{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-8P88TCMGJ0",
  "slug": "mexico-gdp-growth-in-q2-2026",
  "question": "Will Mexico's GDP growth in Q2 2026 exceed 2%?",
  "category": "economics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "economics",
    "mexico-economy",
    "gdp-growth",
    "q2-2026",
    "macroeconomic-indicator",
    "quantitative-outcome"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track Mexico's year-over-year GDP growth rate for Q2 2026, sourced from INEGI's Timely Estimate of Quarterly GDP release. All eight markets are Polymarket binary contracts spanning contiguous rate bands from below -0.5% to 2.5% and above, together forming a full probability distribution over the growth outcome. Exactly one band resolves yes; the structure prices rate level, not directional outcome. Resolution follows Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle against the official INEGI publication expected around July 2026.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-RR9ZZ50606",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.009,
    "implied_probability": 0.009
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-6L5J6XR855",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-8P88TCMGJ0",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xf2c6911c8dd33d38eba6f65719f58c61b6954c6b2021d202f384c3e94ff2925d",
      "question": "Will Mexico GDP growth in Q2 2026 be less than -0.5%?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to Mexico's Y/Y Growth Rate of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in the \"Timely Estimate of Quarterly GDP\" release for Q2 of 2026, scheduled for release on July 30, 2026.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThe GDP release will be made available here: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/\n\nIf no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.\n\nN",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "<-0.5%: Mexico's Y/Y GDP growth rate in the Timely Estimate of Quarterly GDP release for Q2 2026, published by INEGI on July 30, 2026, determines the outcome bracket.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-30T06:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-30T06:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to Mexico's Y/Y Growth Rate of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in the \"Timely Estimate of Quarterly GDP\" release for Q2 of 2026, scheduled for release on July 30, 2026.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThe GDP release will be made available here: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/\n\nIf no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.\n\nNote: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "en.www.inegi.org.mx",
            "url": "https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "en.www.inegi.org.mx",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 93,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.001,
      "implied_probability": 0.001,
      "volume_24h_usd": 70.02,
      "volume_total_usd": 4770.666741,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "below",
      "threshold": -0.5,
      "question_id": "CMX-E3A33B646F",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "gdp",
        "growth",
        "mexico",
        "mexico gdp growth",
        "q2-2026"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-5FYY1Q5813",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-8P88TCMGJ0",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x2bc6ae80f1e357942bd8f6e96b239dde44a5cd6e9f3c3a5eca5b9ff1729f849f",
      "question": "Will Mexico GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.0% and 0.5%?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to Mexico's Y/Y Growth Rate of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in the \"Timely Estimate of Quarterly GDP\" release for Q2 of 2026, scheduled for release on July 30, 2026.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThe GDP release will be made available here: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/\n\nIf no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.\n\nN",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "0.0-0.5%: Mexico's Y/Y GDP growth rate in the Timely Estimate of Quarterly GDP release for Q2 2026, published by INEGI on July 30, 2026, determines the outcome bracket.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-30T06:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-30T06:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to Mexico's Y/Y Growth Rate of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in the \"Timely Estimate of Quarterly GDP\" release for Q2 of 2026, scheduled for release on July 30, 2026.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThe GDP release will be made available here: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/\n\nIf no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.\n\nNote: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "en.www.inegi.org.mx",
            "url": "https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "en.www.inegi.org.mx",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 93,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.051,
      "implied_probability": 0.051,
      "volume_24h_usd": 114.379151,
      "volume_total_usd": 2539.2371779999994,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 0,
      "question_id": "CMX-D2FA369DE7",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "gdp",
        "growth",
        "mexico",
        "mexico gdp growth",
        "q2-2026"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-2XRSL9L6P9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-8P88TCMGJ0",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x53cc7f3da61ae2a3fea6ffe0d6a9e5e5839dd3e9466ebdb3b9e597ce175c9fce",
