{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-S4L4VK6RC3",
  "slug": "minas-gerais-governor-election-winner",
  "question": "Will the Minas Gerais Governor Election be decided by October 4, 2026?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "elections",
    "politics",
    "brazil",
    "gubernatorial-race",
    "minas-gerais",
    "2026"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the winner of the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election, closing October 4, 2026. Polymarket lists individual candidate contracts; probabilities across all named candidates must sum to one. Resolution depends on Brazil's Superior Electoral Court announcing the official result. Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle enforces that announcement as the sole settlement trigger.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
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  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-R2MVH29YT0",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.05,
    "implied_probability": 0.05
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-VLTLW8DRZ7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-S4L4VK6RC3",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xbb9450c639a6cff45852a72f736ad87bd7937bb6c32a5188951c384044db7a3e",
      "question": "Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?",
      "description": "The Minas Gerais gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.\n\nTemporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a c",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Cleitinho Azevedo: Brazil's Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral) announces the named candidate's victory in the Minas Gerais gubernatorial election on October 4, 2026, or October 25, 2026 if a runoff occurs.",
      "close_at": "2026-10-04T06:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-10-04T06:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "The Minas Gerais gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.\n\nTemporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes",
        "sources": [
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            "name": "tse.jus.br",
            "url": "www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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          {
            "name": "www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_of_record": "Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE)",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 93,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.53,
      "implied_probability": 0.53,
      "volume_24h_usd": 11.886791,
      "volume_total_usd": 40218.76358700003,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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      "eligibility_screens": null
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-MPZYY7BCG0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-S4L4VK6RC3",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xafd374f99fd26254797689157bb66ea715d30b15bfbcfa3e17ee171dd832c5c8",
      "question": "Will Nikolas Ferreira win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?",
      "description": "The Minas Gerais gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.\n\nTemporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a c",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Nikolas Ferreira: Brazil's Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral) announces the named candidate's victory in the Minas Gerais gubernatorial election on October 4, 2026, or October 25, 2026 if a runoff occurs.",
      "close_at": "2026-10-04T06:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-10-04T06:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "The Minas Gerais gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.\n\nTemporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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        "source_citation": "www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes",
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            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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          {
            "name": "www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_of_record": "Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE)",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
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      "rcg": {
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        "score": 93,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.015,
      "implied_probability": 0.015,
      "volume_24h_usd": 68.095332,
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      "settlement_style": "touch",
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      "tags": [
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      "eligibility_screens": null
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-DY4XSC1HV0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-S4L4VK6RC3",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xfa9f31ee9de9bdd91bc6d4729487a7facbc13cb8ca346d8228e8baf231ba6aa5",
      "question": "Will Mateus Simões win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?",
      "description": "The Minas Gerais gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.\n\nTemporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a c",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Mateus Simões: Brazil's Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral) announces the named candidate's victory in the Minas Gerais gubernatorial election on October 4, 2026, or October 25, 2026 if a runoff occurs.",
      "close_at": "2026-10-04T06:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-10-04T06:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "The Minas Gerais gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.\n\nTemporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes",
        "sources": [
          {
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            "url": "www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        ],
        "source_of_record": "Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE)",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 93,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.161,
      "implied_probability": 0.161,
      "volume_24h_usd": 400.753104,
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      "settlement_style": "touch",
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      "question_id": null,
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      "tags": [
        "minas gerais governor"
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      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-P7VZDM7NV8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-S4L4VK6RC3",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xdc49f28c8383f254a9c899818fd28f059f750d571d766a253b6d5c66147a9b21",
      "question": "Will Aécio Neves win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?",
      "description": "The Minas Gerais gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.\n\nTemporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a c",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Aécio Neves: Brazil's Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral) announces the named candidate's victory in the Minas Gerais gubernatorial election on October 4, 2026, or October 25, 2026 if a runoff occurs.",
      "close_at": "2026-10-04T06:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-10-04T06:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "The Minas Gerais gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.\n\nTemporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes",
        "sources": [
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            "url": "www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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            "name": "www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_of_record": "Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE)",
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        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.012,
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      "volume_24h_usd": 81.890139,
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      "settlement_style": "touch",
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      "tags": [
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      "eligibility_screens": null
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-YT83XBX9P1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-S4L4VK6RC3",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x8cf6dcc31f5f65f4fb329fe4d24fcac0ae56e824253937fa4861c450a0c0f1e6",
      "question": "Will Gabriel Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?",
