{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-DD694K0L20",
  "slug": "lai-ching-te-impeached-by-june-30",
  "question": "Will Lai Ching-te be impeached by June 30?",
  "category": "geopolitics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "geopolitics",
    "politics",
    "taiwan",
    "impeachment",
    "lai-ching-te",
    "2026"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "Tracks whether Taiwan's Legislative Yuan passes a formal impeachment vote against President Lai Ching-te by June 30, 2026. A single Polymarket binary resolves yes only on a completed legislative impeachment action. No Kalshi analog exists here, so no cross-platform structural contrast applies. Resolution follows Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle against the Legislative Yuan's official record.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
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  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-RGS2K31FT2",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0,
    "implied_probability": 0
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-RGS2K31FT2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-DD694K0L20",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x52a7c03aa0e50655b5defb3d8e48685bd72a4955d82703a8e89a1d5255f4a216",
      "question": "Lai Ching-te impeached by June 30?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the President of Taiwan, Lai Ching-te, is formally impeached by the Legislative Yuan by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nFor this market to resolve to \"Yes\" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Taiwan's Legislative Yuan formal impeachment vote on President Lai Ching-te by June 30, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the President of Taiwan, Lai Ching-te, is formally impeached by the Legislative Yuan by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nFor this market to resolve to \"Yes\" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "official information from the Taiwanese government",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 74,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 97.1,
      "volume_total_usd": 1343846.1388899982,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "impeachment",
        "lai ching te",
        "politics",
        "taiwan"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-RGS2K31FT2",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "outcome": "NO",
      "resolved_at": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
      "final_price": 0,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-06",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    }
  ],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-DD694K0L20",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}