{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-L2WG64RX57",
  "slug": "michael-saylor-federally-charged-by-december-31-2026-20260625210239195",
  "question": "Will Michael Saylor be federally charged by December 31, 2026?",
  "category": "crypto",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "crypto",
    "legal-criminal",
    "michael-saylor",
    "bitcoin",
    "2026",
    "us-federal"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "This market tracks whether Michael Saylor faces a federal criminal indictment by December 31, 2026. Resolution requires a formal DOJ announcement or federal court filing of charges. Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle governs settlement. No cross-platform contrast exists; only one market is listed.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-BNL90S9JR9",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.08,
    "implied_probability": 0.08
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-BNL90S9JR9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-L2WG64RX57",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xbec8b2df737f0bb871cd9cbec6ba26d3e9bff46af16e04424c4e075798732240",
      "question": "Michael Saylor federally charged by December 31, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of MicroStrategy Chairman Michael Saylor between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nIt will not be relevant for this market if Michael Saylor is no longer Chairman of Microstrategy at any point. \n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "The United States Department of Justice or federal court system announces a formal criminal indictment or charges against Michael Saylor by December 31, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-31T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of MicroStrategy Chairman Michael Saylor between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nIt will not be relevant for this market if Michael Saylor is no longer Chairman of Microstrategy at any point. \n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "official information from US governmental sources",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "a wide consensus of credible reporting",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 76,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.08,
      "implied_probability": 0.08,
      "volume_24h_usd": 8253.880000000001,
      "volume_total_usd": 65170.88702999998,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-F714A1CEBC",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "federal charges",
        "legal",
        "michael saylor"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-L2WG64RX57",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}