{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
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  "event_id": "CM-EVT-RN70W81CS1",
  "slug": "mexico-legislative-election-2nd-place",
  "question": "Will the second-place party in the Mexico legislative election receive less than 25% of the vote?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "elections",
    "mexico",
    "legislative",
    "2027",
    "seat-distribution"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track which party finishes second in seat count in Mexico's 2027 Chamber of Deputies election. Named parties include Morena, PAN, PRI, PT, PVEM, and Citizens' Movement, each as a separate binary contract. All markets resolve via the Mexican National Electoral Institute's official seat distribution announcement. Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle handles settlement across all contracts.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
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  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-NSR5KHZQR9",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.53,
    "implied_probability": 0.53
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  "created_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-NSR5KHZQR9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-RN70W81CS1",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x02a2888ef8e1f97bf23b2ba4cf4498007511c663ec3ca52370433ef2deeff0a8",
      "question": "Will the National Action Party (PAN) win the second most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?",
      "description": "A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.\n\nIf the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid vo",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "PAN: The Mexican National Electoral Institute (INE) announces the official seat distribution in the Chamber of Deputies following the June 6, 2027 legislative election, with results final by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET.",
      "close_at": "2027-06-06T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-06-06T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.\n\nIf the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://ine.mx/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "ine.mx",
            "url": "https://ine.mx/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/)",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 66,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.53,
      "implied_probability": 0.53,
      "volume_24h_usd": 94.170391,
      "volume_total_usd": 14165.310649999996,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "mexico legislative election"
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      "eligibility_screens": null
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-6XQ4SYJ852",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-RN70W81CS1",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xf73dbccbc896188a5cf08a9161b557c1c526eb6608e92dd69a240589b6cb81bf",
      "question": "Will the Institutional Revolutionary Party (PRI) win the second most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?",
      "description": "A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.\n\nIf the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid vo",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "PRI: The Mexican National Electoral Institute (INE) announces the official seat distribution in the Chamber of Deputies following the June 6, 2027 legislative election, with results final by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET.",
      "close_at": "2027-06-06T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-06-06T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.\n\nIf the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://ine.mx/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "ine.mx",
            "url": "https://ine.mx/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_of_record": "National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/)",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
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        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 66,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.245,
      "implied_probability": 0.245,
      "volume_24h_usd": 159.66,
      "volume_total_usd": 5733.017019000001,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
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      "tags": [
        "mexico legislative election"
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      "eligibility_screens": null
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-0CGBGQHF09",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-RN70W81CS1",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xf11b5501bfcc7460b9ce2faafef691556d9c9220f0c04457a2b601b465cb2501",
      "question": "Will the Labor Party (PT) win the second most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?",
      "description": "A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.\n\nIf the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid vo",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "PT: The Mexican National Electoral Institute (INE) announces the official seat distribution in the Chamber of Deputies following the June 6, 2027 legislative election, with results final by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET.",
      "close_at": "2027-06-06T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-06-06T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.\n\nIf the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://ine.mx/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "ine.mx",
            "url": "https://ine.mx/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        ],
        "source_of_record": "National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/)",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 66,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.005,
      "implied_probability": 0.005,
      "volume_24h_usd": 5.004665999999999,
      "volume_total_usd": 4663.237867000002,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-9397J0V1Z1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-RN70W81CS1",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x2bf1e62cf3f80d545b663f6dabda724d6aa8f42b442c10b73dd5b709b9aa8fc7",
      "question": "Will the Ecologist Green Party of Mexico (PVEM) win the second most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?",
      "description": "A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.\n\nIf the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid vo",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "PVEM: The Mexican National Electoral Institute (INE) announces the official seat distribution in the Chamber of Deputies following the June 6, 2027 legislative election, with results final by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET.",
      "close_at": "2027-06-06T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-06-06T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.\n\nIf the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://ine.mx/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "ine.mx",
            "url": "https://ine.mx/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_of_record": "National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/)",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 66,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.04,
      "implied_probability": 0.04,
      "volume_24h_usd": 27.227933,
      "volume_total_usd": 6948.244794999999,
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      "tags": [
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-361SC2JVC0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-RN70W81CS1",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xf56f063c3550f19c446c79fd0e1c2b166e61faae6a6338265720e0668e528674",
      "question": "Will Citizens’ Movement (MC) win the second most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?",
      "description": "A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.\n\nIf the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid vo",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "MC: The Mexican National Electoral Institute (INE) announces the official seat distribution in the Chamber of Deputies following the June 6, 2027 legislative election, with results final by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET.",
      "close_at": "2027-06-06T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-06-06T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.\n\nIf the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://ine.mx/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "ine.mx",
            "url": "https://ine.mx/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/)",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 66,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.003,
      "implied_probability": 0.003,
      "volume_24h_usd": 4.994666,
      "volume_total_usd": 1247.3489880000002,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
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      "question_id": null,
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      "tags": [
        "mexico legislative election"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-BFF3NP0HQ7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-RN70W81CS1",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xa3f568cb16bae193ff55383a671b9d3b2b5ee23937dcb8ebb2f5f13fd17a851b",
      "question": "Will the National Regeneration Movement (Morena) win the second most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?",
      "description": "A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.\n\nIf the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid vo",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Morena: The Mexican National Electoral Institute (INE) announces the official seat distribution in the Chamber of Deputies following the June 6, 2027 legislative election, with results final by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET.",
      "close_at": "2027-06-06T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-06-06T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.\n\nIf the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://ine.mx/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "ine.mx",
            "url": "https://ine.mx/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/)",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 66,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.019,
      "implied_probability": 0.019,
      "volume_24h_usd": 11.75,
      "volume_total_usd": 2344.1637769999998,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
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      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "mexico legislative election"
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      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-L6N21TKY20",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-RN70W81CS1",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xddb7c24cc6a27de059129852c8930b4576960026ce6edf3208228adef7bbad1e",
      "question": "Will Party A win the second most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?",
      "description": "A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.\n\nIf the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid vo",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Party A: The Mexican National Electoral Institute (INE) announces the official seat distribution in the Chamber of Deputies following the June 6, 2027 legislative election, with results final by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET.",
      "close_at": "2027-06-06T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-06-06T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
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