{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-W92LK6Z010",
  "slug": "megaeth-airdrop-by",
  "question": "Will MegaETH conduct an airdrop?",
  "category": "crypto",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "crypto",
    "airdrop",
    "megaeth",
    "token-distribution",
    "ethereum-ecosystem"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track whether MegaETH will execute a token airdrop by a series of escalating deadlines. Each binary contract prices the probability of the same outcome at a different cutoff date, from February 15 through December 31, 2025. The structure creates an implicit term curve of airdrop timing probability. All eight markets resolve via Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-GZ8724LW22",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0,
    "implied_probability": 0
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-QK43M6BCB2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-W92LK6Z010",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x6f5626cc19030bfd22cf2042fa2473fff7f154a1c9d546045ec566430505fb1a",
      "question": "Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by September 30? ",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if MegaETH launches a token and performs an airdrop by September 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nFor the purposes of this market \"locked\" tokens or non-swappable tokens will not suffice to resolve this market to \"Yes\". Airdrops of NFTs will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market is on-chain information and official information from MegaETH, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "September 30: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": null,
      "resolve_at": "2025-10-01T07:05:57Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if MegaETH launches a token and performs an airdrop by September 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nFor the purposes of this market \"locked\" tokens or non-swappable tokens will not suffice to resolve this market to \"Yes\". Airdrops of NFTs will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market is on-chain information and official information from MegaETH, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "on-chain information",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "official information from MegaETH",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 59,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 1,
      "implied_probability": 1,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 4901.241316,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-7F2C09D44B",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "airdrop",
        "crypto",
        "megaeth"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-GZ8724LW22",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-W92LK6Z010",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xe459d1b598da754c9fd5fc155b6efe3a144aa80abbc7d041fce7d35d903d3c8e",
      "question": "Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30? ",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if MegaETH launches a token and performs an airdrop by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nFor the purposes of this market \"locked\" tokens or non-swappable tokens will not suffice to resolve this market to \"Yes\". Airdrops of NFTs will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market is on-chain information and official information from MegaETH, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "June 30, 2026: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-07-01T04:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-01T04:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if MegaETH launches a token and performs an airdrop by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nFor the purposes of this market \"locked\" tokens or non-swappable tokens will not suffice to resolve this market to \"Yes\". Airdrops of NFTs will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market is on-chain information and official information from MegaETH, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "on-chain information",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "official information from MegaETH",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 59,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 1090.900656,
      "volume_total_usd": 1576263.6289169937,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-1D428A9627",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "airdrop",
        "crypto",
        "megaeth"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-C2YTMLL5R0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-W92LK6Z010",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xe7ea46ccb3ad14ee6c67cbcfde86b97347387c18a638c428db427a3178060348",
      "question": "Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by December 31? ",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if MegaETH launches a token and performs an airdrop by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nFor the purposes of this market \"locked\" tokens or non-swappable tokens will not suffice to resolve this market to \"Yes\". Airdrops of NFTs will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market is on-chain information and official information from MegaETH, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "December 31: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2025-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-01-01T10:15:17Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if MegaETH launches a token and performs an airdrop by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nFor the purposes of this market \"locked\" tokens or non-swappable tokens will not suffice to resolve this market to \"Yes\". Airdrops of NFTs will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market is on-chain information and official information from MegaETH, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "on-chain information",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "official information from MegaETH",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 59,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 1,
      "implied_probability": 1,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 406121.967431,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-F505A1DBEC",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "airdrop",
        "crypto",
        "megaeth"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-YD04F0VNK1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-W92LK6Z010",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x56a1c6f20c5fe7fc807225273a7d6d4818f31e7f4444f98aeb2b9da3818cbf67",
      "question": "Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by January 31?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if MegaETH launches a token and performs an airdrop by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nFor the purposes of this market \"locked\" tokens or non-swappable tokens will not suffice to resolve this market to \"Yes\". Airdrops of NFTs will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market is on-chain information and official information from MegaETH, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "January 31, 2026: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-02-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-02-01T09:51:48Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if MegaETH launches a token and performs an airdrop by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nFor the purposes of this market \"locked\" tokens or non-swappable tokens will not suffice to resolve this market to \"Yes\". Airdrops of NFTs will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market is on-chain information and official information from MegaETH, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "on-chain information",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "official information from MegaETH",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 59,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.001,
