{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-7TJGC08326",
  "slug": "kxwtimin-26dec31",
  "question": "Will WTI crude oil price reach below a specified level by the end of this year?",
  "category": "financials",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "financials",
    "oil-prices",
    "wti-crude",
    "commodities",
    "energy-markets",
    "price-forecast"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track whether WTI front-month settlement price reaches discrete downside strike levels by December 31, 2026. Kalshi structures each contract as a binary threshold, ranging from $80 down to $50, creating an implied probability distribution of the seasonal price trough. The strike ladder allows readers to infer market-implied odds at each support level without a continuous futures strip. Resolution uses Kalshi staff determination referencing ICE Crude Oil front-month settlement data.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-7T5T9LPGM3",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.99,
    "implied_probability": 0.99,
    "as_of": null
  },
  "created_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-7T5T9LPGM3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-7TJGC08326",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXWTIMIN-26DEC31-T80",
      "question": "Will the minimum WTI front month settle price reach $80 by Dec 31, 2026?",
      "description": "79.99 or below",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "79.99 or below: ICE Crude Oil front-month settlement price on or before December 31, 2026, determines resolution by Kalshi staff using ICE official reports by January 7, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-17T03:37:23Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-07T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If ICE reports that the minimum price of oil (as defined exclusively by the set of WTI front-month settle prices) is below $80 between Issuance and Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "ICE",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.ice.com/report/10",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "ICE",
            "url": "https://www.ice.com/report/10",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "ICE",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 100,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.99,
      "implied_probability": 0.99,
      "price_as_of": null,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 142035.91,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "below",
      "threshold": 80,
      "question_id": "CMX-B4833FD11E",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "commodity",
        "energy",
        "oil",
        "wti",
        "wti crude oil"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "review",
          "reasons": [
            "category_interpretation_s1"
          ],
          "permitted_category": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-08-12",
          "cluster": "commodity_prices"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-HPCQT53F49",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-7TJGC08326",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXWTIMIN-26DEC31-T75",
      "question": "Will the minimum WTI front month settle price reach $75 by Dec 31, 2026?",
      "description": "74.99 or below",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "74.99 or below: ICE Crude Oil front-month settlement price on or before December 31, 2026, determines resolution by Kalshi staff using ICE official reports by January 7, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-23T20:21:29Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-07T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If ICE reports that the minimum price of oil (as defined exclusively by the set of WTI front-month settle prices) is below $75 between Issuance and Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "ICE",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.ice.com/report/10",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "ICE",
            "url": "https://www.ice.com/report/10",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "ICE",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 100,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.99,
      "implied_probability": 0.99,
      "price_as_of": null,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 72114.55,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "below",
      "threshold": 75,
      "question_id": "CMX-ED9BF236CF",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "commodity",
        "energy",
        "oil",
        "wti",
        "wti crude oil"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
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          "status": "review",
          "reasons": [
            "category_interpretation_s1"
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          "permitted_category": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-08-12",
          "cluster": "commodity_prices"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-HNP82RQTX4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-7TJGC08326",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXWTIMIN-26DEC31-T70",
      "question": "Will the minimum WTI front month settle price reach $70 by Dec 31, 2026?",
      "description": "69.99 or below",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "69.99 or below: ICE Crude Oil front-month settlement price on or before December 31, 2026, determines resolution by Kalshi staff using ICE official reports by January 7, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-29T23:49:56Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-07T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If ICE reports that the minimum price of oil (as defined exclusively by the set of WTI front-month settle prices) is below $70 between Issuance and Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "ICE",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.ice.com/report/10",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "ICE",
            "url": "https://www.ice.com/report/10",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "ICE",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 100,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.99,
      "implied_probability": 0.99,
      "price_as_of": null,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 95963.23,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "below",
      "threshold": 70,
      "question_id": "CMX-901314120C",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "commodity",
        "energy",
        "oil",
        "wti",
        "wti crude oil"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "review",
          "reasons": [
            "category_interpretation_s1"
          ],
          "permitted_category": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-08-12",
          "cluster": "commodity_prices"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-8PC4PML3H0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-7TJGC08326",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXWTIMIN-26DEC31-T65",
      "question": "Will the minimum WTI front month settle price reach $65 by Dec 31, 2026?",
      "description": "64.99 or below",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "64.99 or below: ICE Crude Oil front-month settlement price on or before December 31, 2026, determines resolution by Kalshi staff using ICE official reports by January 7, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T19:30:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-07T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If ICE reports that the minimum price of oil (as defined exclusively by the set of WTI front-month settle prices) is below $65 between Issuance and Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "ICE",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.ice.com/report/10",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "ICE",
            "url": "https://www.ice.com/report/10",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "ICE",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 100,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.26,
      "implied_probability": 0.26,
      "price_as_of": "2026-09-03T21:00:46.150Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 249.0098,
      "volume_total_usd": 14820.533000000001,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "below",
      "threshold": 65,
      "question_id": "CMX-6DF091699B",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "commodity",
        "energy",
        "oil",
        "wti",
        "wti crude oil"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "review",
          "reasons": [
            "category_interpretation_s1"
          ],
          "permitted_category": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-08-12",
          "cluster": "commodity_prices"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-N8P68SXQV3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-7TJGC08326",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXWTIMIN-26DEC31-T64",
