{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-S0Q0L8S635",
  "slug": "mexico-annual-inflation-2026",
  "question": "Will Mexico's annual inflation in 2026 be below 4%?",
  "category": "economics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "economics",
    "mexico-economy",
    "inflation-rate",
    "price-index",
    "monetary-policy",
    "2027-resolution"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track Mexico's Consumer Price Index annual percentage change for December 2026, as published by INEGI. Eight discrete Polymarket strike tiers span below 2.50% through 5.50% and above, collectively mapping the full probability distribution across rate levels. All eight markets resolve via Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle against the INEGI release. Traders should note that only one tier resolves YES; implied probabilities across all tiers must sum to approximately 100%.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-Z6H5VT6B47",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.019,
    "implied_probability": 0.019
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-9YH6M7C6Y1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-S0Q0L8S635",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x13d6c5ff12053298c4ed6bfc794a5e3adfec6300c413fd9d07c83e2362671f17",
      "question": "Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be less than 2.50%?",
      "description": "This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Mexico over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Mexican National Institute of Statistics and Geography (INEGI).\n\nThis market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be r",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "<2.50%: Mexico's Consumer Price Index annual percentage change for December 2026 resolves per the INEGI National Consumer Price Index monthly report released by January 8, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-08T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-08T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Mexico over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Mexican National Institute of Statistics and Geography (INEGI).\n\nThis market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.\n\nThe relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/\n\nNote: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Mexican Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendario",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "en.www.inegi.org.mx",
            "url": "https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "en.www.inegi.org.mx",
            "url": "https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendario",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Mexican National Institute of Statistics and Geography (INEGI)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "INEGI INPC report",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Mexican National Institute of Statistics and Geography (INEGI)",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 91,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.006,
      "implied_probability": 0.006,
      "volume_24h_usd": 10,
      "volume_total_usd": 812.881527,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "below",
      "threshold": 2.5,
      "question_id": "CMX-40EF98709C",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "inflation",
        "mexico",
        "mexico annual inflation"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-TKGGSVVFD1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-S0Q0L8S635",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xb5031e4b28187580fd7134a58b0bc6d681d836dc86003877958c222b4415e899",
      "question": "Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 2.50% and 2.99%?",
      "description": "This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Mexico over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Mexican National Institute of Statistics and Geography (INEGI).\n\nThis market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be r",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "2.50% to 2.99%: Mexico's Consumer Price Index annual percentage change for December 2026 resolves per the INEGI National Consumer Price Index monthly report released by January 8, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-08T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-08T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Mexico over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Mexican National Institute of Statistics and Geography (INEGI).\n\nThis market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.\n\nThe relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/\n\nNote: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Mexican Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendario",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "en.www.inegi.org.mx",
            "url": "https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "en.www.inegi.org.mx",
            "url": "https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendario",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Mexican National Institute of Statistics and Geography (INEGI)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "INEGI INPC report",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Mexican National Institute of Statistics and Geography (INEGI)",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 91,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.005,
      "implied_probability": 0.005,
      "volume_24h_usd": 5,
      "volume_total_usd": 4544.849228000003,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 2.5,
      "question_id": "CMX-D3F0F41F65",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "inflation",
        "mexico",
        "mexico annual inflation"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-Z6H5VT6B47",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-S0Q0L8S635",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x039aecea63c2728234a00cbcf27ea0db3247c488b3cc97cf1cd213b2a4735edb",
      "question": "Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 3.00% and 3.49%?",
      "description": "This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Mexico over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Mexican National Institute of Statistics and Geography (INEGI).\n\nThis market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be r",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "3.00% to 3.49%: Mexico's Consumer Price Index annual percentage change for December 2026 resolves per the INEGI National Consumer Price Index monthly report released by January 8, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-08T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-08T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Mexico over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Mexican National Institute of Statistics and Geography (INEGI).\n\nThis market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.\n\nThe relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/\n\nNote: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Mexican Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendario",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "en.www.inegi.org.mx",
            "url": "https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "en.www.inegi.org.mx",
            "url": "https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendario",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Mexican National Institute of Statistics and Geography (INEGI)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "INEGI INPC report",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Mexican National Institute of Statistics and Geography (INEGI)",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 91,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.019,
      "implied_probability": 0.019,
      "volume_24h_usd": 15.5,
      "volume_total_usd": 26675.044554999986,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 3,
      "question_id": "CMX-068EAF337E",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "inflation",
        "mexico",
        "mexico annual inflation"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-V6MJNLWB80",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-S0Q0L8S635",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x96e9ee9536dc0419d4b5ac0075c2d6ea3b8405687ee1bc2152c575b1cddb8cd5",
      "question": "Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 3.50% and 3.99%?",
      "description": "This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Mexico over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Mexican National Institute of Statistics and Geography (INEGI).\n\nThis market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be r",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "3.50% to 3.99%: Mexico's Consumer Price Index annual percentage change for December 2026 resolves per the INEGI National Consumer Price Index monthly report released by January 8, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-08T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-08T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Mexico over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Mexican National Institute of Statistics and Geography (INEGI).\n\nThis market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.\n\nThe relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/\n\nNote: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Mexican Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendario",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "en.www.inegi.org.mx",
            "url": "https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "en.www.inegi.org.mx",
            "url": "https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendario",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Mexican National Institute of Statistics and Geography (INEGI)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "INEGI INPC report",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Mexican National Institute of Statistics and Geography (INEGI)",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 91,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.13,
