{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
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  "event_id": "CM-EVT-9PML43F861",
  "slug": "michigan-governor-republican-primary-winner",
  "question": "Will a Republican win the Michigan Governor Primary?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "elections",
    "michigan",
    "republican-primary",
    "2026",
    "governor-race"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the winner of the Michigan Republican gubernatorial primary, scheduled for August 4, 2026. Polymarket structures the event as a set of binary outcome contracts, one per named candidate. All contracts resolve via Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle against the Michigan Republican Party's official primary results. Candidate placeholders such as D through K remain unassigned, a known caveat for multi-candidate primaries filed late.",
  "venues_covered": [
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  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-T6FL2XKLC8",
  "current_primary_mark": {
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    "implied_probability": 0.96
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  "created_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "markets": [
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      "market_id": "CM-MKT-SD5V0DRHQ9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-9PML43F861",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xe6703820029400bb3989c9ca94511ae96bcb6bb212e76bfce28fbc3d0712e7da",
      "question": "Will Mike Cox win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Michigan, scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.\n\nIf no 2026 Michigan Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Michigan Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Mike Cox: The Michigan Republican Party's official announcement of the 2026 gubernatorial primary results on August 4, 2026, or credible reporting consensus thereof, determines the winner.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-04T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-04T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Michigan, scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.\n\nIf no 2026 Michigan Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Michigan Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Michigan Republican Party",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_of_record": "Michigan Republican Party",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 81,
        "caps": [],
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      "last_price": 0.001,
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      "market_id": "CM-MKT-2VHW30M3Y4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-9PML43F861",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xd525650240c1956c1fd741e727302756002d34541cebb15399c6648372c2b017",
      "question": "Will Anthony Hudson win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Michigan, scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.\n\nIf no 2026 Michigan Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Michigan Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Anthony Hudson: The Michigan Republican Party's official announcement of the 2026 gubernatorial primary results on August 4, 2026, or credible reporting consensus thereof, determines the winner.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-04T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-04T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Michigan, scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.\n\nIf no 2026 Michigan Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Michigan Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.",
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      "rcg": {
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        "score": 81,
        "caps": [],
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      "platform_market_id": "0xbc63ab257269b6d88696a7c395c22a032dd8bcaec0f20b22083ac17dd8a9221c",
      "question": "Will John James win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election?",
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      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "John James: The Michigan Republican Party's official announcement of the 2026 gubernatorial primary results on August 4, 2026, or credible reporting consensus thereof, determines the winner.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-04T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-04T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Michigan, scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.\n\nIf no 2026 Michigan Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Michigan Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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            "name": "Michigan Republican Party",
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            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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      "rcg": {
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        "score": 81,
        "caps": [],
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      "last_price": 0.96,
      "implied_probability": 0.96,
      "volume_24h_usd": 6733.253628,
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-QVRG11K699",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-9PML43F861",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xa5e46823b12f8751471c740cb5611827629c198f80aca1624867773bfc58d8a6",
      "question": "Will Tom Leonard win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Michigan, scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.\n\nIf no 2026 Michigan Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Michigan Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
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      "underlying_reference": "Tom Leonard: The Michigan Republican Party's official announcement of the 2026 gubernatorial primary results on August 4, 2026, or credible reporting consensus thereof, determines the winner.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-04T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-04T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Michigan, scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.\n\nIf no 2026 Michigan Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Michigan Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
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        "sources": [
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            "name": "Michigan Republican Party",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_of_record": "Michigan Republican Party",
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        "source_commitment": "named",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 81,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.001,
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      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 2891.2001599999994,
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-ZSB21L1219",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-9PML43F861",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x4a0ead3d8c0aa0a73f322aaa95615e7d29b414b9fc4bace855bb74a7a648d990",
      "question": "Will Aric Nesbitt win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Michigan, scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.\n\nIf no 2026 Michigan Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Michigan Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Aric Nesbitt: The Michigan Republican Party's official announcement of the 2026 gubernatorial primary results on August 4, 2026, or credible reporting consensus thereof, determines the winner.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-04T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-04T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Michigan, scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.\n\nIf no 2026 Michigan Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Michigan Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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        "score": 81,
        "caps": [],
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      "volume_24h_usd": 200,
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-B01P1RGG59",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-9PML43F861",
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      "platform_market_id": "0x262962b5d5b1f248aac0c99a871402f136a7a01de85aa5503c3bfa92f46b2c55",
      "question": "Will William Null win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Michigan, scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.\n\nIf no 2026 Michigan Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Michigan Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "William Null: The Michigan Republican Party's official announcement of the 2026 gubernatorial primary results on August 4, 2026, or credible reporting consensus thereof, determines the winner.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-04T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-04T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Michigan, scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.\n\nIf no 2026 Michigan Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Michigan Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
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        "sources": [
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            "name": "Michigan Republican Party",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_of_record": "Michigan Republican Party",
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-09R6QBQC03",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-9PML43F861",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x00ece3aec2e7ec1266c81f9b6dee4d5774c5e9fc1d8b4c05750363bb6693608c",
      "question": "Will Ralph Rebandt win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Michigan, scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.\n\nIf no 2026 Michigan Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Michigan Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Ralph Rebandt: The Michigan Republican Party's official announcement of the 2026 gubernatorial primary results on August 4, 2026, or credible reporting consensus thereof, determines the winner.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-04T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-04T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Michigan, scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.\n\nIf no 2026 Michigan Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Michigan Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
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        "sources": [
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            "name": "Michigan Republican Party",
            "url": null,
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        "source_of_record": "Michigan Republican Party",
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      "rcg": {
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        "score": 81,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.001,
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      "tags": [
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-CCPG7BK5V2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-9PML43F861",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x059da3ba4ea3b184e31fb8978967cbd607f5187de5846b64dcd6777ab11dbfcf",
      "question": "Will Karla Wagner win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Michigan, scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.\n\nIf no 2026 Michigan Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Michigan Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Karla Wagner: The Michigan Republican Party's official announcement of the 2026 gubernatorial primary results on August 4, 2026, or credible reporting consensus thereof, determines the winner.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-04T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-04T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Michigan, scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.\n\nIf no 2026 Michigan Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Michigan Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
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            "name": "Michigan Republican Party",
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        "source_of_record": "Michigan Republican Party",
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      "tags": [
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-2HLDQRS411",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-9PML43F861",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xcb5222288b1f2759b5ebec6af33464e2cdb23abbe769b46603f8f0c25894a34d",
      "question": "Will another candidate win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Michigan, scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.\n\nIf no 2026 Michigan Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Michigan Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Other: The Michigan Republican Party's official announcement of the 2026 gubernatorial primary results on August 4, 2026, or credible reporting consensus thereof, determines the winner.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-04T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-04T00:00:00Z",
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