      "question": "Will Mexico GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.5% and 1.0%?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to Mexico's Y/Y Growth Rate of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in the \"Timely Estimate of Quarterly GDP\" release for Q2 of 2026, scheduled for release on July 30, 2026.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThe GDP release will be made available here: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/\n\nIf no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.\n\nN",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "0.5-1.0%: Mexico's Y/Y GDP growth rate in the Timely Estimate of Quarterly GDP release for Q2 2026, published by INEGI on July 30, 2026, determines the outcome bracket.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-30T06:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-30T06:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to Mexico's Y/Y Growth Rate of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in the \"Timely Estimate of Quarterly GDP\" release for Q2 of 2026, scheduled for release on July 30, 2026.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThe GDP release will be made available here: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/\n\nIf no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.\n\nNote: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "en.www.inegi.org.mx",
            "url": "https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "en.www.inegi.org.mx",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 93,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.095,
      "implied_probability": 0.095,
      "volume_24h_usd": 67.619323,
      "volume_total_usd": 1589.3377770000004,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 0.5,
      "question_id": "CMX-18A6D44EDC",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "gdp",
        "growth",
        "mexico",
        "mexico gdp growth",
        "q2-2026"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-Y5TPXG7BM8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-8P88TCMGJ0",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xd73bff3092e0c4bf0a35da772b59cba3c069c980b4a1656eda2c886031587e17",
      "question": "Will Mexico GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 1.0% and 1.5%?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to Mexico's Y/Y Growth Rate of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in the \"Timely Estimate of Quarterly GDP\" release for Q2 of 2026, scheduled for release on July 30, 2026.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThe GDP release will be made available here: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/\n\nIf no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.\n\nN",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "1.0-1.5%: Mexico's Y/Y GDP growth rate in the Timely Estimate of Quarterly GDP release for Q2 2026, published by INEGI on July 30, 2026, determines the outcome bracket.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-30T06:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-30T06:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to Mexico's Y/Y Growth Rate of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in the \"Timely Estimate of Quarterly GDP\" release for Q2 of 2026, scheduled for release on July 30, 2026.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThe GDP release will be made available here: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/\n\nIf no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.\n\nNote: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "en.www.inegi.org.mx",
            "url": "https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "en.www.inegi.org.mx",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 93,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.31,
      "implied_probability": 0.31,
      "volume_24h_usd": 89.14,
      "volume_total_usd": 3502.8454649999994,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 1,
      "question_id": "CMX-18A6D44EDC",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "gdp",
        "growth",
        "mexico",
        "mexico gdp growth",
        "q2-2026"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-7MVRK7YWP6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-8P88TCMGJ0",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xd0b445937bf46f3173fa2956931e21fbeae2a3ecae60609a3dd28e41368b368b",
      "question": "Will Mexico GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to Mexico's Y/Y Growth Rate of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in the \"Timely Estimate of Quarterly GDP\" release for Q2 of 2026, scheduled for release on July 30, 2026.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThe GDP release will be made available here: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/\n\nIf no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.\n\nN",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "1.5-2.0%: Mexico's Y/Y GDP growth rate in the Timely Estimate of Quarterly GDP release for Q2 2026, published by INEGI on July 30, 2026, determines the outcome bracket.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-30T06:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-30T06:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to Mexico's Y/Y Growth Rate of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in the \"Timely Estimate of Quarterly GDP\" release for Q2 of 2026, scheduled for release on July 30, 2026.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThe GDP release will be made available here: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/\n\nIf no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.\n\nNote: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "en.www.inegi.org.mx",
            "url": "https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "en.www.inegi.org.mx",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 93,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.27,
      "implied_probability": 0.27,
      "volume_24h_usd": 159.177418,
      "volume_total_usd": 2415.0673480000005,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 1.5,
      "question_id": "CMX-18A6D44EDC",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "gdp",
        "growth",
        "mexico",
        "mexico gdp growth",
        "q2-2026"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-1NPPHFKF45",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-8P88TCMGJ0",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x99285cb79c85086cff29e78f5fca5b48c27a0311b826ec85ca460cf11654e6ad",