      "implied_probability": 0.001,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 124859.599596,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-D850B52895",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "airdrop",
        "crypto",
        "megaeth"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-TKP1902061",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-W92LK6Z010",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x30ee7a0fbc3bbe78a41b457022f5f123d0f16b8b5e676b737ff3d8f672aa4fac",
      "question": "Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by February 28?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if MegaETH launches a token and performs an airdrop by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nFor the purposes of this market \"locked\" tokens or non-swappable tokens will not suffice to resolve this market to \"Yes\". Airdrops of NFTs will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market is on-chain information and official information from MegaETH, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "February 28, 2026: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-03-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-03-01T10:26:07Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if MegaETH launches a token and performs an airdrop by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nFor the purposes of this market \"locked\" tokens or non-swappable tokens will not suffice to resolve this market to \"Yes\". Airdrops of NFTs will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market is on-chain information and official information from MegaETH, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "on-chain information",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "official information from MegaETH",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 59,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.001,
      "implied_probability": 0.001,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 212640.792042,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-A0BA1CFA79",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "airdrop",
        "crypto",
        "megaeth"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-52K3PG0M89",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-W92LK6Z010",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xdcd369857a0bda9ba81d6da477a49df6905fa2244465a61bb59de8234dbdd4f7",
      "question": "Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by February 15?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if MegaETH launches a token and performs an airdrop by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nFor the purposes of this market \"locked\" tokens or non-swappable tokens will not suffice to resolve this market to \"Yes\". Airdrops of NFTs will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market is on-chain information and official information from MegaETH, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "February 15, 2026: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-03-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-02-20T01:26:36Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if MegaETH launches a token and performs an airdrop by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nFor the purposes of this market \"locked\" tokens or non-swappable tokens will not suffice to resolve this market to \"Yes\". Airdrops of NFTs will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market is on-chain information and official information from MegaETH, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "on-chain information",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "official information from MegaETH",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 59,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.001,
      "implied_probability": 0.001,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 257506.200258,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-3BF8C21E90",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "airdrop",
        "crypto",
        "megaeth"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-MKQDVHLCQ2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-W92LK6Z010",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x27e48fdbd8a3f94e034f541400e3fd74a0acf3cae8d2f78204827f338e2daff4",
      "question": "Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by March 15?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if MegaETH launches a token and performs an airdrop by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nFor the purposes of this market \"locked\" tokens or non-swappable tokens will not suffice to resolve this market to \"Yes\". Airdrops of NFTs will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market is on-chain information and official information from MegaETH, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "March 15, 2026: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-03-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-03-16T07:08:47Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if MegaETH launches a token and performs an airdrop by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nFor the purposes of this market \"locked\" tokens or non-swappable tokens will not suffice to resolve this market to \"Yes\". Airdrops of NFTs will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market is on-chain information and official information from MegaETH, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "on-chain information",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "official information from MegaETH",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 59,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.002,
      "implied_probability": 0.002,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": null,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-980486B78F",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "airdrop",
        "crypto",
        "megaeth"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-4HJ7XNRTY7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-W92LK6Z010",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x10d8e0d7123623b6cd8303aab6d2e61792b8aded915336efb3adc11df448937b",
      "question": "Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if MegaETH launches a token and performs an airdrop by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nFor the purposes of this market \"locked\" tokens or non-swappable tokens will not suffice to resolve this market to \"Yes\". Airdrops of NFTs will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market is on-chain information and official information from MegaETH, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "December 31, 2026: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if MegaETH launches a token and performs an airdrop by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nFor the purposes of this market \"locked\" tokens or non-swappable tokens will not suffice to resolve this market to \"Yes\". Airdrops of NFTs will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market is on-chain information and official information from MegaETH, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "on-chain information",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "official information from MegaETH",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
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