      "description": "The Minas Gerais gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.\n\nTemporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a c",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Gabriel Azevedo: Brazil's Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral) announces the named candidate's victory in the Minas Gerais gubernatorial election on October 4, 2026, or October 25, 2026 if a runoff occurs.",
      "close_at": "2026-10-04T06:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-10-04T06:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "The Minas Gerais gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.\n\nTemporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "tse.jus.br",
            "url": "www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        ],
        "source_of_record": "Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE)",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 93,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.048,
      "implied_probability": 0.048,
      "volume_24h_usd": 83.973332,
      "volume_total_usd": 3380.07359,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "minas gerais governor"
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      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-R9XJ3QDMV8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-S4L4VK6RC3",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xece404da200641ebfc6ae4e60a558e1ec6a1716d379ac7f48e288da6e3604c3b",
      "question": "Will Benoni Mendes win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?",
      "description": "The Minas Gerais gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.\n\nTemporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a c",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Benoni Mendes: Brazil's Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral) announces the named candidate's victory in the Minas Gerais gubernatorial election on October 4, 2026, or October 25, 2026 if a runoff occurs.",
      "close_at": "2026-10-04T06:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-10-04T06:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "The Minas Gerais gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.\n\nTemporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes",
        "sources": [
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            "url": "www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE)",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 93,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.028,
      "implied_probability": 0.028,
      "volume_24h_usd": 35.344826,
      "volume_total_usd": 2440.6060660000003,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "minas gerais governor"
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      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-7JCGDX5WD2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-S4L4VK6RC3",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x03b6ebcc9d8a0f16954a87c001f0dcc43e86426db2e7981635c90e8127277388",
      "question": "Will Placeholder 3 win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?",
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      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Placeholder 3: Brazil's Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral) announces the named candidate's victory in the Minas Gerais gubernatorial election on October 4, 2026, or October 25, 2026 if a runoff occurs.",
      "close_at": "2026-10-04T06:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-10-04T06:00:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "The Minas Gerais gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.\n\nTemporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes",
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          {
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          },
          {
            "name": "Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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          {
            "name": "www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_of_record": "Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE)",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 93,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 0,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
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      "question_id": null,
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      "tags": [
        "minas gerais governor"
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      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-K79FMBCMX3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-S4L4VK6RC3",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x54212866c874e9ac67caf5e413d366b6a1b4e46b7da94187f184254a08ed4611",
      "question": "Will Placeholder 5 win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?",
      "description": "The Minas Gerais gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.\n\nTemporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a c",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Placeholder 5: Brazil's Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral) announces the named candidate's victory in the Minas Gerais gubernatorial election on October 4, 2026, or October 25, 2026 if a runoff occurs.",
      "close_at": "2026-10-04T06:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-10-04T06:00:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "The Minas Gerais gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.\n\nTemporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes",
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          {
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            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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            "name": "www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes",
            "url": null,
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      "settlement_style": "touch",
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-L62WF961T7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-S4L4VK6RC3",
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      "platform_market_id": "0x914de30f46572228d1056c41d89f68f1c14d0f96cfda1bd62d99b0470a107099",
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      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Placeholder 7: Brazil's Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral) announces the named candidate's victory in the Minas Gerais gubernatorial election on October 4, 2026, or October 25, 2026 if a runoff occurs.",
      "close_at": "2026-10-04T06:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-10-04T06:00:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
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        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes",
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            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
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            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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          {
            "name": "www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_of_record": "Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE)",
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      "rcg": {
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      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 0,
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      "tags": [
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    {
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-S4L4VK6RC3",
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      "platform_market_id": "0xc9ecb1555f39f0791cd692681083e85cc67c479b794dee44a1fefa1c4cd3c77d",
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      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Placeholder 9: Brazil's Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral) announces the named candidate's victory in the Minas Gerais gubernatorial election on October 4, 2026, or October 25, 2026 if a runoff occurs.",
      "close_at": "2026-10-04T06:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-10-04T06:00:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
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        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes",
        "sources": [
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            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-S4L4VK6RC3",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x507e9e89f9bc8182fbdedbbf50ff868d08bc07e83c97ff49043f127d5d51aa1f",
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      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Placeholder 11: Brazil's Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral) announces the named candidate's victory in the Minas Gerais gubernatorial election on October 4, 2026, or October 25, 2026 if a runoff occurs.",
      "close_at": "2026-10-04T06:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-10-04T06:00:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
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        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes",
