{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-TBS5WQ53M0",
  "slug": "largest-company-end-of-august-20260715202138598",
  "question": "Will the largest company by market capitalization at the end of August be different from the largest company at the start of August?",
  "category": "economics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "economics",
    "market-capitalization",
    "tech",
    "finance",
    "largest-company",
    "2026"
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  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track which publicly listed company holds the highest market capitalization at close on August 31, 2026. Each named contract is a binary outcome on a single company, and probabilities across all contracts should sum to one. The authoritative source is consensus closing price data from major financial data providers. Resolution occurs via Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
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  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-Y8GBVY0VK9",
  "current_primary_mark": {
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    "implied_probability": 0.77
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  "created_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
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      "platform_market_id": "0x325e6ab1dd315e6f435183fbf7dff8a7c4be37f9bbf7abcd4459e75110aa9f1d",
      "question": "Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31, 2026, as of market close.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
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      "close_at": "2026-08-31T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-31T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31, 2026, as of market close.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
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        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
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        "sources": null,
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-TBS5WQ53M0",
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      "question": "Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31, 2026, as of market close.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.",
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      "question": "Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31, 2026, as of market close.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.",
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