{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-C08H9KGDG0",
  "slug": "miguel-daz-canel-out-as-president-of-cuba-by-june-30",
  "question": "Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be out as President of Cuba by June 30?",
  "category": "geopolitics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "geopolitics",
    "cuba",
    "leadership-change",
    "caribbean",
    "2026"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "This event tracks whether Miguel Díaz-Canel vacates the Cuban presidency before June 30, 2026. A single Polymarket binary resolves on credible news or official Cuban government announcement of resignation or removal. Resolution flows through Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle. No cross-platform pricing exists for this event.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
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  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-480Z6HRNM5",
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    "implied_probability": 0
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  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-480Z6HRNM5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-C08H9KGDG0",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x48874462b88af831a4d90479286c6c1d4cd683a6b119d926f85ac66549385b21",
      "question": "Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if Miguel Díaz-Canel ceases to be the President of Cuba for any period of time between November 18, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nAn announcement of Miguel Díaz-Canel's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to \"Yes\", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the government of Cuba, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "The government of Cuba's official announcement or credible news reporting of Miguel Díaz-Canel's resignation or removal as President by June 30, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if Miguel Díaz-Canel ceases to be the President of Cuba for any period of time between November 18, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nAn announcement of Miguel Díaz-Canel's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to \"Yes\", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the government of Cuba, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "the government of Cuba",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "a consensus of credible reporting",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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      "rcg": {
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        "score": 24,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 6107.108296,
      "volume_total_usd": 309898.07586700044,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "cuba",
        "miguel az canel",
        "political-leadership",
        "regime-change"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
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  "resolution_log": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-480Z6HRNM5",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "outcome": "NO",
      "resolved_at": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
      "final_price": 0,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-06",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
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    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-C08H9KGDG0",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
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