        "sources": [
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            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE)",
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            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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            "name": "www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_of_record": "Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE)",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
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        "source_quality": null,
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        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
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        "score": 93,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 0,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
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      "tags": [
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    {
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-S4L4VK6RC3",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xb9f6a1eaf77d05af357af9428ec3b04badc03025f70142ba617eebaf067eea6b",
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      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Placeholder 13: Brazil's Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral) announces the named candidate's victory in the Minas Gerais gubernatorial election on October 4, 2026, or October 25, 2026 if a runoff occurs.",
      "close_at": "2026-10-04T06:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-10-04T06:00:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "The Minas Gerais gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.\n\nTemporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes",
        "sources": [
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            "provenance": "platform_api"
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            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_of_record": "Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE)",
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      "rcg": {
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        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-1L0JPX1ZN5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-S4L4VK6RC3",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xee1bb34d10a3bee762a51425d9956b66596f6c37cab353a40a9b839fb0952d9a",
      "question": "Will Placeholder 15 win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?",
      "description": "The Minas Gerais gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.\n\nTemporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a c",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Placeholder 15: Brazil's Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral) announces the named candidate's victory in the Minas Gerais gubernatorial election on October 4, 2026, or October 25, 2026 if a runoff occurs.",
      "close_at": "2026-10-04T06:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-10-04T06:00:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "The Minas Gerais gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.\n\nTemporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes",
        "sources": [
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            "url": "www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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      "close_at": "2026-10-04T06:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-10-04T06:00:00Z",
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      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "The Minas Gerais gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.\n\nTemporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).",
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      "close_at": "2026-10-04T06:00:00Z",
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      "contract_type": "binary",
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      "close_at": "2026-10-04T06:00:00Z",
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      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Other: Brazil's Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral) announces the named candidate's victory in the Minas Gerais gubernatorial election on October 4, 2026, or October 25, 2026 if a runoff occurs.",
      "close_at": "2026-10-04T06:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-10-04T06:00:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "The Minas Gerais gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.\n\nTemporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).",
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    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-PCCQXW4XM1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-S4L4VK6RC3",
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      "question": "Will Placeholder 2 win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?",
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      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
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      "close_at": "2026-10-04T06:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-10-04T06:00:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "The Minas Gerais gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.\n\nTemporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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        "source_citation": "www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes",
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-2CZFDXBT12",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-S4L4VK6RC3",
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      "question": "Will Placeholder 4 win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?",
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      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Placeholder 4: Brazil's Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral) announces the named candidate's victory in the Minas Gerais gubernatorial election on October 4, 2026, or October 25, 2026 if a runoff occurs.",
      "close_at": "2026-10-04T06:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-10-04T06:00:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
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        "source_citation": "www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes",
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      "contract_type": "binary",
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      "close_at": "2026-10-04T06:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-10-04T06:00:00Z",
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        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-S4L4VK6RC3",
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      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Placeholder 8: Brazil's Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral) announces the named candidate's victory in the Minas Gerais gubernatorial election on October 4, 2026, or October 25, 2026 if a runoff occurs.",
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      "status": "closed",
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        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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        "source_citation": "www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes",
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            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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    {
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-S4L4VK6RC3",
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      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
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      "close_at": "2026-10-04T06:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-10-04T06:00:00Z",
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      "resolution": {
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      "platform_market_id": "0x35b7553604090f58b4479c41cdc16b21de1160e72f359652f7fbd345a1458e90",
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      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Placeholder 12: Brazil's Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral) announces the named candidate's victory in the Minas Gerais gubernatorial election on October 4, 2026, or October 25, 2026 if a runoff occurs.",
      "close_at": "2026-10-04T06:00:00Z",
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      "status": "closed",
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        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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        "source_citation": "www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes",
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      "rcg": {
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