{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-RNYX85MJ42",
  "slug": "kxxrpmaxmon-xrp-26jun30",
  "question": "XRP trimmed mean price, June 30, 2026",
  "category": "crypto",
  "event_type": "LADDER",
  "ladder_distribution": {
    "direction": "above",
    "implied_band": [
      null,
      1.4
    ],
    "strikes": [
      {
        "threshold": 1.4,
        "prob": 0
      },
      {
        "threshold": 1.5,
        "prob": 0
      },
      {
        "threshold": 1.6,
        "prob": 0
      },
      {
        "threshold": 1.7,
        "prob": 0
      },
      {
        "threshold": 1.8,
        "prob": 0
      },
      {
        "threshold": 1.9,
        "prob": 0
      },
      {
        "threshold": 2,
        "prob": 0
      },
      {
        "threshold": 2.1,
        "prob": 0
      }
    ]
  },
  "tags": [
    "crypto",
    "xrp-price",
    "crypto-altcoin",
    "june-2026",
    "price-prediction",
    "technical-threshold"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track XRP's price level at end-of-June 2026 via a series of binary strike thresholds. Kalshi prices eight discrete strikes from $1.40 to $2.10, each asking whether the CF Benchmarks trimmed mean exceeds that level at 11:59 PM ET on June 30, 2026. The spread of implied probabilities across strikes constructs a market-implied distribution of XRP's price. CF Benchmarks is the authoritative price source; Kalshi staff determination settles by July 8, 2026.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-3F6GNN6F49",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0,
    "implied_probability": 0
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-3F6GNN6F49",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-RNYX85MJ42",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXXRPMAXMON-XRP-26JUN30-140",
      "question": "Will XRP trimmed mean be above $1.40 by 11:59 PM ET on Jun 30, 2026?",
      "description": "Above $1.40",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $1.40: CF Benchmarks trimmed mean price at 11:59 PM ET on June 30, 2026, with Kalshi staff determination by July 8, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-01T03:59:59Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-01T03:59:59Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the price of XRP after issuance and through 11:59 PM ET on Jun 30, 2026 is ever above $\n1.40, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nAt each minute throughout the market duration, a settlement value is calculated using every minute-by-minute CF XRPUSD_RTI price for XRP. For each of these individual minute-by-minute checks, the top 20% and bottom 20% of the cumulative dataset are removed before calculating the average of the remaining values. If the trimmed mean associated with any single minute during the period is above the threshold, the market resolves to Yes. This methodology reduces the impact of extreme price spikes or drops. The measurement period runs from when the market is issued until the specified end time. If CF Benchmarks data is unavailable or incomplete at the expiration time, affected strikes resolve to No. For cryptocurrencies with multiple versions, the Exchange will specify which version or ticker is being tracked.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "CF Benchmarks",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "CF Benchmarks",
            "url": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CF XRPUSD_RTI price",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "CF Benchmarks",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 564.43,
      "volume_total_usd": 2394.69,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 1.4,
      "question_id": "CMX-EAF7891E4E",
      "also_on": [
        {
          "venue": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "CM-MKT-GRN872P7R5",
          "price": 0
        }
      ],
      "tags": [
        "crypto",
        "price",
        "threshold",
        "xrp"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "under_min_maturity"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-41M3XCPHF5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-RNYX85MJ42",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXXRPMAXMON-XRP-26JUN30-150",
      "question": "Will XRP trimmed mean be above $1.50 by 11:59 PM ET on Jun 30, 2026?",
      "description": "Above $1.50",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $1.50: CF Benchmarks trimmed mean price at 11:59 PM ET on June 30, 2026, with Kalshi staff determination by July 8, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-01T03:59:59Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-01T03:59:59Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the price of XRP after issuance and through 11:59 PM ET on Jun 30, 2026 is ever above $\n1.50, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nAt each minute throughout the market duration, a settlement value is calculated using every minute-by-minute CF XRPUSD_RTI price for XRP. For each of these individual minute-by-minute checks, the top 20% and bottom 20% of the cumulative dataset are removed before calculating the average of the remaining values. If the trimmed mean associated with any single minute during the period is above the threshold, the market resolves to Yes. This methodology reduces the impact of extreme price spikes or drops. The measurement period runs from when the market is issued until the specified end time. If CF Benchmarks data is unavailable or incomplete at the expiration time, affected strikes resolve to No. For cryptocurrencies with multiple versions, the Exchange will specify which version or ticker is being tracked.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "CF Benchmarks",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "CF Benchmarks",
