{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-51SNW8WJF1",
  "slug": "makerfield-by-election-2nd-place",
  "question": "Will the second-place candidate in the Makerfield by-election receive more than 20% of the vote?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "elections",
    "uk-politics",
    "makerfield",
    "2026",
    "electoral-outcome"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "This event tracks which candidate finishes second by valid vote count in the 2026 Makerfield parliamentary by-election. Polymarket structures this as a suite of per-candidate binary markets, each asking whether a named individual claims the runner-up position. All markets resolve via Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle against the officially declared result. The authoritative source is the official returning officer's count for the Makerfield constituency, closing June 18, 2026.",
  "venues_covered": [
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  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-6VD2VSWMS6",
  "current_primary_mark": {
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    "implied_probability": 0
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  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
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      "platform_market_id": "0xbbcacb010bb5d944242eb4e9f32b6538f35d4c9710a17f93b951fa914ee8de94",
      "question": "Will Andy Burnham finish second in the 2026 Makerfield by-election?",
      "description": "A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second most valid votes in the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026.\n\nThe named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidat",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Andy Burnham: The candidate receiving the second most valid votes in the Makerfield parliamentary by-election, as officially declared by Wigan Council, resolves on June 18, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-18T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-18T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second most valid votes in the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026.\n\nThe named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nIf the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.wigan.gov.uk/",
        "sources": [
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            "name": "wigan.gov.uk",
            "url": "https://www.wigan.gov.uk/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "Wigan Council",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_of_record": "Wigan Council",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
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      "rcg": {
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        "score": 84,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 1012.315313,
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      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
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      "tags": [
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      "question": "Will Simon Finkelstein finish second in the 2026 Makerfield by-election?",
      "description": "A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second most valid votes in the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026.\n\nThe named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidat",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Simon Finkelstein: The candidate receiving the second most valid votes in the Makerfield parliamentary by-election, as officially declared by Wigan Council, resolves on June 18, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-18T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-18T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second most valid votes in the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026.\n\nThe named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nIf the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
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        "source_citation": "https://www.wigan.gov.uk/",
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-51SNW8WJF1",
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      "question": "Will John Skipworth finish second in the 2026 Makerfield by-election?",
      "description": "A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second most valid votes in the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026.\n\nThe named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidat",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "John Skipworth: The candidate receiving the second most valid votes in the Makerfield parliamentary by-election, as officially declared by Wigan Council, resolves on June 18, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-18T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-18T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second most valid votes in the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026.\n\nThe named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nIf the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.wigan.gov.uk/",
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            "url": "https://www.wigan.gov.uk/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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            "name": "Wigan Council",
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            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "score": 84,
        "caps": [],
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      "volume_24h_usd": 140.84,
      "volume_total_usd": 1214.8786659999998,
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      "tags": [
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-NVM0YRBCK5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-51SNW8WJF1",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xfecf2c0510c7d458480190a48f354c1ed234438b0816ffa5ad26944f45cc9261",
      "question": "Will Maria Deery finish second in the 2026 Makerfield by-election?",
      "description": "A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second most valid votes in the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026.\n\nThe named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidat",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Maria Deery: The candidate receiving the second most valid votes in the Makerfield parliamentary by-election, as officially declared by Wigan Council, resolves on June 18, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-18T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-18T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second most valid votes in the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026.\n\nThe named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nIf the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.wigan.gov.uk/",
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            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "score": 84,
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-HX8VS4B8K0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-51SNW8WJF1",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x6d02b3110554e8749ad8496eac9988374f074222ec7b2acfa137422edab644b2",
      "question": "Will Candidate C finish second in the 2026 Makerfield by-election?",
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      "contract_type": "binary",
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      "close_at": "2026-06-18T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-18T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second most valid votes in the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026.\n\nThe named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nIf the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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        "source_citation": "https://www.wigan.gov.uk/",
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-9RD7896HV5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-51SNW8WJF1",
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      "platform_market_id": "0xd2ce7277fd24eee9dc841a37857d6c3fbc6236447f20c85695fe4bfaf714e869",
      "question": "Will Candidate M finish second in the 2026 Makerfield by-election?",
      "description": "A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second most valid votes in the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026.\n\nThe named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidat",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
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      "close_at": "2026-06-18T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-18T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second most valid votes in the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026.\n\nThe named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nIf the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
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        "source_citation": "https://www.wigan.gov.uk/",
        "sources": [
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          {
            "name": "Wigan Council",
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-F0WLT6XR00",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-51SNW8WJF1",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x725e9252934110a5e50a86ea5f877dd7e47a6ccbbd37eccd1d3540a0fcce9703",
      "question": "Will Candidate W finish second in the 2026 Makerfield by-election?",
      "description": "A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second most valid votes in the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026.\n\nThe named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidat",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Candidate W: The candidate receiving the second most valid votes in the Makerfield parliamentary by-election, as officially declared by Wigan Council, resolves on June 18, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-18T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-18T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second most valid votes in the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026.\n\nThe named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nIf the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
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          {
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        "caps": [],
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      "tags": [
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        "rules_raw": "A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second most valid votes in the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026.\n\nThe named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nIf the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).",
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        "rules_raw": "A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second most valid votes in the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026.\n\nThe named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nIf the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).",
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        "rules_raw": "A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second most valid votes in the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026.\n\nThe named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nIf the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).",
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      "contract_type": "binary",
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        "rules_raw": "A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second most valid votes in the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026.\n\nThe named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nIf the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).",
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      "question": "Will James Thomas Bryer finish second in the 2026 Makerfield by-election?",
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      "close_at": "2026-06-18T00:00:00Z",
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        "rules_raw": "A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second most valid votes in the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026.\n\nThe named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nIf the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).",
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        "rules_raw": "A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second most valid votes in the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026.\n\nThe named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nIf the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).",
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