{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-YJ9N2M1RC0",
  "slug": "makerfield-by-election-restore-britain-receives-10-20260609002937160",
  "question": "Will Restore Britain receive 10% or more of the vote in the Makerfield by-election?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "elections",
    "politics",
    "uk-politics",
    "restore-britain",
    "by-elections-2026"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "This event tracks whether Restore Britain clears a 10% vote share threshold in the Makerfield by-election on June 18, 2026. Only one platform prices this event, structured as a binary outcome on a single vote-share threshold. The Electoral Commission publishes the official results serving as the authoritative source. Resolution follows Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle upon official result publication.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-Z6SN0HRTL1",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0,
    "implied_probability": 0
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-Z6SN0HRTL1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-YJ9N2M1RC0",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xaa3a8627dc299d22ac9f3d87f49b0eca4fd0f5d7b61a6c1bf8539f21cd0693f5",
      "question": "Makerfield by-election: Restore Britain receives 10%+?",
      "description": "A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is currently scheduled to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons.\n\nThis market will resolve to “Yes” if the Restore Britain candidate, Rebecca Shepherd, receives at least the listed percentage of the popular vote in the 2026 Makerfield by-election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nThe percentage of the popular vote will be calculated as number of valid votes received by Rebecca Shepherd divided by the number of total valid votes in the specified election.\n\n",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "The Electoral Commission publishes the official results for the June 18, 2026 Makerfield by-election, including Restore Britain candidate Rebecca Shepherd's valid vote count and total valid votes cast.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-18T17:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-18T17:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is currently scheduled to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons.\n\nThis market will resolve to “Yes” if the Restore Britain candidate, Rebecca Shepherd, receives at least the listed percentage of the popular vote in the 2026 Makerfield by-election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nThe percentage of the popular vote will be calculated as number of valid votes received by Rebecca Shepherd divided by the number of total valid votes in the specified election.\n\nIf the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.wigan.gov.uk/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "wigan.gov.uk",
            "url": "https://www.wigan.gov.uk/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Wigan Council",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Wigan Council",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 84,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 1057.940607,
      "volume_total_usd": 12116.568813999997,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 10,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "by-election",
        "makerfield",
        "restore britain",
        "restore britain vote",
        "uk politics"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-Z6SN0HRTL1",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "event_type": "resolved",
      "outcome": "NO",
      "resolved_at": "2026-06-19T07:07:31Z",
      "deadline_at": null,
      "occurred_basis": "venue_settlement",
      "final_price": 0,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-06",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    }
  ],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-YJ9N2M1RC0",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}