{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
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  "event_id": "CM-EVT-Y1NLGQ5267",
  "slug": "mexico-legislative-election-winner",
  "question": "Will a single party or coalition win a majority of seats in Mexico's legislative election?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "elections",
    "mexico",
    "legislative",
    "2027",
    "seat-allocation"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track which party wins the most seats in Mexico's Chamber of Deputies election on June 6, 2027. Polymarket structures the event as parallel binary contracts, one per named party. Each contract resolves independently via Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle against official seat counts. Resolution relies on certified deputy seat totals; coalition seat-sharing arrangements could complicate single-party plurality determinations.",
  "venues_covered": [
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  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-NVKVZM5ND5",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.703,
    "implied_probability": 0.703
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  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
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      "market_id": "CM-MKT-886YL8J8C2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-Y1NLGQ5267",
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      "platform_market_id": "0x9d5ef67f4aa0e00ff62abcce8493a96e8e6586f30d93561410f9f7e264fdb678",
      "question": "Will the National Action Party (PAN) win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?",
      "description": "A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.\n\nIf the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIn the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes in this election. In the event that results in ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "PAN: The listed political party winning the most seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies election on June 6, 2027, per the National Electoral Institute (INE) official results by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET.",
      "close_at": "2027-06-06T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-06-06T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.\n\nIf the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIn the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes in this election. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://ine.mx/",
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            "name": "ine.mx",
            "url": "https://ine.mx/",
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          {
            "name": "National Electoral Institute",
            "url": null,
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          {
            "name": "Mexican Government",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_of_record": "National Electoral Institute",
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        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 68,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.003,
      "implied_probability": 0.003,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 4528.178371000002,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
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      "tags": [
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-Y1NLGQ5267",
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      "platform_market_id": "0x3e3f8e34209c6235295c06296e75974c31158d6e182c78661391ef13c77a2146",
      "question": "Will the Labor Party (PT) win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?",
      "description": "A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.\n\nIf the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIn the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes in this election. In the event that results in ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "PT: The listed political party winning the most seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies election on June 6, 2027, per the National Electoral Institute (INE) official results by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET.",
      "close_at": "2027-06-06T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-06-06T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
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        "rules_raw": "A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.\n\nIf the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIn the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes in this election. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).",
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      "tags": [
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-Y1NLGQ5267",
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      "platform_market_id": "0x50965926233f959bd3b6f0a83cd798630d994fc4163c6501fee1a52a8b34101d",
      "question": "Will Citizens’ Movement (MC) win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?",
      "description": "A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.\n\nIf the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIn the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes in this election. In the event that results in ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "MC: The listed political party winning the most seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies election on June 6, 2027, per the National Electoral Institute (INE) official results by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET.",
      "close_at": "2027-06-06T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-06-06T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
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        "rules_raw": "A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.\n\nIf the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIn the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes in this election. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).",
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        "source_citation": "https://ine.mx/",
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        "source_of_record": "National Electoral Institute",
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      "rcg": {
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        "score": 68,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "tags": [
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-T0M2KX3VF3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-Y1NLGQ5267",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x4a2442621d41530e8722f5b61d24e69b8640cbf9e57a60e8f7a18fe9eeffcc07",
      "question": "Will Party A win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?",
      "description": "A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.\n\nIf the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIn the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes in this election. In the event that results in ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
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      "underlying_reference": "Party A: The listed political party winning the most seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies election on June 6, 2027, per the National Electoral Institute (INE) official results by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET.",
      "close_at": "2027-06-06T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-06-06T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.\n\nIf the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIn the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes in this election. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).",
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-Y1NLGQ5267",
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      "question": "Will Party C win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?",
      "description": "A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.\n\nIf the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIn the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes in this election. In the event that results in ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
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      "close_at": "2027-06-06T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-06-06T00:00:00Z",
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        "rules_raw": "A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.\n\nIf the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIn the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes in this election. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).",
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        "source_citation": "https://ine.mx/",
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            "url": "https://ine.mx/",
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            "name": "Mexican Government",
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            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "caps": [],
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      "tags": [
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-WVT95WHGP9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-Y1NLGQ5267",
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      "platform_market_id": "0xbe25e8a90e340a6ff9d6c742480ad1e51a4c7b2fbfb4a4904bac9e05d5bbdc1e",
      "question": "Will Party E win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?",
      "description": "A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.\n\nIf the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIn the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes in this election. In the event that results in ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
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      "close_at": "2027-06-06T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-06-06T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
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        "rules_raw": "A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.\n\nIf the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIn the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes in this election. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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      "rcg": {
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        "score": 68,
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      "tags": [
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-LJ0NL7KV24",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-Y1NLGQ5267",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xe06bc02149cab420bf630d9fde77630688aefbe1bf4d3263e6af73b6c94f5427",
      "question": "Will Party G win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?",
      "description": "A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.\n\nIf the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIn the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes in this election. In the event that results in ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Party G: The listed political party winning the most seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies election on June 6, 2027, per the National Electoral Institute (INE) official results by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET.",
      "close_at": "2027-06-06T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-06-06T00:00:00Z",
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