{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-4Q9NHP3X91",
  "slug": "law-banning-sports-prediction-markets-enacted-in-2026",
  "question": "Will a law banning sports prediction markets be enacted by 2026?",
  "category": "technology",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "technology",
    "sports-betting-regulation",
    "us-legislation",
    "prediction-markets",
    "congress",
    "2026"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "This market tracks whether U.S. Congress enacts legislation prohibiting CFTC-regulated prediction markets from offering sports betting contracts by December 2026. A single Polymarket binary covers the outcome; no parallel rate-level or margin structure exists across platforms. Resolution follows Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle, referencing signed federal legislation as the authoritative trigger. The authoritative source is the U.S. Congress, with the market closing June 30, 2026.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-5Z3LR1CW42",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.32,
    "implied_probability": 0.32
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-5Z3LR1CW42",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-4Q9NHP3X91",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x3ef18432c0e44e0a28b75d0950aa2d187a8f6e9aff6d5b56147693b6ddc235b4",
      "question": "Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if any bill with the effect of banning CFTC-regulated prediction markets from offering sports betting contracts is signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nAny bill that prohibits federally regulated prediction markets from offering sports betting contracts, or otherwise places such activities under state-level gambling regulation rather than federal regulatory oversight, will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.\n\nQualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate,",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "U.S. Congress signs legislation banning CFTC-regulated prediction markets from offering sports betting contracts by December 31, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if any bill with the effect of banning CFTC-regulated prediction markets from offering sports betting contracts is signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nAny bill that prohibits federally regulated prediction markets from offering sports betting contracts, or otherwise places such activities under state-level gambling regulation rather than federal regulatory oversight, will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.\n\nQualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "US federal government",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "a consensus of credible reporting",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
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        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 72,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.32,
      "implied_probability": 0.32,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 17530.157322000006,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-627B1B767E",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "legislation",
        "prediction markets",
        "regulation",
        "sports",
        "sports prediction markets"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-4Q9NHP3X91",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}