            "url": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CF XRPUSD_RTI price",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "CF Benchmarks",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 11.72,
      "volume_total_usd": 1735.97,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 1.5,
      "question_id": "CMX-111E5FC82C",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "crypto",
        "price",
        "threshold",
        "xrp"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "under_min_maturity"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-H2FTTJ0JT7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-RNYX85MJ42",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXXRPMAXMON-XRP-26JUN30-160",
      "question": "Will XRP trimmed mean be above $1.60 by 11:59 PM ET on Jun 30, 2026?",
      "description": "Above $1.60",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $1.60: CF Benchmarks trimmed mean price at 11:59 PM ET on June 30, 2026, with Kalshi staff determination by July 8, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-01T03:59:59Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-01T03:59:59Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the price of XRP after issuance and through 11:59 PM ET on Jun 30, 2026 is ever above $\n1.60, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nAt each minute throughout the market duration, a settlement value is calculated using every minute-by-minute CF XRPUSD_RTI price for XRP. For each of these individual minute-by-minute checks, the top 20% and bottom 20% of the cumulative dataset are removed before calculating the average of the remaining values. If the trimmed mean associated with any single minute during the period is above the threshold, the market resolves to Yes. This methodology reduces the impact of extreme price spikes or drops. The measurement period runs from when the market is issued until the specified end time. If CF Benchmarks data is unavailable or incomplete at the expiration time, affected strikes resolve to No. For cryptocurrencies with multiple versions, the Exchange will specify which version or ticker is being tracked.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "CF Benchmarks",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "CF Benchmarks",
            "url": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CF XRPUSD_RTI price",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "CF Benchmarks",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 67.5,
      "volume_total_usd": 518.76,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 1.6,
      "question_id": "CMX-F8B39BF3CA",
      "also_on": [
        {
          "venue": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "CM-MKT-90V4G9VK83",
          "price": 0
        }
      ],
      "tags": [
        "crypto",
        "price",
        "threshold",
        "xrp"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "under_min_maturity"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-2Z9Z0HQQW7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-RNYX85MJ42",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXXRPMAXMON-XRP-26JUN30-170",
      "question": "Will XRP trimmed mean be above $1.70 by 11:59 PM ET on Jun 30, 2026?",
      "description": "Above $1.70",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $1.70: CF Benchmarks trimmed mean price at 11:59 PM ET on June 30, 2026, with Kalshi staff determination by July 8, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-01T03:59:59Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-01T03:59:59Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the price of XRP after issuance and through 11:59 PM ET on Jun 30, 2026 is ever above $\n1.70, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nAt each minute throughout the market duration, a settlement value is calculated using every minute-by-minute CF XRPUSD_RTI price for XRP. For each of these individual minute-by-minute checks, the top 20% and bottom 20% of the cumulative dataset are removed before calculating the average of the remaining values. If the trimmed mean associated with any single minute during the period is above the threshold, the market resolves to Yes. This methodology reduces the impact of extreme price spikes or drops. The measurement period runs from when the market is issued until the specified end time. If CF Benchmarks data is unavailable or incomplete at the expiration time, affected strikes resolve to No. For cryptocurrencies with multiple versions, the Exchange will specify which version or ticker is being tracked.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "CF Benchmarks",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "CF Benchmarks",
            "url": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CF XRPUSD_RTI price",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "CF Benchmarks",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 10.58,
      "volume_total_usd": 139.55,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 1.7,
      "question_id": "CMX-0A5EB51BB7",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "crypto",
        "price",
        "threshold",
        "xrp"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "under_min_maturity"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-PF6SJQFMG8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-RNYX85MJ42",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXXRPMAXMON-XRP-26JUN30-180",
      "question": "Will XRP trimmed mean be above $1.80 by 11:59 PM ET on Jun 30, 2026?",
