{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-F4JTZLVT74",
  "slug": "kxzambiaassembly-26",
  "question": "Will the Zambia National Assembly election be won by the UPND, PF, or another party?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "zambia",
    "national-assembly",
    "election-2027",
    "political-outcome",
    "legislative-winner"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the outcome of the next Zambian National Assembly election, resolving August 13, 2026. All three are Kalshi binary contracts covering competing parties: UPND, PF, and NRPUP. Resolution relies on Kalshi staff determination using the Zambian Electoral Commission's official proclamation. The NRPUP contract structures the question as a single-party binary, while UPND and PF contracts are parallel outcome bets.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-QX2L5LWRD5",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.951,
    "implied_probability": 0.951
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-QX2L5LWRD5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-F4JTZLVT74",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXZAMBIAASSEMBLY-26-UPND",
      "question": "Who will win the next Zambian National Assembly election?",
      "description": "UPND",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "UPND: The Zambian Electoral Commission's official proclamation of the named candidate's victory in the National Assembly election, by August 13, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2027-08-13T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-13T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the winner of the next Zambian National Assembly election is United Party for National Development, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nFor parliamentary/legislative elections, the winner is the party, coalition, or alliance winning the most seats in the specified chamber. If two parties have the same number of seats, the one entering government will resolve to Yes and all others to No; if both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to Yes and all others to No.\n\nThis market may resolve early once a consensus of designated media sources has declared a winner. See full rules for details.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "or equivalent electoral authority of the relevant jurisdiction; the formal proclamation by the head of state or government when constitutionally required; for religious elections",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://kalshi.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "or equivalent electoral authority of the relevant jurisdiction; the formal proclamation by the head of state or government when constitutionally required; for religious elections",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "in hierarchical order: Primary Sources: the official electoral commission",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "constitutional court",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "the official electoral commission",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 88,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.951,
      "implied_probability": 0.951,
      "volume_24h_usd": 199.70999999999998,
      "volume_total_usd": 5017.6757099999995,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "election",
        "national assembly",
        "upnd",
        "zambia",
        "zambia national assembly"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-KDZTV3Y125",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-F4JTZLVT74",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXZAMBIAASSEMBLY-26-PF",
      "question": "Who will win the next Zambian National Assembly election?",
      "description": "PF",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "PF: The Zambian Electoral Commission's official proclamation of the named candidate's victory in the National Assembly election, by August 13, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2027-08-13T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-13T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the winner of the next Zambian National Assembly election is Patriotic Front, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nFor parliamentary/legislative elections, the winner is the party, coalition, or alliance winning the most seats in the specified chamber. If two parties have the same number of seats, the one entering government will resolve to Yes and all others to No; if both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to Yes and all others to No.\n\nThis market may resolve early once a consensus of designated media sources has declared a winner. See full rules for details.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "or equivalent electoral authority of the relevant jurisdiction; the formal proclamation by the head of state or government when constitutionally required; for religious elections",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://kalshi.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "or equivalent electoral authority of the relevant jurisdiction; the formal proclamation by the head of state or government when constitutionally required; for religious elections",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "in hierarchical order: Primary Sources: the official electoral commission",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "constitutional court",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "the official electoral commission",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 88,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.03,
      "implied_probability": 0.03,
      "volume_24h_usd": 3,
      "volume_total_usd": 262.4382,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "election",
        "national assembly",
        "pf",
        "zambia",
        "zambia national assembly"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-PKZVCV1WT4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-F4JTZLVT74",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXZAMBIAASSEMBLY-26-NRPUP",
      "question": "Will National Reconciliation Party for Unity and Prosperity win the next Zambian National Assembly election?",
      "description": "NRPUP",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "NRPUP: The Zambian Electoral Commission's official proclamation of the named candidate's victory in the National Assembly election, by August 13, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2027-08-13T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-13T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the winner of the next Zambian National Assembly election is National Reconciliation Party for Unity and Prosperity, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nFor parliamentary/legislative elections, the winner is the party, coalition, or alliance winning the most seats in the specified chamber. If two parties have the same number of seats, the one entering government will resolve to Yes and all others to No; if both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to Yes and all others to No.\n\nThis market may resolve early once a consensus of designated media sources has declared a winner. See full rules for details.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "or equivalent electoral authority of the relevant jurisdiction; the formal proclamation by the head of state or government when constitutionally required; for religious elections",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://kalshi.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "or equivalent electoral authority of the relevant jurisdiction; the formal proclamation by the head of state or government when constitutionally required; for religious elections",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "in hierarchical order: Primary Sources: the official electoral commission",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "constitutional court",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "the official electoral commission",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 88,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.05,
      "implied_probability": 0.05,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 26.25,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "election",
        "national assembly",
        "nrpup",
        "zambia",
        "zambia national assembly"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-F4JTZLVT74",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
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}