{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-5NSYKV0P79",
  "slug": "maine-governor-winner-2026",
  "question": "Will the Maine gubernatorial election be won by the incumbent or a challenger?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "elections",
    "maine",
    "governor-race",
    "us-state-elections",
    "2026"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the outcome of the 2026 Maine gubernatorial election. Polymarket structures the event as a multi-leg binary set, pricing each party and candidate option as a separate contract. All legs resolve via Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle, using party affiliation as reported by the Associated Press, Fox News, or NBC. Traders should note that unnamed placeholder options indicate the candidate field is not yet finalized.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-K6MHNV2NB5",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.942,
    "implied_probability": 0.942
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  "created_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-K6MHNV2NB5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-5NSYKV0P79",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xd8ebecf28c4b6148a515c247e65230ae7990f5626ef8202841135b2b6963a9b9",
      "question": "Will the Democrats win the Maine governor race in 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Maine gubernatorial election.\n\nA candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.\n\nCandidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Democrat: The named candidate's party affiliation as determined by the Associated Press, Fox News, or NBC following the 2026 Maine gubernatorial election resolves this market.",
      "close_at": null,
      "resolve_at": null,
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Maine gubernatorial election.\n\nA candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.\n\nCandidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
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            "name": "Associated Press",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "Fox News",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "NBC",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "official certification",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC",
        "source_mechanism": "quorum",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 85,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.942,
      "implied_probability": 0.942,
      "volume_24h_usd": 21.624189,
      "volume_total_usd": 20627.957139,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "democrat",
        "election",
        "governor",
        "maine",
        "maine governor election"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-BXXDV4QQG6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-5NSYKV0P79",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x9654f26388e982fb566059486d3af4ded2f80564ea32ec0af4b51e04f1c02a07",
      "question": "Will the Republicans win the Maine governor race in 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Maine gubernatorial election.\n\nA candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.\n\nCandidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Republican: The named candidate's party affiliation as determined by the Associated Press, Fox News, or NBC following the 2026 Maine gubernatorial election resolves this market.",
      "close_at": null,
      "resolve_at": null,
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Maine gubernatorial election.\n\nA candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.\n\nCandidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
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        "sources": [
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            "name": "Associated Press",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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          {
            "name": "Fox News",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "NBC",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "official certification",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_of_record": "Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC",
        "source_mechanism": "quorum",
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        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 85,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.064,
      "implied_probability": 0.064,
      "volume_24h_usd": 54.012724,
      "volume_total_usd": 5850.751536000006,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
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      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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        "election",
        "governor",
        "maine",
        "maine governor election",
        "republican"
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      "eligibility_screens": null
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-23WCCWHQ31",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-5NSYKV0P79",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xaf3c9cac81ad05ff4658c9c194cc9d7e2332943a0e766d541264e20b9e70df0c",
      "question": "Will Option A win the Maine governor race in 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Maine gubernatorial election.\n\nA candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.\n\nCandidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Option A: The named candidate's party affiliation as determined by the Associated Press, Fox News, or NBC following the 2026 Maine gubernatorial election resolves this market.",
      "close_at": null,
      "resolve_at": null,
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Maine gubernatorial election.\n\nA candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.\n\nCandidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
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            "name": "Associated Press",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "Fox News",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "NBC",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "official certification",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        ],
        "source_of_record": "Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC",
        "source_mechanism": "quorum",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 85,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 0,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "candidate",
        "election",
        "governor",
        "maine",
        "maine governor election"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-3L1SPQVH55",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-5NSYKV0P79",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x4f20fab9de49e159991b9cdf11b1e7431d9ca1d5d0937fb0e9b2bc3f4bdd7c72",
      "question": "Will Option B win the Maine governor race in 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Maine gubernatorial election.\n\nA candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.\n\nCandidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Option B: The named candidate's party affiliation as determined by the Associated Press, Fox News, or NBC following the 2026 Maine gubernatorial election resolves this market.",
      "close_at": null,
      "resolve_at": null,
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Maine gubernatorial election.\n\nA candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.\n\nCandidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
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            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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          {
            "name": "Fox News",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "NBC",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "official certification",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_of_record": "Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC",
        "source_mechanism": "quorum",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 85,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 0,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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        "candidate",
        "election",
        "governor",
        "maine",
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      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-6WMFHQ7BV5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-5NSYKV0P79",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x41fe1642e0075a4189c87e7847d1d99211ce6c8bfc119f6e9b46ba09ed90eaff",
      "question": "Will Option C win the Maine governor race in 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Maine gubernatorial election.\n\nA candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.\n\nCandidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Option C: The named candidate's party affiliation as determined by the Associated Press, Fox News, or NBC following the 2026 Maine gubernatorial election resolves this market.",
      "close_at": null,
      "resolve_at": null,
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Maine gubernatorial election.\n\nA candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.\n\nCandidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
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        "sources": [
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            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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          {
            "name": "NBC",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "official certification",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_of_record": "Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC",
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        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
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        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0,
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      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 0,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
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      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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        "candidate",
        "election",
        "governor",
        "maine",
        "maine governor election"
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      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-1SMRGS8193",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-5NSYKV0P79",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xa97a38cdae0d28a524990a4d2313662b4ad8d7dcc031b6c9b51f2f7778476bad",
      "question": "Will Option D win the Maine governor race in 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Maine gubernatorial election.\n\nA candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.\n\nCandidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Option D: The named candidate's party affiliation as determined by the Associated Press, Fox News, or NBC following the 2026 Maine gubernatorial election resolves this market.",
      "close_at": null,
      "resolve_at": null,
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Maine gubernatorial election.\n\nA candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.\n\nCandidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
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        "sources": [
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            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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            "name": "NBC",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "official certification",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        ],
        "source_of_record": "Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC",
        "source_mechanism": "quorum",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 85,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 0,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "candidate",
        "election",
        "governor",
        "maine",
        "maine governor election"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-11R7WQ77Z5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-5NSYKV0P79",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x1e611676baa9c4925f48fd9441513161456a0081a9e1a2187d32047da35f5fa3",
      "question": "Will Option E win the Maine governor race in 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Maine gubernatorial election.\n\nA candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.\n\nCandidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Option E: The named candidate's party affiliation as determined by the Associated Press, Fox News, or NBC following the 2026 Maine gubernatorial election resolves this market.",
      "close_at": null,
      "resolve_at": null,
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Maine gubernatorial election.\n\nA candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.\n\nCandidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Associated Press",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "Fox News",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "NBC",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "official certification",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC",
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    {
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      "close_at": null,
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      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Maine gubernatorial election.\n\nA candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.\n\nCandidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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