      "description": "Above $1.80",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $1.80: CF Benchmarks trimmed mean price at 11:59 PM ET on June 30, 2026, with Kalshi staff determination by July 8, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-01T03:59:59Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-01T03:59:59Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the price of XRP after issuance and through 11:59 PM ET on Jun 30, 2026 is ever above $\n1.80, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nAt each minute throughout the market duration, a settlement value is calculated using every minute-by-minute CF XRPUSD_RTI price for XRP. For each of these individual minute-by-minute checks, the top 20% and bottom 20% of the cumulative dataset are removed before calculating the average of the remaining values. If the trimmed mean associated with any single minute during the period is above the threshold, the market resolves to Yes. This methodology reduces the impact of extreme price spikes or drops. The measurement period runs from when the market is issued until the specified end time. If CF Benchmarks data is unavailable or incomplete at the expiration time, affected strikes resolve to No. For cryptocurrencies with multiple versions, the Exchange will specify which version or ticker is being tracked.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "CF Benchmarks",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "CF Benchmarks",
            "url": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CF XRPUSD_RTI price",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "CF Benchmarks",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 3.12,
      "volume_total_usd": 135.27,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 1.8,
      "question_id": "CMX-BD8133665F",
      "also_on": [
        {
          "venue": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "CM-MKT-HQSCSW2QV3",
          "price": 0
        }
      ],
      "tags": [
        "crypto",
        "price",
        "threshold",
        "xrp"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "under_min_maturity"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-FZBLF1J5Z6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-RNYX85MJ42",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXXRPMAXMON-XRP-26JUN30-190",
      "question": "Will XRP trimmed mean be above $1.90 by 11:59 PM ET on Jun 30, 2026?",
      "description": "Above $1.90",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $1.90: CF Benchmarks trimmed mean price at 11:59 PM ET on June 30, 2026, with Kalshi staff determination by July 8, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-01T03:59:59Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-01T03:59:59Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the price of XRP after issuance and through 11:59 PM ET on Jun 30, 2026 is ever above $\n1.90, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nAt each minute throughout the market duration, a settlement value is calculated using every minute-by-minute CF XRPUSD_RTI price for XRP. For each of these individual minute-by-minute checks, the top 20% and bottom 20% of the cumulative dataset are removed before calculating the average of the remaining values. If the trimmed mean associated with any single minute during the period is above the threshold, the market resolves to Yes. This methodology reduces the impact of extreme price spikes or drops. The measurement period runs from when the market is issued until the specified end time. If CF Benchmarks data is unavailable or incomplete at the expiration time, affected strikes resolve to No. For cryptocurrencies with multiple versions, the Exchange will specify which version or ticker is being tracked.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "CF Benchmarks",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "CF Benchmarks",
            "url": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CF XRPUSD_RTI price",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "CF Benchmarks",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 145.91,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 1.9,
      "question_id": "CMX-9AE984D478",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "crypto",
        "price",
        "threshold",
        "xrp"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "under_min_maturity"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-WZX23QMY88",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-RNYX85MJ42",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXXRPMAXMON-XRP-26JUN30-200",
      "question": "Will XRP trimmed mean be above $2.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Jun 30, 2026?",
      "description": "Above $2.00",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $2.00: CF Benchmarks trimmed mean price at 11:59 PM ET on June 30, 2026, with Kalshi staff determination by July 8, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-01T03:59:59Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-01T03:59:59Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the price of XRP after issuance and through 11:59 PM ET on Jun 30, 2026 is ever above $\n2.00, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nAt each minute throughout the market duration, a settlement value is calculated using every minute-by-minute CF XRPUSD_RTI price for XRP. For each of these individual minute-by-minute checks, the top 20% and bottom 20% of the cumulative dataset are removed before calculating the average of the remaining values. If the trimmed mean associated with any single minute during the period is above the threshold, the market resolves to Yes. This methodology reduces the impact of extreme price spikes or drops. The measurement period runs from when the market is issued until the specified end time. If CF Benchmarks data is unavailable or incomplete at the expiration time, affected strikes resolve to No. For cryptocurrencies with multiple versions, the Exchange will specify which version or ticker is being tracked.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "CF Benchmarks",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "CF Benchmarks",
            "url": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CF XRPUSD_RTI price",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "CF Benchmarks",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 277.95,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 2,
