{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
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  "event_id": "CM-EVT-3J6D38Z277",
  "slug": "minnesota-governor-democratic-primary-winner",
  "question": "Will the Democratic Party nominee win the Minnesota Governor Primary?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "elections",
    "minnesota",
    "democratic-primary",
    "2026",
    "governor-race"
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  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the outcome of the Minnesota Democratic gubernatorial primary, scheduled for August 11, 2026. Polymarket structures the event as per-candidate binary contracts; probabilities across named candidates must sum to at most one. All contracts resolve via Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle against the Minnesota Democratic Party's official primary results announcement. Several candidate slots use placeholder identifiers, reflecting field uncertainty ahead of filing deadlines.",
  "venues_covered": [
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  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-VVJN9JYFR8",
  "current_primary_mark": {
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    "implied_probability": 0.986
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  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
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      "platform_market_id": "0xafda84d1726c745016d74267018b34884919eb989a399a46bdd3a4968e4a6f4f",
      "question": "Will Amy Klobuchar win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Democratic primary election?",
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      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Amy Klobuchar: Minnesota Democratic Party official primary results announcement on August 11, 2026, or overwhelming credible reporting consensus if no official announcement occurs.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-11T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-11T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Minnesota, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.\n\nIf no 2026 Minnesota Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Minnesota Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
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        "sources": [
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            "name": "Minnesota Democratic Party",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_of_record": "Minnesota Democratic Party",
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      "rcg": {
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        "score": 84,
        "caps": [],
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      "question": "Will Kobey Layne win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Democratic primary election?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Minnesota, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.\n\nIf no 2026 Minnesota Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Minnesota Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
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      "close_at": "2026-08-11T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-11T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Minnesota, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.\n\nIf no 2026 Minnesota Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Minnesota Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.",
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      "question": "Will Candidate H win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Democratic primary election?",
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      "close_at": "2026-08-11T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-11T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
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        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Minnesota, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.\n\nIf no 2026 Minnesota Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Minnesota Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.",
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        "caps": [],
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-3J6D38Z277",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x598dece24e87eb37ac702791ef184432c7db50d7121ec0f0371e0b5d4cae15ad",
      "question": "Will Candidate M win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Democratic primary election?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Minnesota, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.\n\nIf no 2026 Minnesota Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Minnesota Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.",
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      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
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      "close_at": "2026-08-11T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-11T00:00:00Z",
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        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Minnesota, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.\n\nIf no 2026 Minnesota Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Minnesota Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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        "sources": [
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            "name": "Minnesota Democratic Party",
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            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_of_record": "Minnesota Democratic Party",
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      "rcg": {
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        "score": 84,
        "caps": [],
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      "market_id": "CM-MKT-BNDTY0WZ14",
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      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x158b65bc291efc022a97472d4bc2d2c852d98f9ed95d037f6bfd975784886f92",
      "question": "Will Candidate V win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Democratic primary election?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Minnesota, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.\n\nIf no 2026 Minnesota Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Minnesota Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Candidate V: Minnesota Democratic Party official primary results announcement on August 11, 2026, or overwhelming credible reporting consensus if no official announcement occurs.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-11T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-11T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Minnesota, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.\n\nIf no 2026 Minnesota Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Minnesota Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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        "source_of_record": "Minnesota Democratic Party",
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      "platform_market_id": "0xfbf5cf870c61e482f40350f347a4277891bc7877d9073ab61edead4ffd98b079",
      "question": "Will Steve Simon win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Democratic primary election?",
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      "close_at": "2026-08-11T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-11T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
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        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Minnesota, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.\n\nIf no 2026 Minnesota Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Minnesota Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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      "platform_market_id": "0x75635eb505071426129e38fca5a19262ace586f41ee9a47f9738a8109403804c",
      "question": "Will Candidate F win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Democratic primary election?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Minnesota, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.\n\nIf no 2026 Minnesota Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Minnesota Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Candidate F: Minnesota Democratic Party official primary results announcement on August 11, 2026, or overwhelming credible reporting consensus if no official announcement occurs.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-11T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-11T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Minnesota, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.\n\nIf no 2026 Minnesota Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Minnesota Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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    {
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      "platform_market_id": "0xaa237f857b196ec26f97dde6afae00124dfcdc7d0137ce18594da9f2be586e9c",
      "question": "Will Candidate O win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Democratic primary election?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Minnesota, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.\n\nIf no 2026 Minnesota Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Minnesota Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Candidate O: Minnesota Democratic Party official primary results announcement on August 11, 2026, or overwhelming credible reporting consensus if no official announcement occurs.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-11T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-11T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Minnesota, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.\n\nIf no 2026 Minnesota Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Minnesota Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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      "platform_market_id": "0xedfd59c350ab3c6339fef01597ff38f3b2bc1fd874cbd2ddf38e6fee17069e6f",
      "question": "Will Candidate Q win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Democratic primary election?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Minnesota, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.\n\nIf no 2026 Minnesota Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Minnesota Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Candidate Q: Minnesota Democratic Party official primary results announcement on August 11, 2026, or overwhelming credible reporting consensus if no official announcement occurs.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-11T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-11T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Minnesota, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.\n\nIf no 2026 Minnesota Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Minnesota Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
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