{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
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  "event_id": "CM-EVT-3J6D38Z277",
  "slug": "minnesota-governor-democratic-primary-winner",
  "question": "Will the Democratic Party nominee win the Minnesota Governor Primary?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "elections",
    "2026",
    "minnesota",
    "democratic-primary",
    "governor"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the winner of the Minnesota Democratic gubernatorial primary on August 11, 2026. Polymarket structures the event as a set of named-candidate binary outcome contracts, resolved via Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle against the Minnesota Democratic Party's official primary results. Named entrants include Tim Walz, Amy Klobuchar, Steve Simon, and Bill Gates Jr., alongside placeholder slots for undeclared candidates. Resolution defers to the official party announcement or overwhelming credible reporting as of August 11, 2026.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
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  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-VVJN9JYFR8",
  "current_primary_mark": {
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    "implied_probability": 0.999,
    "as_of": "2026-08-13T00:00:35.624Z"
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  "created_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-3J6D38Z277",
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      "platform_market_id": "0x2f7baa4b0c17d889cbc8bfe4be0ff7187a3d2aa154000e7332020b7326ede2c2",
      "question": "Will Tim Walz win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Democratic primary election?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Minnesota, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.\n\nIf no 2026 Minnesota Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Minnesota Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Tim Walz: Minnesota Democratic Party official primary results announcement on August 11, 2026, or overwhelming credible reporting consensus if no official announcement occurs.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-11T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-11T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Minnesota, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.\n\nIf no 2026 Minnesota Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Minnesota Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
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            "name": "Minnesota Democratic Party",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_of_record": "Minnesota Democratic Party",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
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        "source_commitment": "named",
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      "rcg": {
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        "score": 84,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "implied_probability": 0.01,
      "price_as_of": "2026-08-27T19:00:37.498Z",
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      "tags": [
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      "question": "Will Bill Gates Jr. win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Democratic primary election?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Minnesota, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.\n\nIf no 2026 Minnesota Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Minnesota Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
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      "resolve_at": "2026-08-11T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
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        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Minnesota, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.\n\nIf no 2026 Minnesota Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Minnesota Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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      "question": "Will Amy Klobuchar win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Democratic primary election?",
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      "contract_type": "binary",
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      "close_at": "2026-08-11T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-11T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
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        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Minnesota, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.\n\nIf no 2026 Minnesota Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Minnesota Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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      "platform_market_id": "0xfbf5cf870c61e482f40350f347a4277891bc7877d9073ab61edead4ffd98b079",
      "question": "Will Steve Simon win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Democratic primary election?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Minnesota, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.\n\nIf no 2026 Minnesota Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Minnesota Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
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      "underlying_reference": "Steve Simon: Minnesota Democratic Party official primary results announcement on August 11, 2026, or overwhelming credible reporting consensus if no official announcement occurs.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-11T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-11T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Minnesota, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.\n\nIf no 2026 Minnesota Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Minnesota Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
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        "sources": [
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            "name": "Minnesota Democratic Party",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_of_record": "Minnesota Democratic Party",
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        "score": 84,
        "caps": [],
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      "price_as_of": "2026-08-06T09:00:39.671Z",
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      "platform_market_id": "0xe8cf6b919a1b9fe90ad1b8be7cb560d00950e4796e297330a2ce0abe2ca07645",
      "question": "Will another candidate win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Democratic primary election?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Minnesota, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.\n\nIf no 2026 Minnesota Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Minnesota Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Other: Minnesota Democratic Party official primary results announcement on August 11, 2026, or overwhelming credible reporting consensus if no official announcement occurs.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-11T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-11T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Minnesota, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.\n\nIf no 2026 Minnesota Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Minnesota Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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      "question": "Will Kobey Layne win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Democratic primary election?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Minnesota, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.\n\nIf no 2026 Minnesota Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Minnesota Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Kobey Layne: Minnesota Democratic Party official primary results announcement on August 11, 2026, or overwhelming credible reporting consensus if no official announcement occurs.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-11T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-11T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Minnesota, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.\n\nIf no 2026 Minnesota Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Minnesota Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-DFJY7WSMX5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-3J6D38Z277",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x1f3be765ccfdf38428170ea57a9c5d0da5d8313495d21069b94473e654c27eb3",
      "question": "Will Candidate C win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Democratic primary election?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Minnesota, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.\n\nIf no 2026 Minnesota Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Minnesota Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Candidate C: Minnesota Democratic Party official primary results announcement on August 11, 2026, or overwhelming credible reporting consensus if no official announcement occurs.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-11T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-11T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Minnesota, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.\n\nIf no 2026 Minnesota Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Minnesota Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
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        "sources": [
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            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_of_record": "Minnesota Democratic Party",
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-RXDK10Z360",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-3J6D38Z277",
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      "platform_market_id": "0xfe6e6743e66bf4d402ed7848a44df7fbcf5a943e7781e6270e57a812bd60ad88",
      "question": "Will Candidate D win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Democratic primary election?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Minnesota, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.\n\nIf no 2026 Minnesota Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Minnesota Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Candidate D: Minnesota Democratic Party official primary results announcement on August 11, 2026, or overwhelming credible reporting consensus if no official announcement occurs.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-11T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-11T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Minnesota, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.\n\nIf no 2026 Minnesota Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Minnesota Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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        "caps": [],
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      "tags": [
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      "market_id": "CM-MKT-Y2XYWTS9S7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-3J6D38Z277",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xa3f9106fcfb64c6dfee7f6876f590b452312d54d10defcc602495c954d47c7d6",
      "question": "Will Candidate E win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Democratic primary election?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Minnesota, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.\n\nIf no 2026 Minnesota Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Minnesota Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.",
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