      "question_id": "CMX-4F54418D33",
      "also_on": [
        {
          "venue": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "CM-MKT-HD1S3BVLZ9",
          "price": 0
        }
      ],
      "tags": [
        "crypto",
        "price",
        "threshold",
        "xrp"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "under_min_maturity"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-MZ253QN281",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-RNYX85MJ42",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXXRPMAXMON-XRP-26JUN30-210",
      "question": "Will XRP trimmed mean be above $2.10 by 11:59 PM ET on Jun 30, 2026?",
      "description": "Above $2.10",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $2.10: CF Benchmarks trimmed mean price at 11:59 PM ET on June 30, 2026, with Kalshi staff determination by July 8, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-01T03:59:59Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-01T03:59:59Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the price of XRP after issuance and through 11:59 PM ET on Jun 30, 2026 is ever above $\n2.10, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nAt each minute throughout the market duration, a settlement value is calculated using every minute-by-minute CF XRPUSD_RTI price for XRP. For each of these individual minute-by-minute checks, the top 20% and bottom 20% of the cumulative dataset are removed before calculating the average of the remaining values. If the trimmed mean associated with any single minute during the period is above the threshold, the market resolves to Yes. This methodology reduces the impact of extreme price spikes or drops. The measurement period runs from when the market is issued until the specified end time. If CF Benchmarks data is unavailable or incomplete at the expiration time, affected strikes resolve to No. For cryptocurrencies with multiple versions, the Exchange will specify which version or ticker is being tracked.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "CF Benchmarks",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "CF Benchmarks",
            "url": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CF XRPUSD_RTI price",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "CF Benchmarks",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 11.76,
      "volume_total_usd": 399.08,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 2.1,
      "question_id": "CMX-2A94163DEF",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "crypto",
        "price",
        "threshold",
        "xrp"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "under_min_maturity"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-MZ253QN281",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "event_type": "resolved",
      "outcome": "NO",
      "resolved_at": "2026-07-01T16:39:00.833956Z",
      "deadline_at": null,
      "occurred_basis": "venue_settlement",
      "final_price": 0,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-06",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-FZBLF1J5Z6",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "event_type": "resolved",
      "outcome": "NO",
      "resolved_at": "2026-07-01T16:39:00.833217Z",
      "deadline_at": null,
      "occurred_basis": "venue_settlement",
      "final_price": 0,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-06",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-PF6SJQFMG8",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "event_type": "resolved",
      "outcome": "NO",
      "resolved_at": "2026-07-01T16:39:00.833071Z",
      "deadline_at": null,
      "occurred_basis": "venue_settlement",
      "final_price": 0,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-06",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-WZX23QMY88",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "event_type": "resolved",
      "outcome": "NO",
      "resolved_at": "2026-07-01T16:39:00.832881Z",
      "deadline_at": null,
      "occurred_basis": "venue_settlement",
      "final_price": 0,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-06",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-2Z9Z0HQQW7",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "event_type": "resolved",
      "outcome": "NO",
      "resolved_at": "2026-07-01T16:39:00.83272Z",
      "deadline_at": null,
      "occurred_basis": "venue_settlement",
      "final_price": 0,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-06",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-H2FTTJ0JT7",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "event_type": "resolved",
      "outcome": "NO",
      "resolved_at": "2026-07-01T16:39:00.832652Z",
      "deadline_at": null,
      "occurred_basis": "venue_settlement",
      "final_price": 0,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-06",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-3F6GNN6F49",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "event_type": "resolved",
      "outcome": "NO",
      "resolved_at": "2026-07-01T16:39:00.83247Z",
      "deadline_at": null,
      "occurred_basis": "venue_settlement",
      "final_price": 0,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-06",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-41M3XCPHF5",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "event_type": "resolved",
      "outcome": "NO",
      "resolved_at": "2026-07-01T16:39:00.831526Z",
      "deadline_at": null,
      "occurred_basis": "venue_settlement",
      "final_price": 0,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-06",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    }
  ],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-RNYX85MJ42",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}