{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
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  "event_id": "CM-EVT-7599758YL7",
  "slug": "mike-johnson-out-as-speaker-by",
  "question": "Will Mike Johnson be out as Speaker by 2026?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "congress",
    "speaker-of-the-house",
    "us-leadership",
    "2025"
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  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track whether Mike Johnson loses the House Speakership before successive deadline dates. Each contract is a binary outcome priced against a distinct expiry: December 31 2025, March 31 2026, June 30 2026, and December 31 2026. Later-dated contracts embed cumulative probability across all earlier windows. Resolution in each case is handled by Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle against observable congressional record.",
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  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-7599758YL7",
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      "question": "Mike Johnson out as Speaker by December 31?",
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      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "December 31, 2025: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2025-12-31T12:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-01-01T09:38:43Z",
      "status": "closed",
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        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Mike Johnson announces that he will resign from his position as Speaker of the US House of Representatives, or otherwise ceases to be Speaker for any length of time, between April 9, and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nNote that an announcement of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to \"Yes\" regardless of if/when he actually steps down.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States of America or official statements by Mike Johnson or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.",
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      "question": "Mike Johnson out as Speaker by March 31?",
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      "resolve_at": "2026-04-01T06:15:13Z",
      "status": "closed",
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        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Mike Johnson announces that he will resign from his position as Speaker of the US House of Representatives, or otherwise ceases to be Speaker for any length of time, between April 9, and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nNote that an announcement of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to \"Yes\" regardless of if/when he actually steps down.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States of America or official statements by Mike Johnson or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-7599758YL7",
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      "platform_market_id": "0xfa36659c97e233539fd77a8f9525d2f1664eba5ea57c4bed72c8101ba5266d15",
      "question": "Mike Johnson out as Speaker by December 31?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Mike Johnson announces that he will resign from his position as Speaker of the US House of Representatives, or otherwise ceases to be Speaker for any length of time, between December 4, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nNote that an announcement of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to \"Yes\" regardless of if/when he actually steps down.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States of Americ",
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      "underlying_reference": "December 31, 2026: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T12:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-31T12:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
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        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Mike Johnson announces that he will resign from his position as Speaker of the US House of Representatives, or otherwise ceases to be Speaker for any length of time, between December 4, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nNote that an announcement of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to \"Yes\" regardless of if/when he actually steps down.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States of America or official statements by Mike Johnson or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-H5DZMY8R34",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-7599758YL7",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xef416cfd80afbb43c7550a8fe0f950679ab3d6e60551e2a90f230106809fe2c5",
      "question": "Mike Johnson out as Speaker by June 30?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Mike Johnson announces that he will resign from his position as Speaker of the US House of Representatives, or otherwise ceases to be Speaker for any length of time, between December 4, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nNote that an announcement of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to \"Yes\" regardless of if/when he actually steps down.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States of America or",
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      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "June 30, 2026: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-06-30T12:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-30T12:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Mike Johnson announces that he will resign from his position as Speaker of the US House of Representatives, or otherwise ceases to be Speaker for any length of time, between December 4, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nNote that an announcement of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to \"Yes\" regardless of if/when he actually steps down.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States of America or official statements by Mike Johnson or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.",
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      "market_id": "CM-MKT-H5DZMY8R34",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "outcome": "NO",
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  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-7599758YL7",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
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