      "question": "Will Mexico GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to Mexico's Y/Y Growth Rate of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in the \"Timely Estimate of Quarterly GDP\" release for Q2 of 2026, scheduled for release on July 30, 2026.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThe GDP release will be made available here: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/\n\nIf no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.\n\nN",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "2.0-2.5%: Mexico's Y/Y GDP growth rate in the Timely Estimate of Quarterly GDP release for Q2 2026, published by INEGI on July 30, 2026, determines the outcome bracket.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-30T06:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-30T06:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to Mexico's Y/Y Growth Rate of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in the \"Timely Estimate of Quarterly GDP\" release for Q2 of 2026, scheduled for release on July 30, 2026.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThe GDP release will be made available here: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/\n\nIf no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.\n\nNote: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "en.www.inegi.org.mx",
            "url": "https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "en.www.inegi.org.mx",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 93,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.146,
      "implied_probability": 0.146,
      "volume_24h_usd": 70.02,
      "volume_total_usd": 2007.2984519999998,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 2,
      "question_id": "CMX-A30948966B",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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        "growth",
        "mexico",
        "mexico gdp growth",
        "q2-2026"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-8P88TCMGJ0",
      "platform": "polymarket",
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      "question": "Will Mexico GDP growth in Q2 2026 be at least 2.5%?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to Mexico's Y/Y Growth Rate of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in the \"Timely Estimate of Quarterly GDP\" release for Q2 of 2026, scheduled for release on July 30, 2026.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThe GDP release will be made available here: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/\n\nIf no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.\n\nN",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "2.5%+: Mexico's Y/Y GDP growth rate in the Timely Estimate of Quarterly GDP release for Q2 2026, published by INEGI on July 30, 2026, determines the outcome bracket.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-30T06:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-30T06:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to Mexico's Y/Y Growth Rate of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in the \"Timely Estimate of Quarterly GDP\" release for Q2 of 2026, scheduled for release on July 30, 2026.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThe GDP release will be made available here: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/\n\nIf no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.\n\nNote: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/",
        "sources": [
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            "url": "https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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            "name": "en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 93,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.052,
      "implied_probability": 0.052,
      "volume_24h_usd": 65.46999999999998,
      "volume_total_usd": 7035.599620000008,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 2.5,
      "question_id": "CMX-40D25C0F75",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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        "growth",
        "mexico",
        "mexico gdp growth",
        "q2-2026"
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      "eligibility_screens": null
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      "market_id": "CM-MKT-RR9ZZ50606",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-8P88TCMGJ0",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xb5e81ed4505222492089b249b90ae7cc57b8232bb8b627902496bddc8679c94a",
      "question": "Will Mexico GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between -0.5% and 0.0%?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to Mexico's Y/Y Growth Rate of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in the \"Timely Estimate of Quarterly GDP\" release for Q2 of 2026, scheduled for release on July 30, 2026.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThe GDP release will be made available here: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/\n\nIf no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.\n\nN",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "-0.5-0.0%: Mexico's Y/Y GDP growth rate in the Timely Estimate of Quarterly GDP release for Q2 2026, published by INEGI on July 30, 2026, determines the outcome bracket.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-30T06:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-30T06:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
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        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/",
        "sources": [
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            "name": "en.www.inegi.org.mx",
            "url": "https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
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        "source_of_record": "en.www.inegi.org.mx",
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        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.009,
      "implied_probability": 0.009,
      "volume_24h_usd": 176.131111,
      "volume_total_usd": 9846.762777000005,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": -0.5,
      "question_id": "CMX-18A6D44EDC",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "gdp",
        "growth",
        "mexico",
        "mexico gdp growth",
        "q2-2026"
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      "eligibility_screens": null
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  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-8P88TCMGJ0",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}