      "question": "Will the minimum WTI front month settle price reach $64 by Dec 31, 2026?",
      "description": "63.99 or below",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "63.99 or below: ICE Crude Oil front-month settlement price on or before December 31, 2026, determines resolution by Kalshi staff using ICE official reports by January 7, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T19:30:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-07T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If ICE reports that the minimum price of oil (as defined exclusively by the set of WTI front-month settle prices) is below $64 between Issuance and Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "ICE",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.ice.com/report/10",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "ICE",
            "url": "https://www.ice.com/report/10",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "ICE",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
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        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 100,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.22,
      "implied_probability": 0.22,
      "price_as_of": "2026-09-03T21:00:46.150Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 3.3462,
      "volume_total_usd": 552.4926,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "below",
      "threshold": 64,
      "question_id": "CMX-010711688B",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "commodity",
        "energy",
        "oil",
        "wti",
        "wti crude oil"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
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          "permitted_category": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-08-12",
          "cluster": "commodity_prices"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-F1SVXWCQC3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-7TJGC08326",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXWTIMIN-26DEC31-T63",
      "question": "Will the minimum WTI front month settle price reach $63 by Dec 31, 2026?",
      "description": "62.99 or below",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "62.99 or below: ICE Crude Oil front-month settlement price on or before December 31, 2026, determines resolution by Kalshi staff using ICE official reports by January 7, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T19:30:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-07T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If ICE reports that the minimum price of oil (as defined exclusively by the set of WTI front-month settle prices) is below $63 between Issuance and Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "ICE",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.ice.com/report/10",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "ICE",
            "url": "https://www.ice.com/report/10",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "ICE",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
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        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 100,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.17,
      "implied_probability": 0.17,
      "price_as_of": "2026-09-03T21:00:46.150Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 0.7599,
      "volume_total_usd": 649.8641,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "below",
      "threshold": 63,
      "question_id": "CMX-8A16772B31",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "commodity",
        "energy",
        "oil",
        "wti",
        "wti crude oil"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
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          "permitted_category": null,
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          "cluster": "commodity_prices"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-P2DYW6YX60",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-7TJGC08326",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXWTIMIN-26DEC31-T62",
      "question": "Will the minimum WTI front month settle price reach $62 by Dec 31, 2026?",
      "description": "61.99 or below",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "61.99 or below: ICE Crude Oil front-month settlement price on or before December 31, 2026, determines resolution by Kalshi staff using ICE official reports by January 7, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T19:30:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-07T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If ICE reports that the minimum price of oil (as defined exclusively by the set of WTI front-month settle prices) is below $62 between Issuance and Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "ICE",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.ice.com/report/10",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "ICE",
            "url": "https://www.ice.com/report/10",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "ICE",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
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      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 100,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.12,
      "implied_probability": 0.12,
      "price_as_of": "2026-09-03T21:00:46.150Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 0.24,
      "volume_total_usd": 354.5136,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "below",
      "threshold": 62,
      "question_id": "CMX-0FC2E33240",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "commodity",
        "energy",
        "oil",
        "wti",
        "wti crude oil"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
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          "permitted_category": null,
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          "cluster": "commodity_prices"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-C97JZXV6Q5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-7TJGC08326",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXWTIMIN-26DEC31-T61",
      "question": "Will the minimum WTI front month settle price reach $61 by Dec 31, 2026?",
      "description": "60.99 or below",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "60.99 or below: ICE Crude Oil front-month settlement price on or before December 31, 2026, determines resolution by Kalshi staff using ICE official reports by January 7, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T19:30:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-07T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If ICE reports that the minimum price of oil (as defined exclusively by the set of WTI front-month settle prices) is below $61 between Issuance and Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "ICE",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.ice.com/report/10",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "ICE",
            "url": "https://www.ice.com/report/10",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "ICE",
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      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 100,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.08,
      "implied_probability": 0.08,
      "price_as_of": "2026-09-03T21:00:46.150Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 264.30080000000004,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "below",
      "threshold": 61,
      "question_id": "CMX-B94508E7BB",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "commodity",
        "energy",
        "oil",
        "wti",
        "wti crude oil"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
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          "screened_at": "2026-08-12",
          "cluster": "commodity_prices"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-RWYNVDNSV7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-7TJGC08326",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXWTIMIN-26DEC31-T60",
      "question": "Will the minimum WTI front month settle price reach $60 by Dec 31, 2026?",
      "description": "59.99 or below",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "59.99 or below: ICE Crude Oil front-month settlement price on or before December 31, 2026, determines resolution by Kalshi staff using ICE official reports by January 7, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T19:30:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-07T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If ICE reports that the minimum price of oil (as defined exclusively by the set of WTI front-month settle prices) is below $60 between Issuance and Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "ICE",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.ice.com/report/10",
        "sources": [
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}