{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-WMBW6M11T5",
  "slug": "largest-company-end-of-december-2026",
  "question": "Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?",
  "category": "technology",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "technology",
    "market-cap-ranking",
    "tech-giants",
    "2026-resolution",
    "economy",
    "business"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track which single company will hold the largest global market capitalization at the December 31, 2026 close. The 28 Polymarket contracts are mutually exclusive binary outcomes; exactly one resolves YES. Named contestants include Apple, NVIDIA, Microsoft, Alphabet, Amazon, Tesla, Saudi Aramco, and SpaceX. Resolution follows Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle protocol using market-close capitalization data.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
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  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-L3LG3J7L41",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.61,
    "implied_probability": 0.61
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  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "markets": [
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      "market_id": "CM-MKT-N79DC6HNK7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-WMBW6M11T5",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x6b978bfe3f8b58edd400556fa8d1f582d4b4f60d12286245af249fa8a6446bca",
      "question": "Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31, 2026, as of market close.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Microsoft: The named company with the largest market capitalization as of market close on December 31, 2026, determined by consensus of credible financial reporting via UMA Optimistic Oracle.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31, 2026, as of market close.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
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        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 49,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.005,
      "implied_probability": 0.005,
      "volume_24h_usd": 3143.9259999999995,
      "volume_total_usd": 578475.4192360009,
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      "question_id": "CMX-4AD1BF85B1",
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      "tags": [
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      "market_id": "CM-MKT-Q7GGRG5G47",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-WMBW6M11T5",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x39676b9161ea372b38115423a5de8f700f1888c35dd0fb2be07d96510ec28f7c",
      "question": "Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31, 2026, as of market close.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
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      "underlying_reference": "Alphabet: The named company with the largest market capitalization as of market close on December 31, 2026, determined by consensus of credible financial reporting via UMA Optimistic Oracle.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
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      "question": "Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?",
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      "question": "Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?",
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      "resolve_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-WMBW6M11T5",
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