{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-8YTCGVFP52",
  "slug": "michigan-governor-democratic-primary-winner",
  "question": "Will a Democrat win the Michigan Governor primary?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "elections",
    "2026",
    "michigan",
    "democratic-primary",
    "governor-race"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the winner of the Michigan Democratic gubernatorial primary, scheduled for August 4, 2026. Each Polymarket contract prices a binary outcome for one named candidate. All contracts resolve via Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle against the Michigan Democratic Party's first official primary results. Named candidates include Jocelyn Benson, Garlin Gilchrist, Marni Sawicki, and Chris Swanson, with a residual \"other\" contract absorbing the remaining field.",
  "venues_covered": [
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  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-1W7YKKSVM7",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.999,
    "implied_probability": 0.999,
    "as_of": "2026-08-05T04:00:42.116Z"
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-1W7YKKSVM7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-8YTCGVFP52",
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      "platform_market_id": "0x21ab0908882e00031041d17716d3c6c56d93dfc5f460c551c33fec2ea33ae112",
      "question": "Will Jocelyn Benson win the 2026 Michigan Governor Democratic primary election?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Michigan, scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.\n\nIf no 2026 Michigan Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Michigan Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Jocelyn Benson: The named candidate's victory resolves upon the Michigan Democratic Party's first official primary results announcement on August 4, 2026, or credible reporting consensus if unavailable.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-04T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-04T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Michigan, scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.\n\nIf no 2026 Michigan Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Michigan Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Michigan Democratic Party",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_of_record": "Michigan Democratic Party",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 84,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.999,
      "implied_probability": 0.999,
      "price_as_of": "2026-08-05T04:00:42.116Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 305,
      "volume_total_usd": 17572.075779,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
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      "tags": [
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-LB2G1NHTG9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-8YTCGVFP52",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x7622efdc8a2625beacfaac2456ed56227d5d1bff20d66ec54233b2822a95887f",
      "question": "Will Garlin Gilchrist win the 2026 Michigan Governor Democratic primary election?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Michigan, scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.\n\nIf no 2026 Michigan Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Michigan Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Garlin Gilchrist: The named candidate's victory resolves upon the Michigan Democratic Party's first official primary results announcement on August 4, 2026, or credible reporting consensus if unavailable.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-04T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-04T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Michigan, scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.\n\nIf no 2026 Michigan Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Michigan Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
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        "sources": [
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            "name": "Michigan Democratic Party",
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            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_of_record": "Michigan Democratic Party",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 84,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.001,
      "implied_probability": 0.001,
      "price_as_of": "2026-08-05T03:00:40.898Z",
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-CCPTBK9QR9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-8YTCGVFP52",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x9f4f66e277053f6905baa70ad780534e891830293047b713fe14ae08faedaf33",
      "question": "Will Marni Sawicki win the 2026 Michigan Governor Democratic primary election?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Michigan, scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.\n\nIf no 2026 Michigan Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Michigan Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Marni Sawicki: The named candidate's victory resolves upon the Michigan Democratic Party's first official primary results announcement on August 4, 2026, or credible reporting consensus if unavailable.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-04T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-04T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Michigan, scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.\n\nIf no 2026 Michigan Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Michigan Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
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        "sources": [
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            "name": "Michigan Democratic Party",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_of_record": "Michigan Democratic Party",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 84,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.001,
      "implied_probability": 0.001,
      "price_as_of": "2026-08-05T01:00:40.652Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 2244.7534650000002,
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      "tags": [
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-KT418HN1T6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-8YTCGVFP52",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xf947f7460a369fddd2003e60878e743a58fd32cf7237a873b33b3eec959dde6c",
      "question": "Will Chris Swanson win the 2026 Michigan Governor Democratic primary election?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Michigan, scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.\n\nIf no 2026 Michigan Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Michigan Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Chris Swanson: The named candidate's victory resolves upon the Michigan Democratic Party's first official primary results announcement on August 4, 2026, or credible reporting consensus if unavailable.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-04T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-04T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Michigan, scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.\n\nIf no 2026 Michigan Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Michigan Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Michigan Democratic Party",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_of_record": "Michigan Democratic Party",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
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        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 84,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.001,
      "implied_probability": 0.001,
      "price_as_of": "2026-08-05T01:00:40.652Z",
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      "tags": [
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-J3F2975PZ6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-8YTCGVFP52",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x64538f9956f9d81e725420002441d40b16d33851dcccdf14385a4afcff38072a",
      "question": "Will another candidate win the 2026 Michigan Governor Democratic primary election?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Michigan, scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.\n\nIf no 2026 Michigan Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Michigan Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Other: The named candidate's victory resolves upon the Michigan Democratic Party's first official primary results announcement on August 4, 2026, or credible reporting consensus if unavailable.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-04T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-04T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Michigan, scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.\n\nIf no 2026 Michigan Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Michigan Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
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        "sources": [
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            "url": null,
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        "source_of_record": "Michigan Democratic Party",
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        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0,
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-TXKN1H6L22",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-8YTCGVFP52",
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      "platform_market_id": "0x5b543f3daa3e7bbe410803240cda2b5deffb121b7969bdce5c6c1cb87c789d4a",
      "question": "Will Candidate A win the 2026 Michigan Governor Democratic primary election?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Michigan, scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.\n\nIf no 2026 Michigan Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Michigan Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Candidate A: The named candidate's victory resolves upon the Michigan Democratic Party's first official primary results announcement on August 4, 2026, or credible reporting consensus if unavailable.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-04T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-04T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Michigan, scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.\n\nIf no 2026 Michigan Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Michigan Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
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        "sources": [
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            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_of_record": "Michigan Democratic Party",
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        "caps": [],
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      "tags": [
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-F92XHZ6L78",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-8YTCGVFP52",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x90aeadfd31aba99f5cab348babda9becbdf05a9a2fdf2126947eabdabc12b764",
      "question": "Will Candidate B win the 2026 Michigan Governor Democratic primary election?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Michigan, scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.\n\nIf no 2026 Michigan Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Michigan Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Candidate B: The named candidate's victory resolves upon the Michigan Democratic Party's first official primary results announcement on August 4, 2026, or credible reporting consensus if unavailable.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-04T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-04T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Michigan, scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.\n\nIf no 2026 Michigan Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Michigan Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Michigan Democratic Party",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_of_record": "Michigan Democratic Party",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
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      "rcg": {
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        "score": 84,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "tags": [
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-P0X32KYSR7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-8YTCGVFP52",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x22ce947d667c7171fff3b454616e74c823964749c1f5cf9f4543bb72b12844a0",
      "question": "Will Candidate C win the 2026 Michigan Governor Democratic primary election?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Michigan, scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.\n\nIf no 2026 Michigan Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Michigan Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Candidate C: The named candidate's victory resolves upon the Michigan Democratic Party's first official primary results announcement on August 4, 2026, or credible reporting consensus if unavailable.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-04T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-04T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Michigan, scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.\n\nIf no 2026 Michigan Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Michigan Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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        "score": 84,
        "caps": [],
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      "tags": [
        "michigan governor democratic"
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-DVDMT51R81",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-8YTCGVFP52",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xa39199d6e08f98fffddee4f095039a8f357e151fe8f3df1abafc7f97f3043296",
      "question": "Will Candidate D win the 2026 Michigan Governor Democratic primary election?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Michigan, scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.\n\nIf no 2026 Michigan Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Michigan Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.",
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