bbl, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nSettlement is based on the February 2027 contract released on December 31, 2026.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "ICE",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.ice.com/report/10",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "ICE",
            "url": "https://www.ice.com/report/10",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "ICE",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 100,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.37,
      "implied_probability": 0.37,
      "price_as_of": "2026-09-18T11:16:48.501Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 74,
      "volume_total_usd": 1665.2738,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 105,
      "question_id": "CMX-678824BA93",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "commodity",
        "energy",
        "oil",
        "wti",
        "wti crude oil"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "review",
          "reasons": [
            "category_interpretation_s1"
          ],
          "permitted_category": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-08-12",
          "cluster": "commodity_prices"
        }
      ],
      "last_checked_at": "2026-09-19T03:45:35.412Z",
      "reconciled_at": "2026-09-17T06:01:08.931Z"
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-6QFTB9T5B5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-N12K7YZCV3",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXWTIDIRY-26DEC31H1430-T110",
      "question": "Will the price of WTI oil be above 110 on December 31, 2026 at 02:30 PM EST?",
      "description": "110 or above",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "110 or above: The closing price of the referenced commodity on ICE Futures U.S. on December 31, 2026 at 2:30 PM EST determines the outcome, verified by Kalshi staff.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T19:30:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-07T22:30:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the settlement price of WTI Crude Oil on December 31, 2026 at 02:30 PM EST is above 110 USD/Bbl, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nSettlement is based on the February 2027 contract released on December 31, 2026.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "ICE",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.ice.com/report/10",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "ICE",
            "url": "https://www.ice.com/report/10",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "ICE",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 100,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.28,
      "implied_probability": 0.28,
      "price_as_of": "2026-09-17T21:42:17.254Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 1036.5712,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 110,
      "question_id": "CMX-AB835DE0F6",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "commodity",
        "energy",
        "oil",
        "wti",
        "wti crude oil"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "review",
          "reasons": [
            "category_interpretation_s1"
          ],
          "permitted_category": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-08-12",
          "cluster": "commodity_prices"
        }
      ],
      "last_checked_at": "2026-09-19T03:45:35.412Z",
      "reconciled_at": "2026-09-17T06:01:08.931Z"
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-DVQFPLDSK5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-N12K7YZCV3",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXWTIDIRY-26DEC31H1430-T115",
      "question": "Will the price of WTI oil be above 115 on December 31, 2026 at 02:30 PM EST?",
      "description": "115 or above",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "115 or above: The closing price of the referenced commodity on ICE Futures U.S. on December 31, 2026 at 2:30 PM EST determines the outcome, verified by Kalshi staff.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T19:30:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-07T22:30:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the settlement price of WTI Crude Oil on December 31, 2026 at 02:30 PM EST is above 115 USD/Bbl, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nSettlement is based on the February 2027 contract released on December 31, 2026.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "ICE",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.ice.com/report/10",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "ICE",
            "url": "https://www.ice.com/report/10",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "ICE",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 100,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.22,
      "implied_probability": 0.22,
      "price_as_of": "2026-09-19T02:45:40.022Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 0.88,
      "volume_total_usd": 473.2464,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 115,
      "question_id": "CMX-A795292FBC",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "commodity",
        "energy",
        "oil",
        "wti",
        "wti crude oil"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "review",
          "reasons": [
            "category_interpretation_s1"
          ],
          "permitted_category": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-08-12",
          "cluster": "commodity_prices"
        }
      ],
      "last_checked_at": "2026-09-19T03:45:35.412Z",
      "reconciled_at": "2026-09-17T06:01:08.931Z"
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-9HVS5QK626",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-N12K7YZCV3",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXWTIDIRY-26DEC31H1430-T120",
      "question": "Will the price of WTI oil be above 120 on December 31, 2026 at 02:30 PM EST?",
      "description": "120 or above",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "120 or above: The closing price of the referenced commodity on ICE Futures U.S. on December 31, 2026 at 2:30 PM EST determines the outcome, verified by Kalshi staff.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T19:30:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-07T22:30:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the settlement price of WTI Crude Oil on December 31, 2026 at 02:30 PM EST is above 120 USD/Bbl, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nSettlement is based on the February 2027 contract released on December 31, 2026.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "ICE",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.ice.com/report/10",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "ICE",
            "url": "https://www.ice.com/report/10",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "ICE",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 100,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.2,
      "implied_probability": 0.2,
      "price_as_of": "2026-09-17T21:42:17.254Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 1246.0280000000002,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 120,
      "question_id": "CMX-7F3DA732D5",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "commodity",
        "energy",
        "oil",
        "wti",
        "wti crude oil"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "review",
          "reasons": [
            "category_interpretation_s1"
          ],
          "permitted_category": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-08-12",
          "cluster": "commodity_prices"
        }
      ],
      "last_checked_at": "2026-09-19T03:45:35.412Z",
      "reconciled_at": "2026-09-17T06:01:08.931Z"
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-6W867L3870",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-N12K7YZCV3",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXWTIDIRY-26DEC31H1430-T125",
      "question": "Will the price of WTI oil be above 125 on December 31, 2026 at 02:30 PM EST?",
      "description": "125 or above",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "125 or above: The closing price of the referenced commodity on ICE Futures U.S. on December 31, 2026 at 2:30 PM EST determines the outcome, verified by Kalshi staff.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T19:30:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-07T22:30:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the settlement price of WTI Crude Oil on December 31, 2026 at 02:30 PM EST is above 125 USD/Bbl, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nSettlement is based on the February 2027 contract released on December 31, 2026.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "ICE",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.ice.com/report/10",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "ICE",
            "url": "https://www.ice.com/report/10",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "ICE",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 100,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.13,
      "implied_probability": 0.13,
      "price_as_of": "2026-09-18T23:45:40.733Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 3.25,
      "volume_total_usd": 615.1158,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 125,
      "question_id": "CMX-699D93B8D6",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "commodity",
        "energy",
        "oil",
        "wti",
        "wti crude oil"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "review",
          "reasons": [
            "category_interpretation_s1"
          ],
          "permitted_category": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-08-12",
          "cluster": "commodity_prices"
        }
      ],
      "last_checked_at": "2026-09-19T03:45:35.412Z",
      "reconciled_at": "2026-09-17T06:01:08.931Z"
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-N12K7YZCV3",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}