      "implied_probability": 0.13,
      "volume_24h_usd": 25.93,
      "volume_total_usd": 1300.7749050000004,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 3.5,
      "question_id": "CMX-D3F0F41F65",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "inflation",
        "mexico",
        "mexico annual inflation"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-Y52CY4T5G4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-S0Q0L8S635",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x92db92b0c2a161440cb8500db98b5883c475e5a5e3b869990fb4276bd1f70a04",
      "question": "Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 4.00% and 4.49%?",
      "description": "This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Mexico over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Mexican National Institute of Statistics and Geography (INEGI).\n\nThis market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be r",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "4.00% to 4.49%: Mexico's Consumer Price Index annual percentage change for December 2026 resolves per the INEGI National Consumer Price Index monthly report released by January 8, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-08T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-08T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Mexico over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Mexican National Institute of Statistics and Geography (INEGI).\n\nThis market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.\n\nThe relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/\n\nNote: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Mexican Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendario",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "en.www.inegi.org.mx",
            "url": "https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "en.www.inegi.org.mx",
            "url": "https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendario",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Mexican National Institute of Statistics and Geography (INEGI)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "INEGI INPC report",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Mexican National Institute of Statistics and Geography (INEGI)",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 91,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.47,
      "implied_probability": 0.47,
      "volume_24h_usd": 5,
      "volume_total_usd": 1503.5030869999994,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 4,
      "question_id": "CMX-6FECD501B0",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "inflation",
        "mexico",
        "mexico annual inflation"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-8VBZD8NFG1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-S0Q0L8S635",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x36fff2366a37c4fd11014f53fa7499173b3f4663db0db6a0448a679c422d4683",
      "question": "Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 4.50% and 4.99%?",
      "description": "This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Mexico over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Mexican National Institute of Statistics and Geography (INEGI).\n\nThis market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be r",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "4.50% to 4.99%: Mexico's Consumer Price Index annual percentage change for December 2026 resolves per the INEGI National Consumer Price Index monthly report released by January 8, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-08T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-08T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Mexico over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Mexican National Institute of Statistics and Geography (INEGI).\n\nThis market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.\n\nThe relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/\n\nNote: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Mexican Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendario",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "en.www.inegi.org.mx",
            "url": "https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "en.www.inegi.org.mx",
            "url": "https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendario",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Mexican National Institute of Statistics and Geography (INEGI)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "INEGI INPC report",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Mexican National Institute of Statistics and Geography (INEGI)",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 91,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.23,
      "implied_probability": 0.23,
      "volume_24h_usd": 61,
      "volume_total_usd": 4281.191227,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 4.5,
      "question_id": "CMX-5ED3FC7879",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "inflation",
        "mexico",
        "mexico annual inflation"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-23Q0P6SMK4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-S0Q0L8S635",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x90c03947fd07e7116f2dba601a3e6601f1a0c057ef4b8e3f336371574a81f824",
      "question": "Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 5.00% and 5.49%?",
      "description": "This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Mexico over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Mexican National Institute of Statistics and Geography (INEGI).\n\nThis market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be r",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "5.00% to 5.49%: Mexico's Consumer Price Index annual percentage change for December 2026 resolves per the INEGI National Consumer Price Index monthly report released by January 8, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-08T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-08T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Mexico over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Mexican National Institute of Statistics and Geography (INEGI).\n\nThis market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.\n\nThe relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/\n\nNote: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Mexican Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendario",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "en.www.inegi.org.mx",
            "url": "https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "en.www.inegi.org.mx",
            "url": "https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendario",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Mexican National Institute of Statistics and Geography (INEGI)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "INEGI INPC report",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Mexican National Institute of Statistics and Geography (INEGI)",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 91,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.079,
      "implied_probability": 0.079,
      "volume_24h_usd": 5,
      "volume_total_usd": 1840.1041069999994,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 5,
      "question_id": "CMX-F45BB8632F",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "inflation",
        "mexico",
        "mexico annual inflation"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-X24FDW97Z2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-S0Q0L8S635",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xcefab2aa9aa3082a4a922d8044e7dc3373e4fa0c89f3f69a9d45b91cb5936a87",
      "question": "Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be at least 5.50%?",
      "description": "This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Mexico over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Mexican National Institute of Statistics and Geography (INEGI).\n\nThis market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be r",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "5.50%+: Mexico's Consumer Price Index annual percentage change for December 2026 resolves per the INEGI National Consumer Price Index monthly report released by January 8, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-08T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-08T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Mexico over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Mexican National Institute of Statistics and Geography (INEGI).\n\nThis market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.\n\nThe relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/\n\nNote: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Mexican Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendario",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "en.www.inegi.org.mx",
            "url": "https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "en.www.inegi.org.mx",
            "url": "https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendario",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Mexican National Institute of Statistics and Geography (INEGI)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "INEGI INPC report",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Mexican National Institute of Statistics and Geography (INEGI)",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 91,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.07,
      "implied_probability": 0.07,
      "volume_24h_usd": 5,
      "volume_total_usd": 6029.768505,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 5.5,
      "question_id": "CMX-1D334FA875",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "inflation",
        "mexico",
        "mexico annual inflation"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-S0Q0L8S635",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}