{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-MKM4TBZ239",
  "slug": "maduro-guilty-of-all-counts",
  "question": "Will Maduro be found guilty of all counts?",
  "category": "geopolitics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "geopolitics",
    "venezuela",
    "criminal-justice",
    "international-law",
    "2027",
    "maduro"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "This market tracks whether Nicolas Maduro is convicted on all counts in United States v. Nicolas Maduro Moros before the U.S. District Court for the Southern District of New York. A single Polymarket binary resolves on the court's verdict directly. Resolution follows Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle protocol. The market closes December 31, 2027, contingent on a completed verdict by that date.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-NNZP4BY880",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.32,
    "implied_probability": 0.32
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-NNZP4BY880",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-MKM4TBZ239",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x1f9767f0b627eee12dd816c07a745c968807dae4cce336b8a2cb66d28cd3607c",
      "question": "Maduro guilty of all counts?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).\n\nIf Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "The U.S. District Court for the Southern District of New York's verdict in United States v. Nicolas Maduro Moros (S.D.N.Y. 11 Cr. 205) by December 31, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).\n\nIf Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.\n\nThe market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "justice.gov",
            "url": "https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "official information from the U.S. court system",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "justice.gov",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.32,
      "implied_probability": 0.32,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 126166.61275699982,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "legal",
        "maduro",
        "nicol maduro",
        "trial",
        "venezuela"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-MKM4TBZ239",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}